Sheger Ketema vs Mekelle Kenema: match statistics
Sheger Ketema vs Mekelle Kenema: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sheger Ketema play Mekelle Kenema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 20 May 2026 at 12:00. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Sheger Ketema: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Mekelle Kenema: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sheger Ketema scores 0.92 and concedes 0.81 goals per match. Mekelle Kenema scores 0.79 and concedes 0.95. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sheger Ketema 41%, Mekelle Kenema 37%. Over 2.5: Sheger Ketema 22%, Mekelle Kenema 34%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Sheger Ketema has higher xG: 1.11 vs 1.10. Sheger Ketema: 7.3 shots per match, Mekelle Kenema: 6.4.
Match halves
Sheger Ketema: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.57. Mekelle Kenema: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.42.
Goals by minute
Sheger Ketema: 76-90+ (8 goals). Mekelle Kenema: 46-60 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I predict a draw. Sheger Ketema has a slight edge in chance creation — averaging 7.25 shots and 2.56 shots on target with xG 1.10 at home versus Mekelle’s 6.0 shots, 2.19 on target and xG 1.05 away, indicating marginally better quality of chances for the hosts. Defensively the hosts perform better: they concede 0.69 goals per home match on average, while Mekelle concedes 0.81 away and have 50% clean sheets at home versus 44% clean sheets for the visitors. The key factor, however, is Sheger’s high draw rate at home (63% of home matches end level) and the fact that Mekelle fail to score in 63% of their away games, which increases the likelihood of a low-scoring affair with an average of 1.44 goals in these meetings. The last 5 matches confirm a slight advantage for the hosts (Sheger 1.6 points per game vs 1.0 points for Mekelle), therefore a draw or a narrow one-goal margin is the most likely outcome.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sheger Ketema | Mekelle Kenema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sheger Ketema is 67% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Sheger Ketema · 1.2 pts / match - Mekelle Kenema
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sheger Ketema is 16% better for: goals scored per match.
0.92 goals / match - Sheger Ketema · 0.79 goals / match - Mekelle Kenema
Sheger Ketema is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.81 goals / match - Sheger Ketema · 0.95 goals / match - Mekelle Kenema
Sheger Ketema scores in 68% of matches (25 of 37 matches), while Mekelle Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 39% (15 of 38 matches).
Mekelle Kenema scores in 53% of matches (20 of 38 matches), while Sheger Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 49% (18 of 37 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Sheger Ketema
Over / Under — Mekelle Kenema
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sheger Ketema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Mekelle Kenema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sheger Ketema
Mekelle Kenema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Sheger Ketema | Liga | Mekelle Kenema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.73 | 1.78 | • 1.74 |
| Both teams scored | • 41% | 40% | ▼ 37% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 22% | 28% | ▲ 34% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 49% | 40% | • 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 43% | 56% | • 55% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 62% | 59% | ▲ 61% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Sheger Ketema 0 - 1 - 0 Mekelle Kenema. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sheger Ketema vs Mekelle Kenema?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Sheger Ketema 0:1 Mekelle Kenema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Sheger Ketema vs Mekelle Kenema?
Sheger Ketema score 0.92 goals per game on average and Mekelle Kenema 0.79. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Sheger Ketema's matches and 37% of Mekelle Kenema's.
What form are Sheger Ketema and Mekelle Kenema in?
Over the last 5 games Sheger Ketema have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Mekelle Kenema 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sheger Ketema vs Mekelle Kenema?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.