Seongnam vs Cheonan City: match statistics

Seongnam are clearly in better current form: they have won 3 of their last 5 matches and averaged 1.2 goals scored in those games, while Cheonan City have recorded just 1 win and conceded 9 goals over the same period. At home, the hosts concede just 0.78 goals per match, whereas their opponents allow 1.89 goals away from home and have kept no clean sheets. Seongnam create chances worth an average of 1.61 xG at home, matching Cheonan City’s away attacking xG, but the visitors allow significantly more chances, with an average xG against of 1.78. Cheonan City are more clinical on the road, scoring 1.67 goals per match compared with Seongnam’s 0.78 at home, which reduces confidence in the hosts. Despite Seongnam’s high home draw rate of 56%, their stronger defence and significantly better recent form give them a slight edge.

Cheonan City have a very clear profile of matches featuring goals from both sides: BTTS - Yes landed in 78% of their games, and the team have kept a clean sheet in none of them. The visitors score an average of 1.67 goals and concede 1.89, while Seongnam score only 0.90 goals at home. However, Cheonan allow opponents plenty of chances, strengthening the hosts’ chances of finding the net. In their last five matches, both teams averaged 1.2 and 1.4 goals scored respectively, while conceding 1.2 and 1.8 goals. Seongnam have recorded BTTS in only 40% of their matches and kept clean sheets in 40%, so the case for BTTS - Yes is not particularly strong. Nevertheless, Cheonan’s attacking numbers and the league BTTS average of 64% support a Goal/Goal outcome. BTTS - No would mean that at least one team fails to score; it does not automatically mean a 0:0 draw or that neither team will score.

The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals, as Cheonan City have been involved in matches featuring at least 2 goals in 78% of their league games, compared with 40% for Seongnam. The visitors score an average of 1.67 goals per match and concede 1.89, while Seongnam create chances worth 1.43 xG, and Cheonan’s defense allows opponents 1.78 xG. In their last five matches, the two teams averaged a combined 2.6 goals per game, while Cheonan conceded 1.8 goals per match during that period. The projected total of 2.75 goals also supports Over 2.5, but Seongnam’s weaker seasonal scoring rate of 0.9 goals makes the 1.5 line offer a clearer edge.

A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome, as Seongnam were level at the break in 40% of their matches, compared with 44% for Cheonan City; in their last five games, the visitors went into half-time level in as many as 60% of cases. Seongnam nevertheless have greater potential to turn the game around after the interval: they won 60% of their last five matches, while Cheonan City won only 20% and lost 60%. The hosts concede an average of 0.9 goals per match, whereas the visitors allow opponents 1.89 goals per game; moreover, Cheonan have conceded 1.8 goals per match across their last five appearances. In the first halves, Seongnam average just 0.8 total goals, with as many as 60% of their matches ending without them conceding, which supports the scenario of a cautious start. Cheonan are more dangerous after the break, scoring an average of 1.22 goals, but their poor results and Seongnam's current form advantage point towards the X/1 outcome.