Spezia vs Monza: match statistics
Monza is the clear favorite for this encounter, sitting in 2nd place in the table with an impressive record of 18 wins this season. Their form is excellent - 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches, with just 2 goals conceded. Spezia, meanwhile, finds itself in 19th position with only 6 victories all season and a negative goal difference (-8) at home. The hosts have won only 21% of their home games and failed to score in 36% of matches, which, combined with poor form (1 win in the last 5 matches), makes them very vulnerable to defeat. Monza boasts better statistics in all key aspects: more shots on target (4.21 vs 3.71), higher conversion rate (10% vs 7%), superior ball possession, and a significantly better defense. The gap in class between the two teams is evident, arguing for a confident victory for the visitors.
Spezia vs Monza: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Spezia played Monza in Serie B (Italy). The match was played on 7 March 2026. Final score: 4:2.
Current form
Spezia: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Monza: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Spezia scores 0.89 and concedes 1.32 goals per match. Monza scores 1.57 and concedes 0.75. League average: 2.52 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Spezia 50%, Monza 50%. Over 2.5: Spezia 36%, Monza 46%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Monza has higher xG: 1.58 vs 1.29. Spezia: 11.1 shots per match, Monza: 14.4.
Match halves
Spezia: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.46. Monza: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.93.
Goals by minute
Spezia: 76-90+ (8 goals). Monza: 46-60 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.52 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Monza is the clear favorite for this encounter, sitting in 2nd place in the table with an impressive record of 18 wins this season. Their form is excellent - 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches, with just 2 goals conceded. Spezia, meanwhile, finds itself in 19th position with only 6 victories all season and a negative goal difference (-8) at home. The hosts have won only 21% of their home games and failed to score in 36% of matches, which, combined with poor form (1 win in the last 5 matches), makes them very vulnerable to defeat. Monza boasts better statistics in all key aspects: more shots on target (4.21 vs 3.71), higher conversion rate (10% vs 7%), superior ball possession, and a significantly better defense. The gap in class between the two teams is evident, arguing for a confident victory for the visitors.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Spezia | Monza | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Monza is 160% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Spezia · 2.6 pts / match - Monza
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Monza is 76% better for: goals scored per match.
0.89 goals / match - Spezia · 1.57 goals / match - Monza
Monza is 76% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.32 goals / match - Spezia · 0.75 goals / match - Monza
Spezia scores in 64% of matches (18 of 28 matches), while Monza keeps a clean sheet in 39% (11 of 28 matches).
Monza scores in 86% of matches (24 of 28 matches), while Spezia keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Spezia
Over / Under - Monza
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Monza is 66% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.93 pts / match - Spezia · 1.54 pts / match - Monza
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Spezia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Monza - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 64%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Spezia
Monza
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Spezia | Liga | Monza | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.21 | 2.52 | ▼ 2.32 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 56% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 36% | 49% | ▼ 46% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 26% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 71% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 75% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Spezia 0 - 0 - 1 Monza. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Spezia vs Monza?
The Serie B match finished Spezia 4:2 Monza. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Spezia vs Monza?
Spezia score 0.89 goals per game on average and Monza 1.57. The Serie B average is 2.52 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Spezia's matches and 50% of Monza's.
What form are Spezia and Monza in?
Over the last 5 games Spezia have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Monza 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Spezia vs Monza?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.