Scotland - PremiershipThe Smisa StadiumData current as of 17 October 2026

St. Mirren vs Celtic: match statistics

St. Mirren crest
St. Mirren
1 : 2half-time 1:0
Celtic crest
Celtic

St. Mirren vs Celtic: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

St. Mirren played Celtic in Premiership (Scotland). The match was played on 5 September 2026. Venue: The Smisa Stadium. Final score: 1:2.

Current form

St. Mirren: 3-1-0, 2.50 points/match. Celtic: 4-0-0, 3.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

St. Mirren scores 1.75 and concedes 0.75 goals per match. Celtic scores 2.75 and concedes 0.50. League average: 2.68 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: St. Mirren 25%, Celtic 50%. Over 2.5: St. Mirren 25%, Celtic 75%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 54%.

xG, shots and style

Celtic has higher xG: 2.71 vs 1.63. St. Mirren: 15.3 shots per match, Celtic: 24.3.

Match halves

St. Mirren: half-time lead 75%, second-half goals 0.50. Celtic: half-time lead 75%, second-half goals 0.75.

Goals by minute

St. Mirren: 31-45+ (3 goals). Celtic: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Premiership: 2.68 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 54%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-3. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Celtic head into this match after winning 4 of their last 5 fixtures and averaging 2.4 points per game, while St. Mirren have averaged 1.4 points over the same period. The visitors are significantly more dangerous in attack away from home, averaging 5 goals, an xG of 3.52 and 16 shots on target per match, compared with St. Mirren’s 2 goals, 1.91 xG and 6.5 shots on target at home. Celtic also dominate match control, averaging 64% possession and 33 shots, compared with the hosts’ 49% possession and 18 attempts. St. Mirren remain unbeaten in the league, but they have conceded 9 goals in their last 5 matches, which represents a clear threat given Celtic’s attacking quality. The hosts could find the net, as Celtic have yet to keep a clean sheet away from home, but the visitors’ superiority in chance creation and finishing points to a Celtic victory.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The BTTS - Yes pick is primarily supported by Celtic’s attacking output, with the team averaging 5.0 goals, generating an xG of 3.52, and registering 16 shots on target per match. St. Mirren average 1.5 goals with an xG of 2.08, while Celtic have yet to keep a clean sheet, conceding an average of 1.0 goal. In their last five matches, the hosts conceded 1.8 goals per game, while the visitors scored as many as 3.0, significantly increasing the chances of a Celtic goal. Neither side has recorded a No Goal match in the current campaign, while the season BTTS rate stands at 50% for St. Mirren and 100% for Celtic. Caution is warranted due to the hosts’ latest BTTS rate of 40% and their 50% clean-sheet rate, but Celtic’s superior attacking quality supports a Goal/Goal outcome.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

Celtic have exceptionally strong attacking numbers away from home: they average 5.0 goals, post an xG of 3.52, and record 16 shots on target per match. In their last 5 matches, the visitors scored 15 goals, averaging 3.0, while the 2.5-goal line was surpassed in all of those games. St. Mirren conceded an average of 1.8 goals across their last 5 appearances, with an xG against of 1.74, which significantly increases Celtic’s chances of scoring at least twice. The hosts should not be completely toothless either, as their average xG stands at 1.59, while Celtic allowed opponents an xG of 1.86 in their last 5 matches. The strongest selection is Over 1.5 goals, as both teams scored at least once in 100% of the specified season matches, while Celtic’s attacking profile greatly reduces the risk of a 0-1 goal game.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

Celtic are significantly stronger in attack, averaging 5.0 goals per match compared with St. Mirren’s 1.5, while their xG stands at 3.52 versus 2.08 for the hosts. The visitors also create considerably more danger, averaging 33.0 shots and 16.0 on target, compared with St. Mirren’s 18.5 and 6.0, respectively. Celtic have been leading at the break in 100% of their matches so far, scoring an average of 3.0 goals before half-time and conceding none; in their last five matches, they took the lead in 80% of cases. After the interval, the visitors continue to average 2.0 goals, while St. Mirren have conceded an average of 1.8 goals per match across their last five games. The most likely HT/FT outcome is therefore Celtic/Celtic (1/1), with Celtic leading at half-time and securing the final victory.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 2
2nd half

