Sporting CP II vs FC Penafiel: match statistics
Sporting CP II vs FC Penafiel: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sporting CP II played FC Penafiel in LigaPro (Portugal). The match was played on 4 April 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Sporting CP II: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. FC Penafiel: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sporting CP II scores 1.44 and concedes 0.96 goals per match. FC Penafiel scores 0.81 and concedes 0.96. League average: 2.45 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sporting CP II 37%, FC Penafiel 37%. Over 2.5: Sporting CP II 48%, FC Penafiel 26%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Sporting CP II has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.30. Sporting CP II: 11.8 shots per match, FC Penafiel: 11.1.
Match halves
Sporting CP II: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.74. FC Penafiel: half-time lead 7%, second-half goals 0.59.
Goals by minute
Sporting CP II: 31-45+ (10 goals). FC Penafiel: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
LigaPro: 2.45 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Sporting CP II has a clear offensive advantage at home: on average 1.69 goals per home match with 12.15 shots and 5.15 on target, versus Penafiel’s 0.85 goals, 9.77 shots and 3.23 on target away. Home side conversion rate is around 14% compared to 9% for the visitors, and xG shows 1.49 for Sporting CP II against 1.15 for Penafiel, indicating the hosts create and convert better chances. Defensively both teams concede on average 1.08 goals per match, but Penafiel has higher expected goals against on the road (xG against 1.76), pointing to greater vulnerability to the hosts’ chances. Recent form is weak — both teams average 0.6 points per match over the last five and have scored 2 goals each (Sporting conceded 5, Penafiel 4), which raises the risk of a low-scoring game or draw. Considering the superiority in chance creation (more shots, better xG and 53% possession vs 42% for the visitors) and the high share of Penafiel away matches without a goal (46%), I favor a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have low seasonal BTTS rates: Sporting II 36% and Penafiel 38%, which is below the league average of 47% and provides a baseline signal against the "Both Teams To Score" option. This season Sporting II failed to score in 36% of matches and Penafiel in 46%, so assuming independence the probability that both teams score is roughly 0.64×0.54≈34.6% (≈35%). In the last 5 matches BTTS rates are even lower (20% for the home side and 40% for the visitors), and both teams averaged only 0.4 goals per match in that period, with Sporting conceding 5 goals and Penafiel 4, indicating a low-goal environment. Technical indicators show Sporting creates more chances (xG 1.42, 11.93 shots, 3.93 on target) than Penafiel (xG 1.15, 9.77 shots, 3.23 on target), but low conversion rates (7% and 9%) and seasonal goals averages of 0.79 and 0.85 suggest those chances rarely convert into goals for both sides. Based on this I assign BTTS 'yes' ~33% and 'no' 67% and recommend the 'no' pick as the strongest signal from the provided data.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I project a total of 1.65 goals: Sporting CP II 0.80 and FC Penafiel 0.85. Total xG is 2.57 (1.42 + 1.15), and season percentages of matches over 1.5 goals are 64% for Sporting and 54% for Penafiel, which strongly supports the 1.5 line. However both teams regularly underperform their xG: Sporting averages 0.79 goals versus xG 1.42 (about 56% conversion), and Penafiel 0.85 versus xG 1.15 (about 74%), so the adjusted forecast is closer to actual goals than raw xG. Seasonal probability of Over 2.5 is only 14% (Sporting) and 38% (Penafiel), so I assess Over 2.5 at ~26% and Over 3.5 at only ~9%. As a result the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (estimated 75% chance), therefore I recommend betting Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at Half-Time appears most likely: Sporting CP II drew at the break in 57% of their matches, and Penafiel in 69%, with the home side leading at the break in only 14% of games and the visitors in 0%. Despite this, I favour Sporting in the Full-Time result because they average 1.21 points per match versus Penafiel’s 0.92, have a higher xG (1.42 vs 1.15), more shots (11.93 vs 9.77) and more shots on target (3.93 vs 3.23). Additionally, Penafiel lose 54% of matches, while Sporting record clean sheets in 43% versus 38% for their opponents, indicating greater stability from the hosts in the decisive phase. In second halves Sporting have matches with at least one goal in 79% of cases, and in their last five matches Penafiel have not won any (last 5: 'dddll' — 0% wins), which supports an improved result for the hosts after the break. Therefore the strongest signal from the data is a Half-Time draw and a home win at Full-Time (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sporting CP II | FC Penafiel | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sporting CP II is 78% better for: goals scored per match.
1.44 goals / match - Sporting CP II · 0.81 goals / match - FC Penafiel
Sporting CP II scores in 67% of matches (18 of 27 matches), while FC Penafiel keeps a clean sheet in 41% (11 of 27 matches).
FC Penafiel scores in 59% of matches (16 of 27 matches), while Sporting CP II keeps a clean sheet in 33% (9 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sporting CP II
Over / Under - FC Penafiel
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sporting CP II is 53% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.3 pts / match - Sporting CP II · 0.85 pts / match - FC Penafiel
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sporting CP II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
FC Penafiel - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sporting CP II
FC Penafiel
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (LigaPro).
Teams vs league
| Sporting CP II | Liga | FC Penafiel | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.41 | 2.45 | ▼ 1.78 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 37% | 47% | ▼ 37% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 48% | 44% | ▼ 26% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 31% | ▲ 41% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 65% | ▼ 48% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 77% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Sporting CP II 0 - 1 - 0 FC Penafiel. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sporting CP II vs FC Penafiel?
The LigaPro match finished Sporting CP II 1:2 FC Penafiel. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Sporting CP II vs FC Penafiel?
Sporting CP II score 1.44 goals per game on average and FC Penafiel 0.81. The LigaPro average is 2.45 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 37% of Sporting CP II's matches and 37% of FC Penafiel's.
What form are Sporting CP II and FC Penafiel in?
Over the last 5 games Sporting CP II have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and FC Penafiel 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sporting CP II vs FC Penafiel?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.