Shire Endaselassie vs Negele Arsi Ketema: match statistics
Negele Arsi Ketema demonstrates significantly better form and efficiency in away matches. The visitors sit 3rd in the table with a 50% away win rate, while the hosts are ranked 9th with just 29% home wins. Recent form is particularly crucial: Negele has won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 8 goals, whereas Shire Endaselassie has only 1 victory in that period. The visitors average 1.17 goals scored away against just 0.67 conceded, resulting in a positive goal difference (+3). Negele also holds an advantage in xG (1.22 vs 0.91 for the hosts) and a strong clean sheet percentage (50% vs 57% for the hosts at home). All these factors point to an advantage for the visitors, though a draw cannot be ruled out due to Shire's defensive solidity at home.
Shire Endaselassie vs Negele Arsi Ketema: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Shire Endaselassie played Negele Arsi Ketema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 8 January 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Shire Endaselassie: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Negele Arsi Ketema: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Shire Endaselassie scores 0.85 and concedes 0.69 goals per match. Negele Arsi Ketema scores 1.15 and concedes 0.69. League average: 1.76 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Shire Endaselassie 31%, Negele Arsi Ketema 38%. Over 2.5: Shire Endaselassie 23%, Negele Arsi Ketema 38%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Negele Arsi Ketema has higher xG: 1.15 vs 1.00. Shire Endaselassie: 5.8 shots per match, Negele Arsi Ketema: 7.8.
Match halves
Shire Endaselassie: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.31. Negele Arsi Ketema: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.62.
Goals by minute
Shire Endaselassie: 31-45+ (3 goals). Negele Arsi Ketema: 0-15 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.76 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Negele Arsi Ketema demonstrates significantly better form and efficiency in away matches. The visitors sit 3rd in the table with a 50% away win rate, while the hosts are ranked 9th with just 29% home wins. Recent form is particularly crucial: Negele has won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 8 goals, whereas Shire Endaselassie has only 1 victory in that period. The visitors average 1.17 goals scored away against just 0.67 conceded, resulting in a positive goal difference (+3). Negele also holds an advantage in xG (1.22 vs 0.91 for the hosts) and a strong clean sheet percentage (50% vs 57% for the hosts at home). All these factors point to an advantage for the visitors, though a draw cannot be ruled out due to Shire's defensive solidity at home.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Shire Endaselassie | Negele Arsi Ketema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 46% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Negele Arsi Ketema is 140% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Shire Endaselassie · 2.4 pts / match - Negele Arsi Ketema
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Negele Arsi Ketema is 35% better for: goals scored per match.
0.85 goals / match - Shire Endaselassie · 1.15 goals / match - Negele Arsi Ketema
Shire Endaselassie scores in 54% of matches (7 of 13 matches), while Negele Arsi Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 46% (6 of 13 matches).
Negele Arsi Ketema scores in 69% of matches (9 of 13 matches), while Shire Endaselassie keeps a clean sheet in 46% (6 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Shire Endaselassie
Over / Under - Negele Arsi Ketema
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Shire Endaselassie is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.62 pts / match - Shire Endaselassie · 1.46 pts / match - Negele Arsi Ketema
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Shire Endaselassie - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 31%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Negele Arsi Ketema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Shire Endaselassie
Negele Arsi Ketema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Shire Endaselassie | Liga | Negele Arsi Ketema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.54 | 1.76 | • 1.85 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 31% | 43% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 23% | 28% | ▲ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 46% | 38% | ▲ 46% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 54% | 58% | ▼ 46% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 54% | 58% | ▲ 62% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Shire Endaselassie vs Negele Arsi Ketema?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Shire Endaselassie 0:1 Negele Arsi Ketema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Shire Endaselassie vs Negele Arsi Ketema?
Shire Endaselassie score 0.85 goals per game on average and Negele Arsi Ketema 1.15. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 31% of Shire Endaselassie's matches and 38% of Negele Arsi Ketema's.
What form are Shire Endaselassie and Negele Arsi Ketema in?
Over the last 5 games Shire Endaselassie have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Negele Arsi Ketema 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Shire Endaselassie vs Negele Arsi Ketema?
The statistical background for Shire Endaselassie vs Negele Arsi Ketema — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.