Smiltene vs Mārupe: match statistics
Smiltene vs Mārupe: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Smiltene played Mārupe in 1. Liga (Latvia). The match was played on 31 October 2026. Venue: Tepera stadions. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Smiltene: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Mārupe: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Smiltene scores 1.58 and concedes 2.54 goals per match. Mārupe scores 1.58 and concedes 1.67. League average: 3.71 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Smiltene 63%, Mārupe 50%. Over 2.5: Smiltene 71%, Mārupe 71%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 71%.
xG, shots and style
Mārupe has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.28. Smiltene: 8.5 shots per match, Mārupe: 8.9.
Match halves
Smiltene: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.92. Mārupe: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 1.08.
Goals by minute
Smiltene: 46-60 (9 goals). Mārupe: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1. Liga: 3.71 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 71%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-2. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Smiltene have won their last five matches, scoring 15 goals and conceding 5, while Mārupe recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat over the same period. This run favors the hosts, who average 1.83 goals per game at home, compared with Mārupe’s 1.45 away from home. However, the visitors have a clearly stronger defence: they concede an average of 1.45 goals away, while Smiltene concede as many as 2.58 at home. The quality of chances created is similar, with an xG of 1.36 for the hosts and 1.48 for the visitors, so Smiltene’s edge is based primarily on their current finishing form. I’m backing a home win, although their defensive issues mean Mārupe still have a significant chance.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I’m backing both teams to score, as Smiltene average 1.69 goals and Mārupe 1.45, while conceding 1.85 and 1.45 goals on average, respectively. Their attacking potential is reflected in xG figures of 1.33 for the hosts and 1.48 for the visitors, while in their last 5 matches, their opponents created chances worth an average of 1.84 and 1.76 xG. Both teams scored in 80% of Smiltene’s last 5 matches, compared with just 40% for Mārupe, which reduces confidence in the prediction. Across the season, those rates stand at 46% and 55%, but the league average of 62% and the vulnerability of both defences tip the assessment towards BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Smiltene average 1.69 goals per match, while Mārupe average 1.45; the hosts also concede 1.85 goals, supporting the prospect of both teams finding the net. At least two goals were scored in 85% of Smiltene’s matches and 73% of Mārupe’s, giving Over 1.5 stronger statistical backing than higher lines. The hosts’ last five matches averaged 4.0 goals, while the visitors’ averaged 3.4, although these results may be more volatile than their season averages. The 3.30-goal forecast also supports Over 2.5, but Over 1.5 remains the safest pick, with an estimated probability of 85%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Smiltene have won their last five matches and led at the break in every one of them, making a home lead at both half-time and full-time the strongest signal. During this run, they averaged 1.8 goals before the break, while Mārupe failed to score in the first half in 3 of their last 5 matches. The hosts also maintained their advantage after the interval: across their last five matches, they averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded in the second half, compared with 0.6 and 0.8 respectively for the visitors. Caution is nevertheless warranted, as Mārupe averaged 1.55 points per match over the season compared with Smiltene’s 1.23, and the hosts led at the break in only 23% of their matches. Even so, the difference in recent form—five wins for Smiltene compared with two for Mārupe in their last five matches—favours a scenario in which the hosts lead at the break and go on to win.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Smiltene | Mārupe | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 49% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Smiltene is 88% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / match - Smiltene · 1.6 pts / match - Mārupe
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mārupe is 52% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.54 goals / match - Smiltene · 1.67 goals / match - Mārupe
Smiltene scores in 71% of matches (17 of 24 matches), while Mārupe keeps a clean sheet in 33% (8 of 24 matches).
Mārupe scores in 71% of matches (17 of 24 matches), while Smiltene keeps a clean sheet in 13% (3 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Smiltene
Over / Under - Mārupe
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Smiltene is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / match - Smiltene · 0.88 pts / match - Mārupe
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Smiltene - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Mārupe - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +7 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Smiltene
Mārupe
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Smiltene | Liga | Mārupe | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.13 | 3.71 | ▼ 3.25 |
| Both teams scored | • 63% | 62% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 71% | 71% | • 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 21% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 77% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 83% | ▼ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- MārupeGoalKristaps Strupišs
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Smiltene 1 - 0 - 2 Mārupe. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Smiltene vs Mārupe?
The 1. Liga match finished Smiltene 1:1 Mārupe. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Smiltene and Mārupe?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Smiltene won 1, Mārupe won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Smiltene vs Mārupe?
Smiltene score 1.58 goals per game on average and Mārupe 1.58. The 1. Liga average is 3.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 71% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Smiltene's matches and 50% of Mārupe's.
What form are Smiltene and Mārupe in?
Over the last 5 games Smiltene have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Mārupe 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Smiltene vs Mārupe?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.