Tanzania - Ligi kuu BaraBenjamin Mkapa National StadiumData current as of 15 October 2026

Simba vs Mashujaa: match statistics

Simba crest
Simba
6 : 1half-time 2:0
Mashujaa crest
Mashujaa

Simba vs Mashujaa: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Simba played Mashujaa in Ligi kuu Bara (Tanzania). The match was played on 13 October 2026. Venue: Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium. Final score: 6:1.

Current form

Simba: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Mashujaa: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Simba scores 1.86 and concedes 0.43 goals per match. Mashujaa scores 1.14 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.48 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Simba 43%, Mashujaa 57%. Over 2.5: Simba 43%, Mashujaa 57%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 43%.

xG, shots and style

Simba has higher xG: 1.70 vs 1.39. Simba: 9.0 shots per match, Mashujaa: 7.1.

Match halves

Simba: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 1.14. Mashujaa: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Simba: 61-75 (6 goals). Mashujaa: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ligi kuu Bara: 2.48 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 43%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 0%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Simba have won all 6 matches this season and their last 5 games, while Mashujaa have recorded 3 wins and 2 defeats over the same period. The home advantage is clear: the hosts have won every home match without conceding, while the visitors have lost 3 of their 4 away games. Simba average 8 shots on target per home match, compared with Mashujaa’s 2.67 on the road, which should translate into more chances. The hosts’ home xG of 2.35 supports this, as does the 1.67 xG conceded by the visitors away from home. Mashujaa average just 0.5 goals away and have failed to score in half of those matches, making a Simba win the most likely outcome.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

Simba are clear favorites to score: they average 2.0 goals at home, while Mashujaa score just 0.5 goals away and failed to score in 50% of such matches. In their last 5 matches, Simba conceded just 1 goal, or 0.2 per match, limiting the visitors’ chances of breaking down this defense. Mashujaa’s conversion rate of 4% of shots also supports a cautious outlook, although their away xG of 1.30 shows they can create chances. The signals from the two teams are mixed: in their last 5 matches, both teams scored in 20% of Simba’s games and 80% of Mashujaa’s. However, the stronger case is the combination of the visitors’ poor away scoring record and the hosts’ current defensive form, making BTTS - No more likely: at least one team is expected not to score.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

Simba average 2.0 goals at home, while Mashujaa score just 0.5 away, so the hosts are expected to contribute the larger share of the goals. In their last 5 matches, Simba have scored 12 goals and conceded just 1, limiting the visitors’ scoring prospects. Although every one of Simba’s home matches so far has featured at least 3 goals, none has gone Over 3.5; similarly, none of Mashujaa’s away matches has finished with 4 or more goals. The league average of 2.48 goals per match also supports caution about higher-scoring outcomes. Therefore, with the total-goals line set at 2.5, Under 3.5 goals is the strongest pick, although Simba’s scoring form means a 3:1 result cannot be ruled out.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: both teams went into the break level in 3 of their last 5 matches, while Mashujaa were also drawing at half-time in 75% of the matches covered by the season statistics. Simba have won all 5 of their last matches, but led at the break in only 2 of them during that period, pointing to a result being decided after the interval. The hosts averaged 1.6 goals in the second halves of those matches and conceded none, while the visitors conceded an average of 1.0 goals after the break. In addition, Simba average 2.0 goals per match at home, whereas Mashujaa score just 0.5 away from home, making a half-time draw followed by a home win the strongest HT/FT scenario.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Half-by-half

2 : 0
1st half
4 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

74Possession (%)26
SimbaMashujaa
16Shots7
SimbaMashujaa
10Shots on target2
SimbaMashujaa
2.02xG0.86
SimbaMashujaa
2Corners0
SimbaMashujaa
43Dangerous attacks38
SimbaMashujaa
7Fouls18
SimbaMashujaa
0Cards0
SimbaMashujaa

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.86Goals scored / match1.14
SimbaMashujaa
0.43Goals conceded / match1
SimbaMashujaa
58%Average possession44%
SimbaMashujaa
4.14Shots on target / match2.71
SimbaMashujaa

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9Shots per match7.14
SimbaMashujaa
4.14Shots on target2.71
SimbaMashujaa
20.6%Shot conversion16%
SimbaMashujaa
58%Possession44%
SimbaMashujaa
1.7xG for1.39
SimbaMashujaa
0.77xG against1.38
SimbaMashujaa

Shooting quality

Simba: Efficient finishingMashujaa: Counter-attacking
SimbaMashujaa
Accuracy (shots on target)46%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.190.19
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.450.42

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Simba is 67% better for: last-5 form.

3 pts / match - Simba · 1.8 pts / match - Mashujaa

Simba
WWWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
100% W0% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-0-0
3.00 pts / match · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-0-0
Last 5 at home
3-0-0
WWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.89Opponent xG: 0.82BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Mashujaa
LWLWW
Season result split
57% W0% D43% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-0-3
1.71 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-3
Last 5 away
1-0-3
WLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.26Opponent xG: 1.23BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Simba is 63% better for: goals scored per match.

1.86 goals / match - Simba · 1.14 goals / match - Mashujaa

Simba is 133% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.43 goals / match - Simba · 1 goals / match - Mashujaa

Simba scoring profile: very strong

Simba scores in 100% of matches (7 of 7 matches), while Mashujaa keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).

