Kenya - Kenyan Premier LeagueData current as of 22 October 2026

Shabana vs TransMara Sugar: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Shabana vs TransMara Sugar: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Shabana play TransMara Sugar in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The match date is 25 October 2026.

Current form

Shabana: 1-1-0, 2.00 points/match. TransMara Sugar: 1-1-0, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Shabana scores 0.50 and concedes 0.00 goals per match. TransMara Sugar scores 2.00 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.24 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Shabana 0%, TransMara Sugar 100%. Over 2.5: Shabana 0%, TransMara Sugar 100%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 35%.

xG, shots and style

xG is very similar for both teams. Shabana: 7.5 shots per match, TransMara Sugar: 10.0.

Match halves

Shabana: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.50. TransMara Sugar: half-time lead 100%, second-half goals 0.50.

Goals by minute

Shabana: 61-75 (1 goals). TransMara Sugar: 31-45+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Kenyan Premier League: 2.24 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 35%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-1. Average goals 0.33, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.5Goals scored / match2
ShabanaTransMara Sugar
0Goals conceded / match1.5
ShabanaTransMara Sugar
52%Average possession44%
ShabanaTransMara Sugar
2.5Shots on target / match3.5
ShabanaTransMara Sugar

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

7.5Shots per match10
ShabanaTransMara Sugar
2.5Shots on target3.5
ShabanaTransMara Sugar
6.7%Shot conversion20%
ShabanaTransMara Sugar
52%Possession44%
ShabanaTransMara Sugar
1.37xG for1.38
ShabanaTransMara Sugar
1.49xG against1.32
ShabanaTransMara Sugar

Shooting quality

Shabana: BalancedTransMara Sugar: Counter-attacking
ShabanaTransMara Sugar
Accuracy (shots on target)33%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.180.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.200.57

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Shabana
WD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
50% W50% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-0
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-0
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-0
Last 5 at home
0-1-0
D
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.5Goals conceded: 0.0xG: 1.37Opponent xG: 1.49BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%
TransMara Sugar
DW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
50% W50% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-0
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-0
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-0
Last 5 away
0-1-0
D
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.5xG: 1.38Opponent xG: 1.32BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

TransMara Sugar is 300% better for: goals scored per match.

0.5 goals / match - Shabana · 2 goals / match - TransMara Sugar

Shabana scoring profile: very strong

Shabana scores in 50% of matches (1 of 2 matches), while TransMara Sugar keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 matches).

TransMara Sugar scoring profile: mixed

TransMara Sugar scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while Shabana keeps a clean sheet in 100% (2 of 2 matches).

1Goals scored (season)4
ShabanaTransMara Sugar
0Goals conceded (season)3
ShabanaTransMara Sugar
0.5Average goals in match3.5
ShabanaTransMara Sugar
1Goals scored (last 5)4
ShabanaTransMara Sugar
0Goals conceded (last 5)3
ShabanaTransMara Sugar

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal100%
ShabanaTransMara Sugar
0%2 goals100%
ShabanaTransMara Sugar
0%3 goals0%
ShabanaTransMara Sugar
0%4 goals0%
ShabanaTransMara Sugar

How often they concede at least...

0%1 goal100%
ShabanaTransMara Sugar
0%2 goals50%
ShabanaTransMara Sugar
0%3 goals0%
ShabanaTransMara Sugar
0%4 goals0%
ShabanaTransMara Sugar

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

53%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time0%
ShabanaTransMara Sugar
0%BTTS in both halves0%
ShabanaTransMara Sugar
0%Scored in both halves50%
ShabanaTransMara Sugar

BTTS and goal count

0%Min. 3 goals and BTTS100%
ShabanaTransMara Sugar
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
ShabanaTransMara Sugar
0%BTTS - last 5100%
ShabanaTransMara Sugar

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

0%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
ShabanaTransMara Sugar
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
ShabanaTransMara Sugar
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
ShabanaTransMara Sugar

