Shamrock Rovers vs St Patrick's Athl.: match statistics
Shamrock Rovers vs St Patrick's Athl.: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Shamrock Rovers played St Patrick's Athl. in Premier Division (Ireland). The match was played on 29 May 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Shamrock Rovers: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. St Patrick's Athl.: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Shamrock Rovers scores 1.58 and concedes 0.89 goals per match. St Patrick's Athl. scores 1.72 and concedes 0.89. League average: 2.73 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Shamrock Rovers 53%, St Patrick's Athl. 44%. Over 2.5: Shamrock Rovers 42%, St Patrick's Athl. 44%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
St Patrick's Athl. has higher xG: 1.82 vs 1.56. Shamrock Rovers: 13.9 shots per match, St Patrick's Athl.: 16.3.
Match halves
Shamrock Rovers: half-time lead 53%, second-half goals 0.68. St Patrick's Athl.: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Shamrock Rovers: 31-45+ (8 goals). St Patrick's Athl.: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier Division: 2.73 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 6 previous H2H matches were available: 4-1-1. Average goals 2.17, BTTS 17%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Shamrock Rovers are the favorites for this fixture, particularly at home: they have a 78% home win rate, average 1.89 goals scored and concede 0.78 goals per match at home, with a home goal difference of +10. St Patrick's Athletic average only 1.22 goals on the road, have 44% of away matches without scoring and just a 33% away win rate, which limits their offensive threat. Rovers produce higher-quality chances with an average of 5.33 shots on target per home match and a 13% conversion rate versus the visitors' 4.44 shots on target and 8% conversion, while home xG is 1.65 compared to the away side's 1.62 xG. In the last 5 matches the hosts have scored 10 goals with a record of 3 wins and 2 losses and an average of 1.8 points per game, whereas St Patrick's have scored 6 goals (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss) and average 1.6 points; additionally the hosts have had 0% home matches without scoring versus 44% such matches for the visitors. Therefore I predict a Shamrock Rovers win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Shamrock Rovers score on average 2.22 goals per home match (xG 2.03), register 6.56 shots on target and have scored 10 goals in their last 5 matches (2.0 per game), with BTTS occurring in 80% of those five games. St Patrick's Athl. have an away scoring average of 1.22 this season (xG 1.62); in their last 5 matches they scored 6 goals (1.2 per game) and conceded 0.6 goals per game, although their seasonal concession rate is 1.11 per game. Both teams have a season-long BTTS rate of 44% (below the league 59%), but the high recent home BTTS rate (80%) and the league-wide 59% trend support Goal/Goal. Additionally, Shamrock have a higher shot conversion rate at 12% versus the visitors' 8%, and the comparison of the home xG 2.03 against the away xG conceded 1.25 indicates the hosts will create enough chances for St Patrick's to respond. On this basis I tip BTTS - Yes as the stronger signal and assess the probability at 68% vs 32%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I project 1.64 goals for Shamrock Rovers and 1.39 for St Patrick's Athl., totaling 3.03 goals. This forecast comes from combining Shamrock xG 2.03 with St Patrick's average goals conceded 1.25 (yielding 1.64 for the home side) and St Patrick's xG 1.62 with Shamrock's average goals conceded 1.15 (1.39 for the away side). Additionally, Shamrock averages 2.22 goals per game, produces 18.22 shots with 6.56 on target at a conversion rate of 12%, versus St Patrick's 14.44 shots, 4.44 on target and 8% conversion, which supports a higher output from the home team. With an expected total of 3.03 goals the probability distribution gives roughly 81% chance for Over 1.5, 58% for Over 2.5 and 36% for Over 3.5; moreover Shamrock’s last 5 matches show 80% Over 2.5, reinforcing the Over signal. Therefore the best and strongest pick is Over on the 1.5 line as the most likely option.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Shamrock Rovers have a clear advantage in season-long data: they score an average of 2.22 goals per match versus St Patrick's 1.22, have an xG of 2.03 versus 1.62 and win 67% of home matches compared to the visitors’ 33% win rate. In the first half the hosts average 0.78 goals and have been leading at the break in 33% of matches this season; in their last 5 appearances they led at the break in 60% of cases, indicating improved form before the interval. After the break Shamrock score an average of 1.44 goals and concede only 0.11, with average shots on target 6.56 vs 4.44 and conversion rates 12% vs 8%, which signifies a strong ability to maintain or extend a lead. On this basis the most likely scenario is the hosts leading at half-time and winning at full-time (1/1) — I assign it a 38% probability; the second significant signal is a draw at half-time with a home win at full-time (X/1) at 17%. Comebacks by the visitors I assess at roughly 13% in total (1/2 4% and 2/2 9%), and full-time draws are less likely, so I recommend 1/1 as the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Shamrock Rovers | St Patrick's Athl. | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Shamrock Rovers is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Shamrock Rovers · 1.2 pts / match - St Patrick's Athl.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
St Patrick's Athl. is 9% better for: goals scored per match.
1.58 goals / match - Shamrock Rovers · 1.72 goals / match - St Patrick's Athl.
Shamrock Rovers scores in 84% of matches (16 of 19 matches), while St Patrick's Athl. keeps a clean sheet in 33% (6 of 18 matches).
St Patrick's Athl. scores in 61% of matches (11 of 18 matches), while Shamrock Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 37% (7 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Shamrock Rovers
Over / Under - St Patrick's Athl.
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Shamrock Rovers is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.89 pts / match - Shamrock Rovers · 1.5 pts / match - St Patrick's Athl.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Shamrock Rovers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 53% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
St Patrick's Athl. - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier Division).
Teams vs league
| Shamrock Rovers | Liga | St Patrick's Athl. | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.47 | 2.73 | ▼ 2.61 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 53% | 61% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 51% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 37% | 25% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 71% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 77% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (6): Shamrock Rovers 4 - 1 - 1 St Patrick's Athl.. Average goals 2.17, both teams scored in 17% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Shamrock Rovers vs St Patrick's Athl.?
The Premier Division match finished Shamrock Rovers 1:0 St Patrick's Athl.. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Shamrock Rovers and St Patrick's Athl.?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Shamrock Rovers won 4, St Patrick's Athl. won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.17 goals, with both teams scoring in 17% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Shamrock Rovers vs St Patrick's Athl.?
Shamrock Rovers score 1.58 goals per game on average and St Patrick's Athl. 1.72. The Premier Division average is 2.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Shamrock Rovers's matches and 44% of St Patrick's Athl.'s.
What form are Shamrock Rovers and St Patrick's Athl. in?
Over the last 5 games Shamrock Rovers have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and St Patrick's Athl. 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Shamrock Rovers vs St Patrick's Athl.?
The statistical background for Shamrock Rovers vs St Patrick's Athl. — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.