Smiltene vs Riga FC II: match statistics
Smiltene vs Riga FC II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Smiltene played Riga FC II in 1. Liga (Latvia). The match was played on 17 October 2026. Venue: Tepera stadions. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Smiltene: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Riga FC II: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Smiltene scores 1.45 and concedes 2.68 goals per match. Riga FC II scores 1.55 and concedes 1.68. League average: 3.72 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Smiltene 59%, Riga FC II 59%. Over 2.5: Smiltene 68%, Riga FC II 64%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 70%.
xG, shots and style
Riga FC II has higher xG: 1.33 vs 1.26. Smiltene: 8.8 shots per match, Riga FC II: 8.6.
Match halves
Smiltene: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.86. Riga FC II: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.86.
Goals by minute
Smiltene: 46-60 (7 goals). Riga FC II: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1. Liga: 3.72 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 70%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-1. Average goals 3.33, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Smiltene have home advantage, scoring an average of 1.73 goals per match at home, while Riga FC II score just 0.9 goals away and fail to find the net in 50% of their matches. The hosts have won 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 goals in that run but conceding 12, so their improved results have not been matched by defensive consistency. The visitors are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, conceding just 4 goals over that period, although their away record shows only a 10% win rate and a 60% loss rate. Smiltene create chances worth an average of 1.36 xG at home, compared with Riga FC II’s 1.15 xG away, strengthening the case for the hosts. I’m backing a home win, but Smiltene’s average of 2.73 goals conceded per home match means a draw or a Riga FC II win remain realistic outcomes.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Smiltene score an average of 2.08 goals per match, while Riga FC II concede 1.80, giving the hosts a solid foundation to find the net. The visitors have a lower season average of 0.90 goals and have failed to score in 50% of their matches; however, they have averaged 2.0 goals across their last five games. Over the same period, Smiltene conceded 2.4 goals per match, and both teams scored in 60% of their respective matches. The risk of the visitors failing to score remains significant, but their recent scoring form and the hosts’ defensive frailties tip the prediction towards BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal is for at least two goals: this total was reached in 100% of Smiltene’s matches and 90% of Riga FC II’s. The hosts average 2.08 goals scored, while the visitors concede 1.80, giving Smiltene a solid scoring platform. Riga FC II has a lower season average of 0.90 goals, but has averaged 2.00 in its last five matches, while Smiltene has conceded 2.40. The projected total of 3.07 goals also supports Over 2.5, although its historical success rate is 75% for the hosts and just 50% for the visitors. Over 1.5 is therefore the safer choice than the higher lines, despite both teams’ recent form suggesting the potential for a higher-scoring game.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Smiltene have won 58% of their matches this season, compared with just 10% for Riga FC II, giving the hosts a clear edge in the full-time result outlook. Smiltene led at the break in 42% of matches, versus 10% for their opponents, and were ahead at half-time in three of their last five games, while Riga FC II did not lead at the break in any of them. The hosts average 2.08 goals per match against the visitors’ 0.90, and their average of 5.83 shots on target compared with 3.38 for Riga FC II further increases the likelihood that they will take the lead and hold on to it. The 1/1 scenario is not certain, however: Riga FC II were level at half-time in four of their last five matches and averaged 1.6 goals after the break in those games, making a half-time draw followed by a Smiltene win a significant alternative.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Smiltene | Riga FC II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 49% | 51% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Riga FC II is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1.45 goals / match - Smiltene · 1.55 goals / match - Riga FC II
Riga FC II is 60% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.68 goals / match - Smiltene · 1.68 goals / match - Riga FC II
Smiltene scores in 68% of matches (15 of 22 matches), while Riga FC II keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 matches).
Riga FC II scores in 73% of matches (16 of 22 matches), while Smiltene keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Smiltene
Over / Under - Riga FC II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Riga FC II is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.95 pts / match - Smiltene · 1.23 pts / match - Riga FC II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Smiltene - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Riga FC II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +7 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Smiltene
Riga FC II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Smiltene | Liga | Riga FC II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.14 | 3.72 | ▼ 3.23 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 59% | 63% | ▼ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 68% | 70% | ▼ 64% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 20% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | • 77% | 76% | • 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 83% | • 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Smiltene 2 - 0 - 1 Riga FC II. Average goals 3.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Smiltene vs Riga FC II?
The 1. Liga match finished Smiltene 3:1 Riga FC II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Smiltene and Riga FC II?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Smiltene won 2, Riga FC II won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Smiltene vs Riga FC II?
Smiltene score 1.45 goals per game on average and Riga FC II 1.55. The 1. Liga average is 3.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 70% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Smiltene's matches and 59% of Riga FC II's.
What form are Smiltene and Riga FC II in?
Over the last 5 games Smiltene have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Riga FC II 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Smiltene vs Riga FC II?
The statistical background for Smiltene vs Riga FC II — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.