2nd half

50%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
ShabanaTransMara Sugar
0%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
ShabanaTransMara Sugar
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time50%
ShabanaTransMara Sugar

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

TransMara Sugar is 200% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Shabana · 3 pts / match - TransMara Sugar

Shabana - half-time state
0% leading100% draw0% trailing
TransMara Sugar - half-time state
100% leading0% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)3
ShabanaTransMara Sugar
0Goals scored (1st half)1.5
ShabanaTransMara Sugar
0Goals conceded (1st half)0
ShabanaTransMara Sugar
0Average goals (1st half)1.5
ShabanaTransMara Sugar
100%Clean sheet before half-time100%
ShabanaTransMara Sugar
100%No goal before half-time0%
ShabanaTransMara Sugar

After half-time (2nd half)

2Points per match (2nd half)0
ShabanaTransMara Sugar
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
ShabanaTransMara Sugar
0Goals conceded (2nd half)1.5
ShabanaTransMara Sugar
0.5Average goals (2nd half)2
ShabanaTransMara Sugar
100%Clean sheet after half-time0%
ShabanaTransMara Sugar
50%No goal after half-time50%
ShabanaTransMara Sugar

Shabana - second-half results

50% W50% D0% L
2
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

TransMara Sugar - second-half results

0% W0% D100% L
6
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
0
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
3.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding50%

Leads at half-time in 100% of matches and wins 50%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+1.5

Concedes 1.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Shabana - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.002.00
Goals scored / match0.00.5
Goals conceded / match0.00.0
Average goals in match0.00.5
1 goal0%50%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%100%
No goal100%50%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 50% won - 50% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
TransMara Sugar - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match3.000.00
Goals scored / match1.50.5
Goals conceded / match0.01.5
Average goals in match1.52.0
1 goal100%100%
2 goals50%50%
3 goals0%50%
Clean sheet100%0%
No goal0%50%
Goal difference+3-2
Half-time: 100% leading - 0% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 0% draw - 100% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Shabana
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
1
0
61-75
0
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (1 goal). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

TransMara Sugar
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
1
0
16-30
2
0
31-45
0
1
46-60
1
1
61-75
0
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.00
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
89%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-83%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
50%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Shabana

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.12
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.62
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.87
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+1.49
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
42%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
0%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

TransMara Sugar

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.44
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.62
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.18
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
189%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
127%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-1.0
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).

Teams vs league

ShabanaLigaTransMara Sugar
Average goals in match▼ 0.502.24▲ 3.50
Both teams scored▼ 0%53%▲ 100%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 0%35%▲ 100%
Clean sheets▲ 100%32%▼ 0%
Goal before half-time▼ 0%47%▲ 100%
Goal after half-time▼ 50%76%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.24
Average goals per match
53%
Both teams scored
35%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.18
Home goals / match
1.06
Away goals / match
+11%
Home attack advantage
+10%
Home defence advantage
+-5%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
47%
1 goal
18%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
29%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Shabana 0 - 2 - 1 TransMara Sugar. Average goals 0.33, both teams scored in 0% matches.

TransMara Sugar
1 : 0
Shabana
Shabana
0 : 0
TransMara Sugar
Shabana
0 : 0
TransMara Sugar

FAQ

When do Shabana and TransMara Sugar play?

Shabana face TransMara Sugar on 25 October 2026 in Kenyan Premier League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Shabana and TransMara Sugar?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Shabana won 0, TransMara Sugar won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 0.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Shabana vs TransMara Sugar?

Shabana score 0.50 goals per game on average and TransMara Sugar 2.00. The Kenyan Premier League average is 2.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 0% of Shabana's matches and 100% of TransMara Sugar's.

What form are Shabana and TransMara Sugar in?

Over the last 5 games Shabana have a 1-1-0 record (2.00 points per game) and TransMara Sugar 1-1-0 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Shabana vs TransMara Sugar?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.