Tanzania - Ligi kuu BaraBenjamin Mkapa National StadiumData current as of 17 October 2026

Simba vs Young Africans: match statistics

Simba crest
Simba
2 : 1half-time 0:1
Young Africans crest
Young Africans

Simba vs Young Africans: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Simba played Young Africans in Ligi kuu Bara (Tanzania). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Venue: Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

Simba: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Young Africans: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Simba scores 1.83 and concedes 0.33 goals per match. Young Africans scores 2.67 and concedes 0.33. League average: 2.50 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Simba 33%, Young Africans 33%. Over 2.5: Simba 33%, Young Africans 50%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 43%.

xG, shots and style

Young Africans has higher xG: 2.59 vs 1.67. Simba: 8.2 shots per match, Young Africans: 17.2.

Match halves

Simba: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.00. Young Africans: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 1.33.

Goals by minute

Simba: 61-75 (4 goals). Young Africans: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ligi kuu Bara: 2.50 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 43%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Simba have won all of their last 5 matches, scoring 12 goals and conceding just 1, while Young Africans have recorded 4 wins and a draw, with a goal difference of 8:2. However, the visitors have been more prolific over the course of the season, scoring 16 goals compared with the hosts’ 11, and average 2.5 goals per game away from home, against Simba’s 1.5 at home. The quality of chances also favors Young Africans, whose away xG stands at 2.7 compared with Simba’s 2.35 at home. The hosts offset that advantage with their defensive record: they have yet to concede at home and have kept a clean sheet in every match, while the visitors concede an average of 0.5 goals away from home. Given Simba’s formidable defense and Young Africans’ greater attacking potential, a draw looks the most likely outcome.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

I’m backing BTTS - No because Simba kept a clean sheet in 75% of their home matches, while Young Africans did so in 50% of their away games. The hosts concede an average of just 0.25 goals and the visitors 0.5, reducing the likelihood of both teams finding the net. BTTS occurred in 20% and 40% of these teams’ respective last five matches, so recent results also support this pick. However, the risk remains significant: both teams scored in every match in the samples considered, and their average attacking xG stands at 2.53 and 2.70. Therefore, the likelihood of at least one team failing to score is only moderately favored, rather than decisively so.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

Both teams have potent attacks: Simba score an average of 2.75 goals, while Young Africans average 2.5, yet they concede just 0.25 and 0.5 goals per match, respectively. In their last five matches, Simba conceded 1 goal and Young Africans conceded 2; during this period, each team went Over 2.5 goals in only 20% of matches. Although their attacking xG averages stand at 2.53 for Simba and 2.70 for Young Africans, the opposition defences bring the forecast down to a combined total of 2.35 goals. Under 3.5 goals is the strongest pick, as it reflects both teams’ defensive strength and their recent scoring records, despite half of each team’s matches going Over this line over the course of the season.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

The most likely scenario is that Simba lead at the break and maintain their advantage through to the end of the match. The hosts led at half-time in 3 of their 4 home matches, scoring an average of 1.75 goals in the first half, while Young Africans averaged 0.5 goals before the break away from home. Simba’s recent record also supports a home win: they have won all 5 of their last 5 matches and scored an average of 2.4 goals per game, compared with 4 wins and 1.6 goals per game for the visitors. However, this HT/FT pick is not without risk, as Young Africans have yet to concede a first-half goal in an away match, and their xG is 2.70 compared with Simba’s 2.53. Despite the visitors’ strength, the hosts’ early-match advantage and their average of just 0.25 goals conceded at home justify choosing 1/1.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
2 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

61Possession (%)39
SimbaYoung Africans
14Shots2
SimbaYoung Africans
6Shots on target1
SimbaYoung Africans
1.83xG0.48
SimbaYoung Africans
4Corners2
SimbaYoung Africans
73Dangerous attacks38
SimbaYoung Africans
8Fouls22
SimbaYoung Africans
0Cards0
SimbaYoung Africans

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.83Goals scored / match2.67
SimbaYoung Africans
0.33Goals conceded / match0.33
SimbaYoung Africans
58%Average possession66%
SimbaYoung Africans
3.83Shots on target / match8.67
SimbaYoung Africans

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.17Shots per match17.17
SimbaYoung Africans
3.83Shots on target8.67
SimbaYoung Africans
22.4%Shot conversion15.5%
SimbaYoung Africans
58%Possession66%
SimbaYoung Africans
1.67xG for2.59
SimbaYoung Africans
0.83xG against0.73
SimbaYoung Africans

Shooting quality

Simba: Efficient finishingYoung Africans: Dominant
SimbaYoung Africans
Accuracy (shots on target)47%50%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.200.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.480.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Simba
WWWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
100% W0% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-0-0
3.00 pts / match · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-0-0
Last 5 at home
2-0-0
WW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.67Opponent xG: 0.83BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Young Africans
WWWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
100% W0% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-0-0
3.00 pts / match · goal difference +14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-0-0
Last 5 away
2-0-0
WW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 0.2xG: 2.53Opponent xG: 0.71BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Young Africans is 46% better for: goals scored per match.

