Smiltene vs Leevon / PPK: match statistics
Smiltene vs Leevon / PPK: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Smiltene played Leevon / PPK in 1. Liga (Latvia). The match was played on 18 April 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Smiltene: 0-2-1, 0.67 points/match. Leevon / PPK: 2-1-0, 2.33 points/match.
Goal statistics
Smiltene scores 2.00 and concedes 3.33 goals per match. Leevon / PPK scores 1.33 and concedes 0.33. League average: 3.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Smiltene 67%, Leevon / PPK 33%. Over 2.5: Smiltene 100%, Leevon / PPK 33%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 76%.
xG, shots and style
Smiltene has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.41. Smiltene: 11.0 shots per match, Leevon / PPK: 11.0.
Match halves
Smiltene: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 2.00. Leevon / PPK: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Smiltene: 76-90+ (4 goals). Leevon / PPK: 46-60 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1. Liga: 3.62 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 76%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 4.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Leevon/PPK demonstrates a clearly superior run — averaging 2.2 points per game over the last 5 matches with form 'dwwwd', versus 0.8 points and form 'ddddl' for Smiltene, and the visitors sit 4th compared to 10th in the table. The visitors' defense is decisive: Leevon/PPK concedes on average 0.5 goals away, while Smiltene concedes 3.0 goals at home. In terms of chance quality, home xG for the hosts is 1.77 versus 1.78 for the visitors, indicating a similar level of chance creation, but Smiltene relies on higher finishing efficiency (conversion 23% and an average of 7 shots on target), which can be unstable. The visitors also have greater possession (56% vs 47%) and 50% clean sheets away, allowing them to better control matches and limit opponents' chances. Considering the hosts' lack of home wins (0) and the visitors' perfect away win rate (100% in available data) combined with the defensive and points-per-game advantage, I predict a Leevon/PPK victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Data analysis indicates a clear lean toward BTTS - Yes: the league records 62% of matches with both teams scoring, and Smiltene has 80% BTTS in the last 5 matches with an average 1.8 goals scored and 2.6 conceded (9 scored, 13 conceded in the last 5). Leevon/PPK away this season average 2.0 goals scored with xG 1.78 and average 15 shots with 5 on target; the visitors have 60% BTTS in their last 5 matches and during that period score 1.6 and concede 0.8 goals (8 scored, 4 conceded). The hosts show low season-long xG values of 0.68 and only 3 shots per match on average, but the last 5 games show higher attacking xG of 2.08 and xG against 2.34, indicating more goal-scoring opportunities. Despite the hosts’ season BTTS rate of 0% and formally 100% clean sheets at home, the last 5 matches (80% BTTS, 1.8/2.6 goals) demonstrate Smiltene frequently concedes in practice. Considering the league BTTS level of 62% and recent signals of 80% and 60% BTTS for home and away sides, I assess BTTS probability at 75% (Yes) and 25% (No).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on home xG 0.68 and away xG 1.78, and xG against 1.27 (home) and 1.04 (away), I expect greater attacking activity from Leevon/PPK. The visitors average 15 shots and 5 on target per match versus 3 and 1 for the hosts, with a conversion rate of 13% versus 0%, translating to projected goals: 0.86 for Smiltene and 1.53 for Leevon/PPK (total 2.39). The total of 2.39 is clearly above the 1.5 threshold, so Over 1.5 is a strong and safe signal, while it is slightly below 2.5, making the 2.5 market balanced. Additionally, the league averages 3.62 goals per game, and 80% of the hosts’ last 5 matches were Over 2.5, which increases the probability of at least two goals despite the hosts’ contradictory seasonal indicators (100% clean sheets this season). For these reasons I recommend playing Over 1.5 as the best line; the expected 1.53 away goals and 0.86 home goals give a clear edge over the 1.5 threshold.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The data clearly show Leevon/PPK's superiority: the away team averages 2.0 goals per game versus the home side's 0.0, xG 1.78 versus 0.68, 15 shots versus 3 and 5 shots on target versus 1, giving them a large advantage in chance creation. A draw at Half-Time is very likely — seasonally the home team has had 100% of matches level at the break, and in the last 5 fixtures the away side were level at the break in 60% of cases, hence a high share of X at Half-Time. After the break the visitors statistically dominate: an average of 1.5 goals in the second half and 100% of Leevon/PPK’s matches featuring a goal after the break, combined with a conversion rate of 13% versus 0% for the home team, suggest the away side are most likely to decide the match. On this basis I select HT/FT X/2 as the strongest signal (I assign it 33%), followed by X/X 18% and 2/2 23%, while scenarios with the home side leading at Half-Time are rated very low (1–2%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Smiltene | Leevon / PPK | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 55% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Leevon / PPK is 248% better for: last-5 form.
0.67 pts / match - Smiltene · 2.33 pts / match - Leevon / PPK
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Smiltene is 50% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - Smiltene · 1.33 goals / match - Leevon / PPK
Leevon / PPK is 909% better for: goals conceded per match.
3.33 goals / match - Smiltene · 0.33 goals / match - Leevon / PPK
Smiltene scores in 67% of matches (2 of 3 matches), while Leevon / PPK keeps a clean sheet in 67% (2 of 3 matches).
Leevon / PPK scores in 67% of matches (2 of 3 matches), while Smiltene keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Smiltene
Over / Under - Leevon / PPK
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Smiltene - second-half results
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Leevon / PPK - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.3 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.3 | 4.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 100% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 0% |
| No goal | 100% | 33% |
| Goal difference | -4 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.33 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 33% | 67% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 33% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 100% |
| No goal | 67% | 33% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Smiltene
Leevon / PPK
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Smiltene | Liga | Leevon / PPK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 5.33 | 3.62 | ▼ 1.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 62% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 100% | 76% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 21% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 81% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 81% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Smiltene 0 - 0 - 2 Leevon / PPK. Average goals 4.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Smiltene vs Leevon / PPK?
The 1. Liga match finished Smiltene 0:0 Leevon / PPK. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Smiltene and Leevon / PPK?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Smiltene won 0, Leevon / PPK won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Smiltene vs Leevon / PPK?
Smiltene score 2.00 goals per game on average and Leevon / PPK 1.33. The 1. Liga average is 3.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 76% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Smiltene's matches and 33% of Leevon / PPK's.
What form are Smiltene and Leevon / PPK in?
Over the last 5 games Smiltene have a 0-2-1 record (0.67 points per game) and Leevon / PPK 2-1-0 (2.33 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Smiltene vs Leevon / PPK?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.