Sportivo Luqueño vs Libertad: match statistics
Sportivo Luqueño vs Libertad: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sportivo Luqueño played Libertad in Division Profesional (Paraguay). The match was played on 16 August 2026. Venue: Estadio Feliciano Cáceres. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Sportivo Luqueño: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Libertad: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sportivo Luqueño scores 1.12 and concedes 1.58 goals per match. Libertad scores 1.62 and concedes 1.15. League average: 2.47 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sportivo Luqueño 62%, Libertad 46%. Over 2.5: Sportivo Luqueño 58%, Libertad 50%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Libertad has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.25. Sportivo Luqueño: 11.5 shots per match, Libertad: 14.2.
Match halves
Sportivo Luqueño: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.50. Libertad: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.96.
Goals by minute
Sportivo Luqueño: 31-45+ (7 goals). Libertad: 46-60 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Division Profesional: 2.47 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 6 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-4. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Libertad have the stronger overall season record: they have won 12 matches and scored 42 goals, while Sportivo Luqueño have recorded 7 victories and 29 goals. The visitors are also in better form, winning 3 of their last 5 matches and conceding only 5 goals, compared with 2 wins for the hosts and 10 goals conceded. Away from home, Libertad create more chances, averaging 14.46 shots and an xG of 1.50, compared with Luqueño’s 12.42 shots and xG of 1.34 at home. The hosts’ key weakness is their defence: they concede an average of 1.92 goals per home match and have kept no clean sheets, which should give the visitors a clear opportunity to score. Libertad’s away form is not flawless either, so a draw remains a realistic outcome; however, the visitors’ superior quality and more recent attacking efficiency point towards an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS - Yes is supported by current form, as both teams produced this outcome in 60% of their last five matches. Sportivo Luqueño conceded an average of 2.0 goals per game during this period, while Libertad scored 1.6 goals and recorded an xG of 1.70, giving the visitors a solid basis to find the net. The hosts, meanwhile, have a high season average of 1.92 goals scored, register 5.69 shots on target per match, and face a Libertad side that has kept a clean sheet in only 23% of its games. However, the pick carries some risk due to Libertad’s low seasonal BTTS rate of 38% and the fact that the visitors failed to score in 38% of their matches. Nevertheless, the combination of Luqueño’s recent defensive struggles and the attacking quality on both sides marginally shifts the prediction towards both teams scoring.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The 2.70-goal forecast is supported by solid chance-creation metrics: Sportivo Luqueño average 1.57 xG, while Libertad average 1.50 xG per match. The hosts have conceded as many as 2.0 goals per game across their last 5 matches, while Libertad have scored 1.6 times per game during this period and generated 1.70 xG. The 1.5 line was exceeded in 62% of Luqueño’s matches and 69% of Libertad’s, while the visitors scored at least one goal in 62% of their appearances. Additionally, Over 2.5 goals landed in 80% and 60% of the teams’ respective last five matches, supporting a scenario with at least two goals. Under 3.5 remains clearly more likely, however, as as many as 85% of Libertad’s matches ended with a maximum of three goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A half-time draw is the most likely outcome, as Sportivo Luqueño were level at the break in 62% of their matches, compared with 46% for Libertad; in their last five games, the visitors recorded this result in as many as 80% of cases. However, the home side are clearly stronger over the full 90 minutes: they average 2.08 points per match, win 62% of their games, and score 1.92 goals per match, while Libertad lose 62% of their away matches. After the break, Luqueño average 1.15 goals, while Libertad concede 0.69 goals in this period, which favours the home side edging a balanced contest. Recent form over the last five matches calls for caution, with Libertad winning 60% of their games and Luqueño conceding an average of 2.0 goals, but the home side’s advantage in the season data still supports the X/1 scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sportivo Luqueño | Libertad | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Libertad is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Sportivo Luqueño · 1.8 pts / match - Libertad
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Libertad is 45% better for: goals scored per match.
1.12 goals / match - Sportivo Luqueño · 1.62 goals / match - Libertad
Libertad is 37% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.58 goals / match - Sportivo Luqueño · 1.15 goals / match - Libertad
Sportivo Luqueño scores in 65% of matches (17 of 26 matches), while Libertad keeps a clean sheet in 31% (8 of 26 matches).
Libertad scores in 73% of matches (19 of 26 matches), while Sportivo Luqueño keeps a clean sheet in 12% (3 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sportivo Luqueño
Over / Under - Libertad
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Libertad is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.23 pts / match - Sportivo Luqueño · 1.35 pts / match - Libertad
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sportivo Luqueño - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Libertad - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sportivo Luqueño
Libertad
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Profesional).
Teams vs league
| Sportivo Luqueño | Liga | Libertad | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.69 | 2.47 | ▲ 2.77 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 52% | ▼ 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 44% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 12% | 28% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | • 65% | 64% | ▼ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | • 81% | 80% | • 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (6): Sportivo Luqueño 2 - 0 - 4 Libertad. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sportivo Luqueño vs Libertad?
The Division Profesional match finished Sportivo Luqueño 1:2 Libertad. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sportivo Luqueño and Libertad?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Sportivo Luqueño won 2, Libertad won 4 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sportivo Luqueño vs Libertad?
Sportivo Luqueño score 1.12 goals per game on average and Libertad 1.62. The Division Profesional average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Sportivo Luqueño's matches and 46% of Libertad's.
What form are Sportivo Luqueño and Libertad in?
Over the last 5 games Sportivo Luqueño have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Libertad 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sportivo Luqueño vs Libertad?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Sportivo Luqueño vs Libertad: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.