Stal Mielec vs Polonia Bytom: match statistics
Stal Mielec vs Polonia Bytom: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Stal Mielec play Polonia Bytom in 1. Liga (Poland). The match date is 24 May 2026 at 16:30. Venue: Stadion MOSiR. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Stal Mielec: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Polonia Bytom: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Stal Mielec scores 1.50 and concedes 1.82 goals per match. Polonia Bytom scores 1.65 and concedes 1.47. League average: 2.98 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Stal Mielec 74%, Polonia Bytom 62%. Over 2.5: Stal Mielec 71%, Polonia Bytom 56%. League level: BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 60%.
xG, shots and style
Polonia Bytom has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.47. Stal Mielec: 12.4 shots per match, Polonia Bytom: 12.5.
Match halves
Stal Mielec: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.79. Polonia Bytom: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
Stal Mielec: 76-90+ (12 goals). Polonia Bytom: 0-15 (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1. Liga: 2.98 goals per match, BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 60%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Polonia Bytom are the favourites: they sit 10th in the table versus Stal Mielec’s 15th and have 13 wins this season compared to the home side’s 9. In the last 5 matches Polonia scored 13 goals and won 3, averaging 1.8 points, while Stal have 7 goals, only 1 win and 0.8 points in the same period. Chance quality is similar (avg xG 1.44 for Stal vs 1.4 for Polonia and an average 1.5 goals per game for both), but Polonia register more on-target shots (3.69 vs 3.31) and have higher conversion (13% vs 12%), which enhances their likelihood of finishing chances. Both teams are defensively vulnerable—conceding 1.69 goals per game on average; in the last 5 matches Stal conceded 8 goals and Polonia 10, which could favour a higher-scoring affair. Considering Polonia’s superior short-term form and goals scored (13 vs 7) and the better season scoring balance (55 vs 47 goals), I back an away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Stal Mielec | Polonia Bytom | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Polonia Bytom is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Stal Mielec · 1.8 pts / match - Polonia Bytom
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Polonia Bytom is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Stal Mielec · 1.65 goals / match - Polonia Bytom
Polonia Bytom is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.82 goals / match - Stal Mielec · 1.47 goals / match - Polonia Bytom
Stal Mielec scores in 82% of matches (28 of 34 matches), while Polonia Bytom keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 matches).
Polonia Bytom scores in 82% of matches (28 of 34 matches), while Stal Mielec keeps a clean sheet in 12% (4 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Stal Mielec
Over / Under — Polonia Bytom
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Polonia Bytom is 48% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.21 pts / match - Stal Mielec · 1.79 pts / match - Polonia Bytom
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Stal Mielec - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Polonia Bytom - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 38%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (14 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Stal Mielec
Polonia Bytom
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Stal Mielec | Liga | Polonia Bytom | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.32 | 2.98 | ▲ 3.12 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 74% | 65% | ▼ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 60% | ▼ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 12% | 20% | ▲ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 74% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | • 82% | 81% | • 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Stal Mielec 0 - 0 - 1 Polonia Bytom. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Stal Mielec vs Polonia Bytom?
The 1. Liga match finished Stal Mielec 4:1 Polonia Bytom. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Stal Mielec vs Polonia Bytom?
Stal Mielec score 1.50 goals per game on average and Polonia Bytom 1.65. The 1. Liga average is 2.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 74% of Stal Mielec's matches and 62% of Polonia Bytom's.
What form are Stal Mielec and Polonia Bytom in?
Over the last 5 games Stal Mielec have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Polonia Bytom 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stal Mielec vs Polonia Bytom?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.