Sheger Ketema vs Kedus Giorgis: match statistics
The analysis points to an evenly matched contest between two teams from the lower part of the table. Sheger Ketema displays solid home form with 73% draws and only 18% defeats at home, making them a tough opponent on their own ground. Their last five matches consist of a series of four draws and one win, confirming defensive stability. Kedus Giorgis struggles away from home with 55% losses and only 27% wins, and their form in the last five matches is poor (0.6 points per game). The hosts have an advantage in clean sheets (45% vs 18%) and a better goal difference at home (0 goal difference vs -5 for the visitors). Considering the hosts' tendency to draw and the visitors' poor away form, the most likely outcome is a share of the points, although the hosts hold a slight advantage due to home turf.
Sheger Ketema vs Kedus Giorgis: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sheger Ketema played Kedus Giorgis in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 8 March 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Sheger Ketema: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match. Kedus Giorgis: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sheger Ketema scores 0.86 and concedes 0.95 goals per match. Kedus Giorgis scores 0.76 and concedes 0.81. League average: 1.75 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sheger Ketema 48%, Kedus Giorgis 29%. Over 2.5: Sheger Ketema 29%, Kedus Giorgis 14%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 26%.
xG, shots and style
Kedus Giorgis has higher xG: 1.31 vs 1.12. Sheger Ketema: 7.7 shots per match, Kedus Giorgis: 9.1.
Match halves
Sheger Ketema: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.52. Kedus Giorgis: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.29.
Goals by minute
Sheger Ketema: 46-60 (4 goals). Kedus Giorgis: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.75 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 26%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The analysis points to an evenly matched contest between two teams from the lower part of the table. Sheger Ketema displays solid home form with 73% draws and only 18% defeats at home, making them a tough opponent on their own ground. Their last five matches consist of a series of four draws and one win, confirming defensive stability. Kedus Giorgis struggles away from home with 55% losses and only 27% wins, and their form in the last five matches is poor (0.6 points per game). The hosts have an advantage in clean sheets (45% vs 18%) and a better goal difference at home (0 goal difference vs -5 for the visitors). Considering the hosts' tendency to draw and the visitors' poor away form, the most likely outcome is a share of the points, although the hosts hold a slight advantage due to home turf.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sheger Ketema | Kedus Giorgis | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sheger Ketema is 133% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Sheger Ketema · 0.6 pts / match - Kedus Giorgis
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sheger Ketema is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
0.86 goals / match - Sheger Ketema · 0.76 goals / match - Kedus Giorgis
Kedus Giorgis is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.95 goals / match - Sheger Ketema · 0.81 goals / match - Kedus Giorgis
Sheger Ketema scores in 62% of matches (13 of 21 matches), while Kedus Giorgis keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 matches).
Kedus Giorgis scores in 52% of matches (11 of 21 matches), while Sheger Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 43% (9 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sheger Ketema
Over / Under - Kedus Giorgis
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kedus Giorgis is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.14 pts / match - Sheger Ketema · 1.29 pts / match - Kedus Giorgis
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sheger Ketema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 19%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Kedus Giorgis - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sheger Ketema
Kedus Giorgis
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Sheger Ketema | Liga | Kedus Giorgis | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.81 | 1.75 | ▼ 1.57 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 48% | 41% | ▼ 29% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 29% | 26% | ▼ 14% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 40% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 38% | 54% | ▲ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | • 57% | 58% | • 57% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Sheger Ketema 1 - 0 - 0 Kedus Giorgis. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sheger Ketema vs Kedus Giorgis?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Sheger Ketema 1:0 Kedus Giorgis. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Sheger Ketema vs Kedus Giorgis?
Sheger Ketema score 0.86 goals per game on average and Kedus Giorgis 0.76. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 26% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Sheger Ketema's matches and 29% of Kedus Giorgis's.
What form are Sheger Ketema and Kedus Giorgis in?
Over the last 5 games Sheger Ketema have a 1-4-0 record (1.40 points per game) and Kedus Giorgis 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sheger Ketema vs Kedus Giorgis?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Sheger Ketema vs Kedus Giorgis: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.