1.83 goals / match - Simba · 2.67 goals / match - Young Africans

Simba scoring profile: strong

Simba scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while Young Africans keeps a clean sheet in 67% (4 of 6 matches).

Young Africans scoring profile: strong

Young Africans scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while Simba keeps a clean sheet in 67% (4 of 6 matches).

11Goals scored (season)16
SimbaYoung Africans
2Goals conceded (season)2
SimbaYoung Africans
2.17Average goals in match3
SimbaYoung Africans
9Goals scored (last 5)13
SimbaYoung Africans
2Goals conceded (last 5)1
SimbaYoung Africans

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal100%
SimbaYoung Africans
83%2 goals83%
SimbaYoung Africans
0%3 goals50%
SimbaYoung Africans
0%4 goals33%
SimbaYoung Africans

How often they concede at least...

33%1 goal33%
SimbaYoung Africans
0%2 goals0%
SimbaYoung Africans
0%3 goals0%
SimbaYoung Africans
0%4 goals0%
SimbaYoung Africans

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

48%
League average

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time0%
SimbaYoung Africans
0%BTTS in both halves0%
SimbaYoung Africans
50%Scored in both halves50%
SimbaYoung Africans

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
SimbaYoung Africans
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
SimbaYoung Africans
40%BTTS - last 520%
SimbaYoung Africans

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
SimbaYoung Africans
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
SimbaYoung Africans
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
SimbaYoung Africans

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
SimbaYoung Africans
17%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
SimbaYoung Africans
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
SimbaYoung Africans

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Young Africans is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2 pts / match - Simba · 2.33 pts / match - Young Africans

Simba - half-time state
50% leading50% draw0% trailing
Young Africans - half-time state
67% leading33% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2Points per match (1st half)2.33
SimbaYoung Africans
0.83Goals scored (1st half)1.33
SimbaYoung Africans
0.17Goals conceded (1st half)0
SimbaYoung Africans
1Average goals (1st half)1.33
SimbaYoung Africans
83%Clean sheet before half-time100%
SimbaYoung Africans
33%No goal before half-time33%
SimbaYoung Africans

After half-time (2nd half)

2.5Points per match (2nd half)2.67
SimbaYoung Africans
1Goals scored (2nd half)1.33
SimbaYoung Africans
0.17Goals conceded (2nd half)0.33
SimbaYoung Africans
1.17Average goals (2nd half)1.67
SimbaYoung Africans
83%Clean sheet after half-time67%
SimbaYoung Africans
17%No goal after half-time17%
SimbaYoung Africans

Simba - second-half results

83% W0% D17% L
12
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 100%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Young Africans - second-half results

83% W17% D0% L
14
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding149%

Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 100%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Simba - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.802.40
Goals scored / match0.81.0
Goals conceded / match0.20.2
Average goals in match1.01.2
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+3+4
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Young Africans - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.602.60
Goals scored / match1.61.0
Goals conceded / match0.00.2
Average goals in match1.61.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet100%80%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+8+4
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 8

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Simba
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
2
1
16-30
2
0
31-45
2
0
46-60
4
1
61-75
0
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Young Africans
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
4
0
16-30
4
0
31-45
2
0
46-60
3
0
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.58
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
103%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
33%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-23%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
100%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Simba

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.84
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.66
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.50
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
124%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
32%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Young Africans

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.86
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.48
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.40
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
262%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
22%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligi kuu Bara).

Teams vs league

SimbaLigaYoung Africans
Average goals in match▼ 2.172.50▲ 3.00
Both teams scored▼ 33%48%▼ 33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 33%43%▲ 50%
Clean sheets▲ 67%27%▲ 67%
Goal before half-time▼ 67%75%▼ 67%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%71%▲ 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.50
Average goals per match
48%
Both teams scored
43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.48
Home goals / match
1.02
Away goals / match
+45%
Home attack advantage
+31%
Home defence advantage
+24%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Simba 0 - 2 - 0 Young Africans. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Simba vs Young Africans?

The Ligi kuu Bara match finished Simba 2:1 Young Africans. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Simba and Young Africans?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Simba won 0, Young Africans won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Simba vs Young Africans?

Simba score 1.83 goals per game on average and Young Africans 2.67. The Ligi kuu Bara average is 2.50 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Simba's matches and 33% of Young Africans's.

What form are Simba and Young Africans in?

Over the last 5 games Simba have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Young Africans 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Simba vs Young Africans?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Simba vs Young Africans: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.