Sichuan Jiuniu vs Wuhan Three Towns: match statistics
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Wuhan Three Towns: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sichuan Jiuniu played Wuhan Three Towns in Chinese Super League (China). The match was played on 5 April 2026. Final score: 5:2.
Current form
Sichuan Jiuniu: 1-0-2, 1.00 points/match. Wuhan Three Towns: 1-1-1, 1.33 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sichuan Jiuniu scores 0.67 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Wuhan Three Towns scores 1.67 and concedes 1.33. League average: 3.00 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sichuan Jiuniu 33%, Wuhan Three Towns 67%. Over 2.5: Sichuan Jiuniu 33%, Wuhan Three Towns 33%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Sichuan Jiuniu has higher xG: 1.19 vs 1.06. Sichuan Jiuniu: 11.0 shots per match, Wuhan Three Towns: 9.0.
Match halves
Sichuan Jiuniu: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.33. Wuhan Three Towns: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Sichuan Jiuniu: 0-15 (1 goals). Wuhan Three Towns: 61-75 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Chinese Super League: 3.00 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the home win ('1') because Sichuan has a clear advantage in chance creation: the home side’s average xG is 1.65 versus Wuhan’s 0.80, and the hosts average 16 shots per game (5 on target) at home compared to the visitors’ 7 shots (2 on target) away. Additionally, Sichuan’s home metrics show an average of 0 goals conceded per match and 100% clean sheets at home with average xG against of 1.05, while Wuhan concede on average 1 goal per away match and have average xG against of 1.98, indicating greater defensive exposure for the visitors. In the last five matches both teams show a similar points tempo (0.8 points per match on average), but form is unstable: Sichuan scored 3 and conceded 8, while Wuhan scored 6 and conceded 10 in that period. Finishing efficiency gives a slight edge to the visitors (shot-to-goal conversion away 14% vs 6% for the hosts), but with such a large gap in shots and xG (16 vs 7 shots and 1.65 vs 0.80 xG) the hosts are better positioned to dominate the game. Considering higher quality of created chances and superiority in possession (48% vs 34%), I estimate a higher probability of a home victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes because season indicators show 50% (Sichuan) and 100% (Wuhan) BTTS occurrence, while the league BTTS rate is 56%. Both teams register high xG conceded: 1.72 for Sichuan and 1.98 for Wuhan, indicating each side statistically allows many scoring opportunities. In the last 5 matches Sichuan averages 0.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded, while Wuhan averages 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded, so both sides display a tendency to concede. Offensively the hosts average 10 shots and 4 on target per match with a 20% conversion, Wuhan 7 shots and 2 on target with a 14% conversion; additionally both teams have a season clean sheet percentage of 0%, which increases the likelihood of goals at both ends. Considering these figures and the league average of 3.16 goals per match, the signal for "yes" is strongest and I rate it 80% versus 20% for "no".
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG model shows 1.19 xG for Sichuan Jiuniu and 0.80 xG for Wuhan Three Towns, while opponents’ defenses concede on average 1.98 xG against Wuhan and 1.72 against Sichuan, yielding expected goals of 1.59 for Sichuan and 1.26 for Wuhan (total 2.85). A Poisson distribution with lambda = 2.85 gives ~78% probability of at least 2 goals and ~54% for at least 3 goals, so the base model favors Over 1.5 and moderately Over 2.5. Seasonal statistics reinforce this direction: the percentage of matches with more than 1.5 goals is 100% for both teams, Wuhan has 100% of matches with both teams scoring, and the league average is 3.16 goals per game. The home side averages 10 shots and 4 on target with a 20% conversion, versus 7 and 2 with 14% for Wuhan, which supports the 1.59 goals estimate for the home team. As a result, the strongest signal from the data is Over 1.5 (I suggest Over 1.5 with ~90% probability), with Over 2.5 ~55% and Over 3.5 ~32%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back 1/1 (home lead at the break and win at full-time) because the hosts led at half-time in 50% of their matches this season and score an average of 1.0 first-half goals versus 0.0 for the visitors. Additionally, the hosts produce higher xG (1.19 vs 0.8), average 10.0 shots versus 7.0, and 4.0 shots on target versus 2.0, with a shot conversion rate of 20% compared to the opponents’ 14%, which increases their chances of maintaining the lead. Over the full match the hosts average 2.0 goals versus 1.0 for the visitors and have won 50% of fixtures this season, supporting that a half-time lead has a strong probability of finishing as a home victory. At the same time there are signals for a draw: in the last five matches the hosts were level at half-time in 60% of games, and the visitors have BTTS in 100% of their matches with an average of 2.0 second-half goals, so X/X and 1/X remain realistic alternatives.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sichuan Jiuniu | Wuhan Three Towns | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.17 | 0.50 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Wuhan Three Towns is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Sichuan Jiuniu · 1.33 pts / match - Wuhan Three Towns
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Wuhan Three Towns is 149% better for: goals scored per match.
0.67 goals / match - Sichuan Jiuniu · 1.67 goals / match - Wuhan Three Towns
Wuhan Three Towns is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - Sichuan Jiuniu · 1.33 goals / match - Wuhan Three Towns
Sichuan Jiuniu scores in 67% of matches (2 of 3 matches), while Wuhan Three Towns keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 matches).
Wuhan Three Towns scores in 67% of matches (2 of 3 matches), while Sichuan Jiuniu keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sichuan Jiuniu
Over / Under - Wuhan Three Towns
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Wuhan Three Towns is 99% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.67 pts / match - Sichuan Jiuniu · 1.33 pts / match - Wuhan Three Towns
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sichuan Jiuniu - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Wuhan Three Towns - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.67 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| 1 goal | 33% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 33% |
| 3 goals | 33% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 33% |
| No goal | 67% | 67% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Average goals in match | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 67% |
| 3 goals | 33% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 33% | 33% |
| No goal | 67% | 33% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sichuan Jiuniu
Wuhan Three Towns
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Chinese Super League).
Teams vs league
| Sichuan Jiuniu | Liga | Wuhan Three Towns | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.67 | 3.00 | • 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 57% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 57% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 23% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 33% | 63% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 90% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Sichuan Jiuniu 1 - 0 - 1 Wuhan Three Towns. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sichuan Jiuniu vs Wuhan Three Towns?
The Chinese Super League match finished Sichuan Jiuniu 5:2 Wuhan Three Towns. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sichuan Jiuniu and Wuhan Three Towns?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Sichuan Jiuniu won 1, Wuhan Three Towns won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sichuan Jiuniu vs Wuhan Three Towns?
Sichuan Jiuniu score 0.67 goals per game on average and Wuhan Three Towns 1.67. The Chinese Super League average is 3.00 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Sichuan Jiuniu's matches and 67% of Wuhan Three Towns's.
What form are Sichuan Jiuniu and Wuhan Three Towns in?
Over the last 5 games Sichuan Jiuniu have a 1-0-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Wuhan Three Towns 1-1-1 (1.33 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sichuan Jiuniu vs Wuhan Three Towns?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Sichuan Jiuniu vs Wuhan Three Towns: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.