Match statistics

40Possession (%)60
St. MirrenCeltic
19Shots24
St. MirrenCeltic
6Shots on target8
St. MirrenCeltic
1.83xG2.61
St. MirrenCeltic
6Corners10
St. MirrenCeltic
31Dangerous attacks74
St. MirrenCeltic
6Fouls14
St. MirrenCeltic
4Cards1
St. MirrenCeltic

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.75Goals scored / match2.75
St. MirrenCeltic
0.75Goals conceded / match0.5
St. MirrenCeltic
48%Average possession63%
St. MirrenCeltic
5.25Shots on target / match10
St. MirrenCeltic

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15.25Shots per match24.25
St. MirrenCeltic
5.25Shots on target10
St. MirrenCeltic
11.5%Shot conversion11.3%
St. MirrenCeltic
48%Possession63%
St. MirrenCeltic
1.63xG for2.71
St. MirrenCeltic
1.47xG against1.03
St. MirrenCeltic

Shooting quality

St. Mirren: AttackingCeltic: Dominant
St. MirrenCeltic
Accuracy (shots on target)34%41%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Celtic is 20% better for: last-5 form.

2.5 pts / match - St. Mirren · 3 pts / match - Celtic

St. Mirren
WWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
75% W25% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-0
2.50 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-0
2.50 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-1-0
Last 5 at home
1-1-0
WD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.63Opponent xG: 1.47BTTS: 25%Over 2.5: 25%
Celtic
WWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
100% W0% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-0-0
3.00 pts / match · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Last 5 away
1-0-0
W
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.8Goals conceded: 0.5xG: 2.71Opponent xG: 1.03BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 75%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Celtic is 57% better for: goals scored per match.

1.75 goals / match - St. Mirren · 2.75 goals / match - Celtic

Celtic is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.75 goals / match - St. Mirren · 0.5 goals / match - Celtic

St. Mirren scoring profile: very strong

St. Mirren scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while Celtic keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 matches).

Celtic scoring profile: strong

Celtic scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while St. Mirren keeps a clean sheet in 75% (3 of 4 matches).

7Goals scored (season)11
St. MirrenCeltic
3Goals conceded (season)2
St. MirrenCeltic
2.5Average goals in match3.25
St. MirrenCeltic
7Goals scored (last 5)11
St. MirrenCeltic
3Goals conceded (last 5)2
St. MirrenCeltic

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal100%
St. MirrenCeltic
50%2 goals75%
St. MirrenCeltic
25%3 goals50%
St. MirrenCeltic
0%4 goals25%
St. MirrenCeltic

How often they concede at least...

25%1 goal50%
St. MirrenCeltic
25%2 goals0%
St. MirrenCeltic
25%3 goals0%
St. MirrenCeltic
0%4 goals0%
St. MirrenCeltic

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time0%
St. MirrenCeltic
0%BTTS in both halves0%
St. MirrenCeltic
25%Scored in both halves25%
St. MirrenCeltic

BTTS and goal count

25%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
St. MirrenCeltic
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS25%
St. MirrenCeltic
25%BTTS - last 550%
St. MirrenCeltic

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time75%
St. MirrenCeltic
25%Min. 2 goals before half-time75%
St. MirrenCeltic
25%Min. 3 goals before half-time50%
St. MirrenCeltic

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
St. MirrenCeltic
0%Min. 2 goals after half-time25%
St. MirrenCeltic
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time25%
St. MirrenCeltic

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

St. Mirren - half-time state
75% leading25% draw0% trailing
Celtic - half-time state
75% leading25% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.5Points per match (1st half)2.5
St. MirrenCeltic
1.25Goals scored (1st half)2
St. MirrenCeltic
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0
St. MirrenCeltic
1.75Average goals (1st half)2
St. MirrenCeltic
75%Clean sheet before half-time100%
St. MirrenCeltic
25%No goal before half-time25%
St. MirrenCeltic

