St Patrick's Athl. vs Sligo Rovers: match statistics
St Patrick's Athl. vs Sligo Rovers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
St Patrick's Athl. played Sligo Rovers in Premier Division (Ireland). The match was played on 19 June 2026. Venue: Richmond Park. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
St Patrick's Athl.: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Sligo Rovers: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
St Patrick's Athl. scores 1.65 and concedes 0.85 goals per match. Sligo Rovers scores 0.75 and concedes 1.55. League average: 2.72 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: St Patrick's Athl. 40%, Sligo Rovers 40%. Over 2.5: St Patrick's Athl. 40%, Sligo Rovers 45%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
St Patrick's Athl. has higher xG: 1.83 vs 1.12. St Patrick's Athl.: 16.4 shots per match, Sligo Rovers: 10.0.
Match halves
St Patrick's Athl.: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.95. Sligo Rovers: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.35.
Goals by minute
St Patrick's Athl.: 46-60 (8 goals). Sligo Rovers: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier Division: 2.72 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 6 previous H2H matches were available: 4-1-1. Average goals 3.17, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
St Patrick's Athl. holds a clear home advantage: they average 2.2 goals per home match (33 goals this season, goal difference +16) with an average xG of 2.06, while Sligo Rovers score only 0.6 goals away and have xG 1.00 with an away goal difference of -9. Offensively the hosts average 18.6 shots and 6.4 on target per home match with a conversion rate of 12%, versus 8.7 shots, 2.4 on target and 7% conversion for the visitors. Defensively St Patrick's Athl. concede only 0.6 goals per home game and keep a clean sheet in 40% of matches, whereas Sligo concede 1.5 goals away and allow opponents an average of 2.11 xG; in the last five matches the hosts conceded 2 goals while the visitors conceded as many as 12. Sligo fail to score in 60% of away games and have only a 20% away win rate, while the hosts win 70% of home matches, which significantly reduces the visitors' chances of points. Considering the xG gap (2.06 vs 1.00), the shots differential (18.6 vs 8.7) and the average points in the last 5 matches (1.4 vs 0.8), the most likely outcome is a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I project No BTTS with 70% probability vs 30% for Yes. Key signal is the home form: St Patrick's has 0% BTTS in the last 5 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 2 in that span (0.6 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game), indicating a tendency toward clean sheets. Sligo Rovers have a seasonal share of matches without scoring at 60% and a season goals average of 0.6; in the last 5 they scored 4 and conceded 12 (0.8 scored and 2.4 conceded per game), i.e., they concede heavily and score less frequently. Both teams have seasonal BTTS at 40% (home 40% vs away 40%), well below the league average of 59%, and the home side has more clean sheets (30% vs 20%), which reduces the likelihood of both teams scoring. Additionally, xG shows a home advantage (xG_for 1.25, last 1.55) against Sligo’s defensive weakness (xG_against 2.11 season, 2.22 last 5) and the visitors’ low finishing rate (conversion 7%), hence the No BTTS selection.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The combined xG profile clearly signals a goal market: St Patrick's attack xG is 1.25 and Sligo attack xG 1.00, with xG against Sligo 2.11 and xG against the hosts 1.70, implying forecasts of approximately 1.68 goals for the home side and 1.35 for the visitors (total 3.03). With that lambda, a Poisson model indicates roughly an 81% probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5) and about a 58% chance of at least 3 goals (Over 2.5). Additionally, Sligo Rovers have conceded 12 goals in their last 5 matches (2.4 per game), while St Patrick's averages 11.3 shots per game with an 8% conversion rate, which supports a multi-goal scenario. Season trends confirm this direction: St Patrick's have seen Over 1.5 in 80% of home games, while Sligo have 50% such away matches; therefore the strongest and most likely pick is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
St Patrick's Athletic have the HT advantage: the hosts led at the break in 30% of their matches, whereas Sligo led in only 10%; in the last five fixtures St Patrick's led at the break in 40% of cases (guests 0%). The hosts generate more offensive quality: average xG for the home side is 1.25 versus 1.00 for Sligo, average shots 11.3 vs 8.7 and shots on target 2.9 vs 2.4, and St Patrick's score on average 0.5 goals by half-time compared to Sligo's 0.3. Sligo have a weaker defence (average xG against 2.11) and concede a significant number of late goals (e.g. four goals conceded in minutes 76–90), which increases the likelihood that the home side’s lead at the break will be maintained or extended after the interval. Considering the hosts' HTPPG of 1.2 versus the visitors' 0.7, along with the higher share of half-time leads and superior shots and xG metrics, the most likely scenario is St Patrick's leading at half-time and winning at full-time (1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| St Patrick's Athl. | Sligo Rovers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
St Patrick's Athl. is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - St Patrick's Athl. · 0.8 pts / match - Sligo Rovers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
St Patrick's Athl. is 120% better for: goals scored per match.
1.65 goals / match - St Patrick's Athl. · 0.75 goals / match - Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl. is 82% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.85 goals / match - St Patrick's Athl. · 1.55 goals / match - Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl. scores in 60% of matches (12 of 20 matches), while Sligo Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 matches).
Sligo Rovers scores in 50% of matches (10 of 20 matches), while St Patrick's Athl. keeps a clean sheet in 35% (7 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - St Patrick's Athl.
Over / Under - Sligo Rovers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
St Patrick's Athl. is 58% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - St Patrick's Athl. · 0.95 pts / match - Sligo Rovers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
St Patrick's Athl. - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Sligo Rovers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier Division).
Teams vs league
| St Patrick's Athl. | Liga | Sligo Rovers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.50 | 2.72 | ▼ 2.30 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 59% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 50% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 25% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 71% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 77% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Sligo RoversYellow cardConor Cannon
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (6): St Patrick's Athl. 4 - 1 - 1 Sligo Rovers. Average goals 3.17, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of St Patrick's Athl. vs Sligo Rovers?
The Premier Division match finished St Patrick's Athl. 2:0 Sligo Rovers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between St Patrick's Athl. and Sligo Rovers?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches St Patrick's Athl. won 4, Sligo Rovers won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.17 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before St Patrick's Athl. vs Sligo Rovers?
St Patrick's Athl. score 1.65 goals per game on average and Sligo Rovers 0.75. The Premier Division average is 2.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 40% of St Patrick's Athl.'s matches and 40% of Sligo Rovers's.
What form are St Patrick's Athl. and Sligo Rovers in?
Over the last 5 games St Patrick's Athl. have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Sligo Rovers 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for St Patrick's Athl. vs Sligo Rovers?
The statistical background for St Patrick's Athl. vs Sligo Rovers — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.