Stabæk vs Kongsvinger: match statistics
Stabæk vs Kongsvinger: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Stabæk played Kongsvinger in First Division (Norway). The match was played on 25 May 2026. Venue: Nadderud Stadion. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Stabæk: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Kongsvinger: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Stabæk scores 2.25 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. Kongsvinger scores 2.50 and concedes 1.00. League average: 3.56 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Stabæk 63%, Kongsvinger 75%. Over 2.5: Stabæk 88%, Kongsvinger 88%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 71%.
xG, shots and style
Stabæk has higher xG: 1.90 vs 1.64. Stabæk: 16.8 shots per match, Kongsvinger: 14.0.
Match halves
Stabæk: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.13. Kongsvinger: half-time lead 63%, second-half goals 1.50.
Goals by minute
Stabæk: 46-60 (5 goals). Kongsvinger: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First Division: 3.56 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 71%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Stabæk has a clear advantage in creating and converting chances at home — scoring on average 2.67 goals per match at their stadium and generating average xG 2.01 with 18.67 shots per match and 5.67 shots on target, while Kongsvinger on the road scores 2.25 goals on average, has xG 1.62 with 14.75 shots and 5.0 shots on target. In the last 5 matches Stabæk scored 11 goals and recorded 3 wins, while Kongsvinger scored 12 goals with a record of 3 wins and 2 draws — both teams are efficient, but the hosts create more high-quality opportunities. Defensively Kongsvinger concedes 1.00 goal on average away, and Stabæk concedes 1.33 at home; however average xG against shows Stabæk limits better chances for opponents (1.11 xG against versus 1.46 for Kongsvinger), giving the hosts an edge in controlling key situations. Season statistics confirm the visitors lead the table (6 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses and 20 goals scored), while Stabæk have 4 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses with 18 goals scored — this suggests Kongsvinger is very consistent, but not dominant in chance creation. Considering the higher xG for the home side, greater shot volume and 67% home win rate versus 50% away win rate for the visitors, I predict a Stabæk victory, although the score may be tight due to Kongsvinger’s unbeaten away run.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have a season BTTS rate of 75%, well above the league average of 56%, indicating a strong bias toward a both-teams-to-score scenario. In the last 5 matches Stabæk records BTTS 60% and Kongsvinger 80%, with goals per game of 2.2 (Stabæk) and 2.4 (Kongsvinger), showing both sides regularly score and concede. xG stands at 1.67 for Stabæk and 1.62 for Kongsvinger, with xG against of 1.44 and 1.46 respectively — both teams create over 1.6 xG while allowing ~1.45 xG, which favors goal exchanges. Additionally, Stabæk averages 6 shots on target with a 21% conversion, Kongsvinger 5 shots on target with a 15% conversion, and clean sheets occur in only 25% of matches for both; Stabæk’s home matches are 100% over 2.5 goals, further increasing BTTS probability. Considering these figures (75% season BTTS, 60%/80% in the last 5 and high xG), I assign 78% chance to 'BTTS - Yes' and 22% to 'No Goal'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Average xG are about 1.57 for Stabæk (xG 1.67 vs opponent conceded 1.46) and 1.53 for Kongsvinger (xG 1.62 vs defense 1.44), total expected goals ~3.10. Season averages confirm the attacking profiles: Stabæk scores 2.75 goals at home on average, Kongsvinger 2.25 per match, and both teams have 100% of matches >1.5 goals this season. Shot statistics support this — Stabæk averages 13.25 shots with a conversion rate of 21% (13.25*0.21≈2.78), Kongsvinger 14.75 shots with 15% conversion (~2.21) — consistent with season averages of 2.75 and 2.25. Additionally BTTS is 75% for both sides, and over2.5 is 100% for Stabæk and 75% for Kongsvinger, reinforcing the likelihood of at least 2–3 goals. Based on this, the strongest and most reliable signal is an over bet, with the 1.5 line as the most probable (almost 100% of seasonal matches >1.5), while over 2.5 also looks valuable given the expected 3.10 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Data show that the visitors lead at the break in 75% of matches, scoring an average of 1.5 first-half goals versus 0.5 for the hosts, so the HT/FT market favors a visitors’ lead at half-time. However, the hosts are significantly stronger after the break — they average 2.25 second-half goals and win the second half in 75% of cases, with a second-half goal differential of +6. Additionally, Stabæk has a 100% home win rate and averages 3.0 points per home match versus 2.0 for the visitors, and the hosts’ shot conversion rate is 21% against 15% for the visitors, indicating an ability to produce a turnaround. For these reasons the most likely scenario is the visitors leading at half-time with the hosts winning the match (HT/FT = 2/1). I also assign moderate chances to the visitors holding their lead to the end (2/2 = 15%) and to the 1/1 outcome (20%), since the hosts lead at the break in only 50% of cases.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Stabæk | Kongsvinger | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.45 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kongsvinger is 10% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Stabæk · 2.2 pts / match - Kongsvinger
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kongsvinger is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
2.25 goals / match - Stabæk · 2.5 goals / match - Kongsvinger
Kongsvinger is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.25 goals / match - Stabæk · 1 goals / match - Kongsvinger
Stabæk scores in 100% of matches (8 of 8 matches), while Kongsvinger keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).
Kongsvinger scores in 100% of matches (8 of 8 matches), while Stabæk keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Stabæk
Over / Under - Kongsvinger
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kongsvinger is 54% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / match - Stabæk · 2.13 pts / match - Kongsvinger
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Stabæk - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Kongsvinger - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 63% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Stabæk
Kongsvinger
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| Stabæk | Liga | Kongsvinger | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.50 | 3.56 | • 3.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 57% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 88% | 71% | ▲ 88% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 22% | ▲ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 88% | 79% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 86% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Stabæk 0 - 1 - 1 Kongsvinger. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Stabæk vs Kongsvinger?
The First Division match finished Stabæk 2:0 Kongsvinger. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Stabæk and Kongsvinger?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Stabæk won 0, Kongsvinger won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Stabæk vs Kongsvinger?
Stabæk score 2.25 goals per game on average and Kongsvinger 2.50. The First Division average is 3.56 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 71% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Stabæk's matches and 75% of Kongsvinger's.
What form are Stabæk and Kongsvinger in?
Over the last 5 games Stabæk have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Kongsvinger 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stabæk vs Kongsvinger?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.