After half-time (2nd half)

1.75Points per match (2nd half)1.75
St. MirrenCeltic
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)0.75
St. MirrenCeltic
0.25Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
St. MirrenCeltic
0.75Average goals (2nd half)1.25
St. MirrenCeltic
75%Clean sheet after half-time50%
St. MirrenCeltic
50%No goal after half-time50%
St. MirrenCeltic

St. Mirren - second-half results

50% W25% D25% L
10
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 75% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Celtic - second-half results

50% W25% D25% L
10
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at half-time in 75% of matches and wins 100%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

St. Mirren - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.501.75
Goals scored / match1.30.5
Goals conceded / match0.50.3
Average goals in match1.80.8
1 goal75%75%
2 goals25%0%
3 goals25%0%
Clean sheet75%75%
No goal25%50%
Goal difference+3+1
Half-time: 75% leading - 25% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 50% won - 25% draw - 25% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 25% - Half-time goals total: 5
Celtic - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.501.75
Goals scored / match2.00.8
Goals conceded / match0.00.5
Average goals in match2.01.3
1 goal75%75%
2 goals75%25%
3 goals50%25%
Clean sheet100%50%
No goal25%50%
Goal difference+8+1
Half-time: 75% leading - 25% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 50% won - 25% draw - 25% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 8

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

St. Mirren
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
0
1
16-30
3
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
1
0
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Celtic
ScoredConceded
3
0
0-15
1
0
16-30
4
0
31-45
2
1
46-60
1
1
61-75
0
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.88
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
107%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
38%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-65%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
100%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

St. Mirren

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.16
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.84
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.72
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
133%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
55%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.8
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 29% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

Celtic

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.68
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.57
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.53
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
202%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
38%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-1.3
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 27% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).

Teams vs league

St. MirrenLigaCeltic
Average goals in match▼ 2.502.68▲ 3.25
Both teams scored▼ 25%50%• 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 25%54%▲ 75%
Clean sheets▲ 75%29%▲ 50%
Goal before half-time▼ 75%79%▼ 75%
Goal after half-time▼ 75%82%▼ 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.68
Average goals per match
50%
Both teams scored
54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.32
Home goals / match
1.36
Away goals / match
+-3%
Home attack advantage
+-3%
Home defence advantage
+0%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
82%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. CelticYellow cardColby Donovan
  2. St. MirrenGoalNikolas Agrafiotis
  3. St. MirrenYellow cardCalvin William Ramsay
  4. CelticGoalLiam ScalesAssist: Benjamin Nygren
  5. St. MirrenSubstitutionOn: Samuel Ramos LinaresOff: Fraser Taylor
  6. St. MirrenSubstitutionOn: Eseosa SuleOff: Nikolas Agrafiotis
  7. St. MirrenSubstitutionOn: Luke ThomasOff: Christopher Robert Mochrie
  8. CelticSubstitutionOn: James ForrestOff: Haissem Hassan
  9. CelticSubstitutionOn: Shim MheukaOff: Camilo Andres Durán Marquez
  10. St. MirrenSubstitutionOn: Jake YoungOff: Ryan Carr
  11. CelticSubstitutionOn: Dane MurrayOff: Colby Donovan
  12. St. MirrenYellow cardEseosa Sule
  13. St. MirrenYellow cardSamuel Ramos Linares
  14. St. MirrenYellow cardPaul Nsio

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): St. Mirren 0 - 0 - 3 Celtic. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of St. Mirren vs Celtic?

The Premiership match finished St. Mirren 1:2 Celtic. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between St. Mirren and Celtic?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches St. Mirren won 0, Celtic won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before St. Mirren vs Celtic?

St. Mirren score 1.75 goals per game on average and Celtic 2.75. The Premiership average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 25% of St. Mirren's matches and 50% of Celtic's.

What form are St. Mirren and Celtic in?

Over the last 5 games St. Mirren have a 3-1-0 record (2.50 points per game) and Celtic 4-0-0 (3.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for St. Mirren vs Celtic?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.