Shanghai SIPG vs Qingdao Jonoon: match statistics

Shanghai SIPG come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games, while Qingdao Jonoon have lost all 5 of their previous matches, scoring just 2 goals in the process. At home, the hosts average 1.8 goals per game with an xG of 1.74, while the visitors concede as many as 2.5 goals per away match and have kept no clean sheets. The difference in quality is also clearly reflected in the possession figures: Shanghai SIPG control the ball for an average of 63% of the time, compared with just 47% for Qingdao Jonoon. The hosts’ defence allows an average xG of 1.15, whereas the visitors’ attack generates an xG of 1.37 away from home and fails to score in 25% of such matches. With Qingdao Jonoon losing 83% of their away fixtures and Shanghai SIPG winning 40% of their home games, a home victory is the most likely outcome.

The strongest argument in favor of BTTS - No is Qingdao Jonoon’s current attacking form: they have scored just 2 goals in their last five matches, averaging 0.4 per game, and have lost all 5 fixtures. Shanghai SIPG concede an average of 1.27 goals per season but have kept a clean sheet in 18% of matches, so their opponents’ poor run realistically increases the chance that the visitors will fail to score again. The hosts should score, however, as they average 1.55 goals per season and 1.8 across their last five appearances, while Qingdao concede as many as 2.5 goals per match and have not kept a single clean sheet. Seasonal BTTS figures stand at 55% for Shanghai and 75% for Qingdao, but the visitors’ current 40% rate and poor finishing, despite an xG of 1.63 in their last five matches, slightly favor a scenario in which only one side scores.

Shanghai SIPG score an average of 1.55 goals per match, while Qingdao Jonoon concede as many as 2.50, with the visitors yet to keep a single clean sheet this season. The hosts are also in good attacking form: they have scored 9 goals in their last five matches, averaging 1.8 per game, with an average xG of 1.62. The 1.5-goal line has been surpassed in 64% of Shanghai’s matches and in as many as 92% of Qingdao’s fixtures, which is a clearly stronger signal than for higher lines. Qingdao have scored just 0.4 goals per match recently, but they have created chances worth 1.63 xG, while Shanghai concede an average of 1.27 goals, so the visitors’ contribution to the total remains realistic. The safest option is Over 1.5 goals, as the combination of the visitors’ weak defence and the hosts’ attacking potential strongly supports at least two goals.

Shanghai SIPG have a clear first-half advantage: they have led at the break in 45% of their matches, scoring an average of 0.91 goals before half-time and conceding just 0.27. Qingdao Jonoon score only 0.17 goals before the break, concede 1.17, and have gone into half-time trailing in as many as 67% of their matches. The difference is reinforced by their current form: the hosts have won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 1.8 goals, while the visitors have lost all 5, scoring just 0.4 goals per game. Across the season, Qingdao have lost 83% of their matches and concede an average of 2.5 goals, making the Shanghai SIPG lead at half-time and victory at full-time the strongest scenario. The possibility of a post-half-time change in the result is slightly increased by the fact that the hosts concede an average of 1.27 goals per match, but the visitors' poor attacking efficiency limits the likelihood of a full turnaround.