Simba vs Mashujaa: match statistics
Simba vs Mashujaa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Simba played Mashujaa in Ligi kuu Bara (Tanzania). The match was played on 13 October 2026. Venue: Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium. Final score: 6:1.
Current form
Simba: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Mashujaa: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Simba scores 1.86 and concedes 0.43 goals per match. Mashujaa scores 1.14 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.48 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Simba 43%, Mashujaa 57%. Over 2.5: Simba 43%, Mashujaa 57%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Simba has higher xG: 1.70 vs 1.39. Simba: 9.0 shots per match, Mashujaa: 7.1.
Match halves
Simba: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 1.14. Mashujaa: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Simba: 61-75 (6 goals). Mashujaa: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligi kuu Bara: 2.48 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Simba have won all 6 matches this season and their last 5 games, while Mashujaa have recorded 3 wins and 2 defeats over the same period. The home advantage is clear: the hosts have won every home match without conceding, while the visitors have lost 3 of their 4 away games. Simba average 8 shots on target per home match, compared with Mashujaa’s 2.67 on the road, which should translate into more chances. The hosts’ home xG of 2.35 supports this, as does the 1.67 xG conceded by the visitors away from home. Mashujaa average just 0.5 goals away and have failed to score in half of those matches, making a Simba win the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Simba are clear favorites to score: they average 2.0 goals at home, while Mashujaa score just 0.5 goals away and failed to score in 50% of such matches. In their last 5 matches, Simba conceded just 1 goal, or 0.2 per match, limiting the visitors’ chances of breaking down this defense. Mashujaa’s conversion rate of 4% of shots also supports a cautious outlook, although their away xG of 1.30 shows they can create chances. The signals from the two teams are mixed: in their last 5 matches, both teams scored in 20% of Simba’s games and 80% of Mashujaa’s. However, the stronger case is the combination of the visitors’ poor away scoring record and the hosts’ current defensive form, making BTTS - No more likely: at least one team is expected not to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Simba average 2.0 goals at home, while Mashujaa score just 0.5 away, so the hosts are expected to contribute the larger share of the goals. In their last 5 matches, Simba have scored 12 goals and conceded just 1, limiting the visitors’ scoring prospects. Although every one of Simba’s home matches so far has featured at least 3 goals, none has gone Over 3.5; similarly, none of Mashujaa’s away matches has finished with 4 or more goals. The league average of 2.48 goals per match also supports caution about higher-scoring outcomes. Therefore, with the total-goals line set at 2.5, Under 3.5 goals is the strongest pick, although Simba’s scoring form means a 3:1 result cannot be ruled out.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: both teams went into the break level in 3 of their last 5 matches, while Mashujaa were also drawing at half-time in 75% of the matches covered by the season statistics. Simba have won all 5 of their last matches, but led at the break in only 2 of them during that period, pointing to a result being decided after the interval. The hosts averaged 1.6 goals in the second halves of those matches and conceded none, while the visitors conceded an average of 1.0 goals after the break. In addition, Simba average 2.0 goals per match at home, whereas Mashujaa score just 0.5 away from home, making a half-time draw followed by a home win the strongest HT/FT scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Simba | Mashujaa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 46% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.19 | 0.19 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.45 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Simba is 67% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / match - Simba · 1.8 pts / match - Mashujaa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Simba is 63% better for: goals scored per match.
1.86 goals / match - Simba · 1.14 goals / match - Mashujaa
Simba is 133% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.43 goals / match - Simba · 1 goals / match - Mashujaa
Simba scores in 100% of matches (7 of 7 matches), while Mashujaa keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).
Mashujaa scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while Simba keeps a clean sheet in 57% (4 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Simba
Over / Under - Mashujaa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Simba is 71% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.71 pts / match - Simba · 1 pts / match - Mashujaa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Simba - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 100%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Mashujaa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Simba
Mashujaa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligi kuu Bara).
Teams vs league
| Simba | Liga | Mashujaa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.29 | 2.48 | ▼ 2.14 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 48% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 43% | 43% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 57% | 27% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 76% | ▼ 43% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 71% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- SimbaGoalMorice Michael Abraham
- SimbaGoalIsmau00ebl Olivier Toure
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Simba 2 - 0 - 0 Mashujaa. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Simba vs Mashujaa?
The Ligi kuu Bara match finished Simba 6:1 Mashujaa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Simba and Mashujaa?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Simba won 2, Mashujaa won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Simba vs Mashujaa?
Simba score 1.86 goals per game on average and Mashujaa 1.14. The Ligi kuu Bara average is 2.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Simba's matches and 57% of Mashujaa's.
What form are Simba and Mashujaa in?
Over the last 5 games Simba have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Mashujaa 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Simba vs Mashujaa?
The statistical background for Simba vs Mashujaa — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