Mashujaa scoring profile: mixed

Mashujaa scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while Simba keeps a clean sheet in 57% (4 of 7 matches).

13Goals scored (season)8
SimbaMashujaa
3Goals conceded (season)7
SimbaMashujaa
2.29Average goals in match2.14
SimbaMashujaa
9Goals scored (last 5)7
SimbaMashujaa
2Goals conceded (last 5)6
SimbaMashujaa

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal71%
SimbaMashujaa
86%2 goals43%
SimbaMashujaa
0%3 goals0%
SimbaMashujaa
0%4 goals0%
SimbaMashujaa

How often they concede at least...

43%1 goal86%
SimbaMashujaa
0%2 goals14%
SimbaMashujaa
0%3 goals0%
SimbaMashujaa
0%4 goals0%
SimbaMashujaa

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time0%
SimbaMashujaa
0%BTTS in both halves0%
SimbaMashujaa
43%Scored in both halves14%
SimbaMashujaa

BTTS and goal count

43%Min. 3 goals and BTTS57%
SimbaMashujaa
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
SimbaMashujaa
40%BTTS - last 580%
SimbaMashujaa

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time43%
SimbaMashujaa
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
SimbaMashujaa
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
SimbaMashujaa

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time86%
SimbaMashujaa
29%Min. 2 goals after half-time57%
SimbaMashujaa
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time29%
SimbaMashujaa

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Simba is 71% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.71 pts / match - Simba · 1 pts / match - Mashujaa

Simba - half-time state
43% leading43% draw14% trailing
Mashujaa - half-time state
14% leading57% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.71Points per match (1st half)1
SimbaMashujaa
0.71Goals scored (1st half)0.14
SimbaMashujaa
0.29Goals conceded (1st half)0.29
SimbaMashujaa
1Average goals (1st half)0.43
SimbaMashujaa
71%Clean sheet before half-time71%
SimbaMashujaa
43%No goal before half-time86%
SimbaMashujaa

After half-time (2nd half)

2.57Points per match (2nd half)1.57
SimbaMashujaa
1.14Goals scored (2nd half)1
SimbaMashujaa
0.14Goals conceded (2nd half)0.71
SimbaMashujaa
1.29Average goals (2nd half)1.71
SimbaMashujaa
86%Clean sheet after half-time43%
SimbaMashujaa
14%No goal after half-time29%
SimbaMashujaa

Simba - second-half results

86% W0% D14% L
12
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.71
PPG before half-time
Lead holding233%

Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 100%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Mashujaa - second-half results

43% W29% D29% L
7
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding407%

Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Simba - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.203.00
Goals scored / match0.41.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.0
Average goals in match0.81.4
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%100%
No goal60%0%
Goal difference0+7
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 100% won - 0% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Mashujaa - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.40
Goals scored / match0.21.2
Goals conceded / match0.21.0
Average goals in match0.42.2
1 goal40%100%
2 goals0%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Simba
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
2
1
16-30
2
0
31-45
2
0
46-60
6
1
61-75
0
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Mashujaa
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
1
0
16-30
0
1
31-45
2
2
46-60
2
2
61-75
3
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.21
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
89%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+13%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
71%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Simba

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.93
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.50
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.34
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
126%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
43%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Mashujaa

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.25
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.38
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
114%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
68%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.09
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.9
Late goals
38% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
38%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligi kuu Bara).

Teams vs league

SimbaLigaMashujaa
Average goals in match▼ 2.292.48▼ 2.14
Both teams scored▼ 43%48%▲ 57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)• 43%43%▲ 57%
Clean sheets▲ 57%27%▼ 14%
Goal before half-time▼ 71%76%▼ 43%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%71%▲ 86%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.48
Average goals per match
48%
Both teams scored
43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.48
Home goals / match
1.00
Away goals / match
+48%
Home attack advantage
+32%
Home defence advantage
+26%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Home team

Substitutes

3Nickson Clement Kibabageon 1'
11Matlala Keletso Makgalwaon 1'
18Morice Michael Abraham⚽ 1 · on 1'
37Hussein Daudi Semfukoon 1'
47Ibrahim Abass Nindion 1'

Away team

Substitutes

5Abdallah Mfukoon 1'
38Mishamo Daud Michaelon 1'

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. SimbaGoalMorice Michael Abraham
  2. SimbaGoalIsmau00ebl Olivier Toure

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Simba 2 - 0 - 0 Mashujaa. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Mashujaa
0 : 3
Simba
Simba
2 : 0
Mashujaa

FAQ

What was the result of Simba vs Mashujaa?

The Ligi kuu Bara match finished Simba 6:1 Mashujaa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Simba and Mashujaa?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Simba won 2, Mashujaa won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Simba vs Mashujaa?

Simba score 1.86 goals per game on average and Mashujaa 1.14. The Ligi kuu Bara average is 2.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Simba's matches and 57% of Mashujaa's.

What form are Simba and Mashujaa in?

Over the last 5 games Simba have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Mashujaa 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Simba vs Mashujaa?

The statistical background for Simba vs Mashujaa — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.