Sportivo Luqueño vs Cerro Porteño: match statistics
Sportivo Luqueño vs Cerro Porteño: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sportivo Luqueño played Cerro Porteño in Division Profesional (Paraguay). The match was played on 31 March 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Sportivo Luqueño: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Cerro Porteño: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sportivo Luqueño scores 0.92 and concedes 1.46 goals per match. Cerro Porteño scores 1.46 and concedes 0.85. League average: 2.29 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sportivo Luqueño 54%, Cerro Porteño 31%. Over 2.5: Sportivo Luqueño 38%, Cerro Porteño 23%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots and style
Cerro Porteño has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.24. Sportivo Luqueño: 11.7 shots per match, Cerro Porteño: 14.4.
Match halves
Sportivo Luqueño: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.31. Cerro Porteño: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Sportivo Luqueño: 31-45+ (4 goals). Cerro Porteño: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Division Profesional: 2.29 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 0-3-2. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 20%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Cerro Porteño display markedly better form and stats than Sportivo Luqueño: visitors have 8 season wins versus the hosts’ 3 and a far superior last-five record (wwlww vs ldlll). Conversion difference is significant — Cerro ~14% and 1.67 away G/90, while hosts average 0.83 home G/90 with ~6% conversion. The visitors’ defence looks more solid: 1.0 away GA and 50% CS versus 1.5 and 0% for the hosts. Additionally last-five PPG is 2.4 for Cerro vs 0.2 for Sportivo, amplifying the mental and points advantage. For these reasons I assign higher probability to an away win, with lower probability of a draw and small chance of a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal statistics point to a low BTTS frequency for both teams (Sportivo Luqueño 29%, Cerro Porteño 33%) and high league CS rates (league CS 60%, team CS 43% and 50%), which argue against both teams scoring. Seasonal scoring averages are moderate (league avg 2.31, xG_home 1.55, xG_away 1.34) suggesting lower-scoring matches overall. Despite the visitors’ good scoring form in last5 (gf_last5_away 9), the hosts’ poor attacking form in that period (gf_last5_home 3) limits BTTS likelihood. Considering dominant historical defensive signals, the more probable choice is No BTTS.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Combined expected goals from xG (1.55 home, 1.34 away) suggest ~2.66 total (1.44 for Sportivo Luqueño, 1.22 for Cerro Porteño). Both teams have high rates above 0.5 and significant Over 1.5 shares (86% home, 67% away), increasing the likelihood of at least two goals. Home side generates more xG and shots; away side has better form and higher efficiency. Clean sheet and BTTS metrics are moderate, but home offensive edge and away defensive gaps boost goal chances. Strongest signal: Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Cerro Porteño displays markedly better form (last5: wwlww, 80% wins) and higher season PPG (2.17 vs 1.86), favoring the visitors to win the match. HT stats indicate a strong tendency for the away side to be level at half-time (drawingAtHT_away ~83%) and to keep a clean sheet at HT (seasonCSPercentageHT_away 83%). The home team has unstable first halves and more frequent HT deficits (trailingAtHT_home 43%), reducing chances of leading at HT. Low first-half goal averages (scoredAVGHT ≈0.4–0.5) further support an HT draw. Summing the data, the strongest signal is HT draw and a Cerro Porteño win at full-time (HT/FT: X/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sportivo Luqueño | Cerro Porteño | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cerro Porteño is 1100% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Sportivo Luqueño · 2.4 pts / match - Cerro Porteño
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cerro Porteño is 59% better for: goals scored per match.
0.92 goals / match - Sportivo Luqueño · 1.46 goals / match - Cerro Porteño
Cerro Porteño is 72% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.46 goals / match - Sportivo Luqueño · 0.85 goals / match - Cerro Porteño
Sportivo Luqueño scores in 54% of matches (7 of 13 matches), while Cerro Porteño keeps a clean sheet in 46% (6 of 13 matches).
Cerro Porteño scores in 69% of matches (9 of 13 matches), while Sportivo Luqueño keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sportivo Luqueño
Over / Under - Cerro Porteño
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sportivo Luqueño is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / match - Sportivo Luqueño · 1.23 pts / match - Cerro Porteño
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sportivo Luqueño - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 23%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Cerro Porteño - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 62%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sportivo Luqueño
Cerro Porteño
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Profesional).
Teams vs league
| Sportivo Luqueño | Liga | Cerro Porteño | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.38 | 2.29 | • 2.31 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 54% | 48% | ▼ 31% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 38% | 33% | ▼ 23% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 30% | ▲ 46% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 62% | 54% | • 54% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 81% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Sportivo LuqueñoSubstitutionOn: Sergio Ismael Díaz VelázquezOff: Joelson Manuel Gamarra Arbiniagaldez
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Sportivo Luqueño 0 - 3 - 2 Cerro Porteño. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 20% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sportivo Luqueño vs Cerro Porteño?
The Division Profesional match finished Sportivo Luqueño 2:3 Cerro Porteño. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sportivo Luqueño and Cerro Porteño?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Sportivo Luqueño won 0, Cerro Porteño won 2 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 20% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sportivo Luqueño vs Cerro Porteño?
Sportivo Luqueño score 0.92 goals per game on average and Cerro Porteño 1.46. The Division Profesional average is 2.29 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Sportivo Luqueño's matches and 31% of Cerro Porteño's.
What form are Sportivo Luqueño and Cerro Porteño in?
Over the last 5 games Sportivo Luqueño have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Cerro Porteño 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sportivo Luqueño vs Cerro Porteño?
The statistical background for Sportivo Luqueño vs Cerro Porteño — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.