Sint-Truiden vs Cercle Brugge: match statistics
Sint-Truiden display significantly better home form with an impressive 69% win rate at home and only 15% of matches without a goal scored. The hosts occupy a high 3rd place in the table, averaging 1.54 goals per home match with an expected xG of 1.71, indicating offensive efficiency. Cercle Brugge have problems away from home – 31% of their matches end without scoring, and their average away xG (1.42) is lower than Sint-Truiden's defensive xG (1.3). The recent form of both teams also favors the hosts, who have won 3 of their last 5 matches, while the visitors have averaged only 1.4 points per match in this period. Sint-Truiden's home goal difference (+5) and higher average ball possession (53% vs 46%) further support the prediction of a home win.
Sint-Truiden vs Cercle Brugge: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sint-Truiden played Cercle Brugge in Pro League (Belgium). The match was played on 8 March 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Sint-Truiden: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Cercle Brugge: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sint-Truiden scores 1.63 and concedes 1.11 goals per match. Cercle Brugge scores 1.26 and concedes 1.48. League average: 2.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sint-Truiden 56%, Cercle Brugge 59%. Over 2.5: Sint-Truiden 56%, Cercle Brugge 44%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Sint-Truiden has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.53. Sint-Truiden: 14.4 shots per match, Cercle Brugge: 13.7.
Match halves
Sint-Truiden: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.85. Cercle Brugge: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.48.
Goals by minute
Sint-Truiden: 76-90+ (13 goals). Cercle Brugge: 31-45+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Pro League: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Sint-Truiden display significantly better home form with an impressive 69% win rate at home and only 15% of matches without a goal scored. The hosts occupy a high 3rd place in the table, averaging 1.54 goals per home match with an expected xG of 1.71, indicating offensive efficiency. Cercle Brugge have problems away from home – 31% of their matches end without scoring, and their average away xG (1.42) is lower than Sint-Truiden's defensive xG (1.3). The recent form of both teams also favors the hosts, who have won 3 of their last 5 matches, while the visitors have averaged only 1.4 points per match in this period. Sint-Truiden's home goal difference (+5) and higher average ball possession (53% vs 46%) further support the prediction of a home win.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sint-Truiden | Cercle Brugge | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sint-Truiden is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Sint-Truiden · 1.4 pts / match - Cercle Brugge
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sint-Truiden is 29% better for: goals scored per match.
1.63 goals / match - Sint-Truiden · 1.26 goals / match - Cercle Brugge
Sint-Truiden is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.11 goals / match - Sint-Truiden · 1.48 goals / match - Cercle Brugge
Sint-Truiden scores in 81% of matches (22 of 27 matches), while Cercle Brugge keeps a clean sheet in 26% (7 of 27 matches).
Cercle Brugge scores in 74% of matches (20 of 27 matches), while Sint-Truiden keeps a clean sheet in 26% (7 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sint-Truiden
Over / Under - Cercle Brugge
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sint-Truiden is 36% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.56 pts / match - Sint-Truiden · 1.15 pts / match - Cercle Brugge
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sint-Truiden - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Cercle Brugge - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 22%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sint-Truiden
Cercle Brugge
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Pro League).
Teams vs league
| Sint-Truiden | Liga | Cercle Brugge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.74 | 2.59 | ▲ 2.74 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 54% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 47% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | • 26% | 27% | • 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 72% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 73% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Sint-Truiden 0 - 1 - 0 Cercle Brugge. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sint-Truiden vs Cercle Brugge?
The Pro League match finished Sint-Truiden 2:1 Cercle Brugge. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Sint-Truiden vs Cercle Brugge?
Sint-Truiden score 1.63 goals per game on average and Cercle Brugge 1.26. The Pro League average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Sint-Truiden's matches and 59% of Cercle Brugge's.
What form are Sint-Truiden and Cercle Brugge in?
Over the last 5 games Sint-Truiden have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Cercle Brugge 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sint-Truiden vs Cercle Brugge?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.