Sofapaka vs Bidco United: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a balanced contest between two teams in poor form. Sofapaka has a dismal run in the last five matches (0.4 PPG) with just a 13% win rate at home, where they lose half of their fixtures. Bidco United performs even worse in the last five games (0.2 PPG) and has failed to score in 57% of away matches. Both teams are characterized by low offensive efficiency – Sofapaka averages 0.63 goals at home, and Bidco United 0.57 away. xG values are very close (0.88 vs 0.74), confirming a level playing field in terms of chance creation. Given the poor form of both squads, high draw percentages (38% for the hosts, 29% for the visitors), and low average goal count per match, the most probable outcome is a draw, likely goalless or 1-1.
Sofapaka vs Bidco United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sofapaka played Bidco United in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The match was played on 10 January 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Sofapaka: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Bidco United: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sofapaka scores 0.73 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. Bidco United scores 0.47 and concedes 0.80. League average: 1.91 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sofapaka 27%, Bidco United 20%. Over 2.5: Sofapaka 27%, Bidco United 20%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 30%.
xG, shots and style
Sofapaka has higher xG: 1.37 vs 1.22. Sofapaka: 9.4 shots per match, Bidco United: 7.1.
Match halves
Sofapaka: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.33. Bidco United: half-time lead 7%, second-half goals 0.20.
Goals by minute
Sofapaka: 0-15 (3 goals). Bidco United: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kenyan Premier League: 1.91 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 30%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to a balanced contest between two teams in poor form. Sofapaka has a dismal run in the last five matches (0.4 PPG) with just a 13% win rate at home, where they lose half of their fixtures. Bidco United performs even worse in the last five games (0.2 PPG) and has failed to score in 57% of away matches. Both teams are characterized by low offensive efficiency – Sofapaka averages 0.63 goals at home, and Bidco United 0.57 away. xG values are very close (0.88 vs 0.74), confirming a level playing field in terms of chance creation. Given the poor form of both squads, high draw percentages (38% for the hosts, 29% for the visitors), and low average goal count per match, the most probable outcome is a draw, likely goalless or 1-1.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sofapaka | Bidco United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sofapaka is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Sofapaka · 0.2 pts / match - Bidco United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sofapaka is 55% better for: goals scored per match.
0.73 goals / match - Sofapaka · 0.47 goals / match - Bidco United
Bidco United is 41% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.13 goals / match - Sofapaka · 0.8 goals / match - Bidco United
Sofapaka scores in 40% of matches (6 of 15 matches), while Bidco United keeps a clean sheet in 47% (7 of 15 matches).
Bidco United scores in 33% of matches (5 of 15 matches), while Sofapaka keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sofapaka
Over / Under - Bidco United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sofapaka is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.2 pts / match - Sofapaka · 1.07 pts / match - Bidco United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sofapaka - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Bidco United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sofapaka
Bidco United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Sofapaka | Liga | Bidco United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.87 | 1.91 | ▼ 1.27 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 27% | 40% | ▼ 20% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 27% | 30% | ▼ 20% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 27% | 38% | ▲ 47% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 47% | 34% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 40% | 36% | ▼ 27% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Sofapaka vs Bidco United?
The Kenyan Premier League match finished Sofapaka 1:1 Bidco United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Sofapaka vs Bidco United?
Sofapaka score 0.73 goals per game on average and Bidco United 0.47. The Kenyan Premier League average is 1.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 30% of games. Both teams score in 27% of Sofapaka's matches and 20% of Bidco United's.
What form are Sofapaka and Bidco United in?
Over the last 5 games Sofapaka have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Bidco United 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sofapaka vs Bidco United?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Sofapaka vs Bidco United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.