Sporting CP vs CD Nacional: match statistics
Sporting CP vs CD Nacional: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sporting CP played CD Nacional in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match was played on 5 September 2026. Venue: Estádio José Alvalade. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Sporting CP: 3-1-0, 2.50 points/match. CD Nacional: 1-1-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sporting CP scores 3.00 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. CD Nacional scores 1.50 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.76 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sporting CP 75%, CD Nacional 50%. Over 2.5: Sporting CP 100%, CD Nacional 50%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Sporting CP has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.25. Sporting CP: 12.3 shots per match, CD Nacional: 11.8.
Match halves
Sporting CP: half-time lead 75%, second-half goals 1.00. CD Nacional: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
Sporting CP: 46-60 (4 goals). CD Nacional: 31-45+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga Portugal: 2.76 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Sporting CP are unbeaten after four matchdays, having won 3 matches, while their last five fixtures have produced 4 victories and a draw, with the team scoring as many as 14 goals. At home, the hosts have won both matches played so far, averaging 3 goals and 5 shots on target per game while maintaining 58% possession. CD Nacional have a clearly weaker record: just 1 win in 4 matchdays, with 6 goals scored and 2 defeats in their last five matches. The visitors are yet to win away from home, have failed to score in 50% of such matches, and their average xG stands at just 0.93 compared with 2.05 xG conceded at their own end. The clear advantage in chance quality, finishing efficiency and current form strongly points to a Sporting victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Sporting CP is clearly stronger in attack, scoring an average of 2.0 goals from 1.57 xG, while CD Nacional manages only 1.0 goal and 0.93 xG. However, the key factor for this market is that the hosts have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their matches, while Nacional have failed to score in 50% of their games. In Sporting’s last five appearances, their defence allowed opponents just 0.88 xG and conceded an average of 1.0 goal, while the visitors recorded only 2.0 shots on target per match this season. BTTS landed in 60% of Sporting’s last matches, but in only 40% of Nacional’s games, with the league BTTS average standing at a low 42%. The most likely scenario is therefore a Sporting win with the visitors failing to score, which points to BTTS - No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Sporting score an average of 2.0 goals at home, and over their last five matches this average has increased to 2.8 goals. Nacional concede an average of 1.5 goals away from home, while allowing opponents chances worth as much as 2.05 xG, which supports a high volume of opportunities for the hosts. Sporting average 15.0 shots and 4.0 shots on target per match, whereas Nacional produce just 8.5 attempts and 2.0 shots on target. The hosts have surpassed the 1.5-goal line in every match this season, while their last five games have produced an average of 3.8 total goals. The strongest signal is therefore Over 1.5 goals, as even with a limited attacking contribution from the visitors, Sporting have clear data supporting the expectation of scoring at least two goals in the match.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Sporting have been clearly stronger in their last five matches: they won 80% of their games, scored an average of 2.8 goals and conceded just 1.0, while Nacional won only 20% of the time. The hosts led at the break in 3 of their last 5 appearances and did not concede a single first-half goal during this period, whereas Nacional have never gone into half-time in the lead. Sporting CP’s advantage is also evident in the quality of chances created: their average xG stands at 1.57 compared with the opponents’ 0.93, while Nacional allow their opponents an xG of 2.05. The visitors were level at half-time in 80% of their recent matches, making X/1 a significant alternative scenario; however, the hosts’ greater intensity from the outset points towards them taking the lead within the first 45 minutes. After the break, Sporting continue to average 1.2 goals across their last five matches, compared with Nacional’s 0.6, further strengthening the forecast of a home win in both halves.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sporting CP | CD Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 51% | 26% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.48 | 0.50 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sporting CP is 150% better for: last-5 form.
2.5 pts / match - Sporting CP · 1 pts / match - CD Nacional
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sporting CP is 100% better for: goals scored per match.
3 goals / match - Sporting CP · 1.5 goals / match - CD Nacional
Sporting CP is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.25 goals / match - Sporting CP · 1.5 goals / match - CD Nacional
Sporting CP scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while CD Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).
CD Nacional scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while Sporting CP keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sporting CP
Over / Under - CD Nacional
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sporting CP is 233% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.5 pts / match - Sporting CP · 0.75 pts / match - CD Nacional
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sporting CP - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 75% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 1.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
CD Nacional - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.50 | 1.25 |
| Goals scored / match | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.3 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.3 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 75% |
| 3 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 25% |
| No goal | 25% | 50% |
| Goal difference | +8 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.75 | 1.25 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 25% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 25% | 75% |
| No goal | 50% | 50% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sporting CP
CD Nacional
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| Sporting CP | Liga | CD Nacional | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.25 | 2.76 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 46% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 100% | 54% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 28% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 73% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 75% | 73% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Sporting CP 2 - 0 - 0 CD Nacional. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sporting CP vs CD Nacional?
The Liga NOS match finished Sporting CP 2:0 CD Nacional. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sporting CP and CD Nacional?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Sporting CP won 2, CD Nacional won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sporting CP vs CD Nacional?
Sporting CP score 3.00 goals per game on average and CD Nacional 1.50. The Liga NOS average is 2.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Sporting CP's matches and 50% of CD Nacional's.
What form are Sporting CP and CD Nacional in?
Over the last 5 games Sporting CP have a 3-1-0 record (2.50 points per game) and CD Nacional 1-1-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sporting CP vs CD Nacional?
The statistical background for Sporting CP vs CD Nacional — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.