Stargard Szczeciński vs Lipno Stęszew: match statistics
Stargard Szczeciński vs Lipno Stęszew: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Stargard Szczeciński played Lipno Stęszew in 3 Liga Group 2 (Poland). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Venue: Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera. Final score: 3:4.
Current form
Stargard Szczeciński: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Lipno Stęszew: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Stargard Szczeciński scores 2.45 and concedes 1.73 goals per match. Lipno Stęszew scores 1.00 and concedes 2.09. League average: 3.56 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Stargard Szczeciński 82%, Lipno Stęszew 82%. Over 2.5: Stargard Szczeciński 73%, Lipno Stęszew 64%. League level: BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
Stargard Szczeciński has higher xG: 1.80 vs 1.72. Stargard Szczeciński: 13.8 shots per match, Lipno Stęszew: 15.0.
Match halves
Stargard Szczeciński: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 0.82. Lipno Stęszew: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.73.
Goals by minute
Stargard Szczeciński: 0-15 (7 goals). Lipno Stęszew: 46-60 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3 Liga Group 2: 3.56 goals per match, BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Stargard Szczeciński have won 5 of their 11 matches this season, while Lipno Stęszew have won just 1 of 11, making the home side clear favourites. At home, Stargard average 2.5 goals and have failed to score in none of their matches, while Lipno concede an average of 1.83 goals away from home and have yet to keep a clean sheet. The difference in finishing is also reflected in shot conversion: 14% for the hosts compared with 5% for the visitors, who average just 0.83 goals away from home. In their last five matches, Stargard scored 13 goals and took 8 points, while Lipno scored 5 goals and earned 4 points. Lipno’s away xG of 2.00, compared with Stargard’s home xG of 1.95, warrants some caution, but the visitors’ finishing record so far points to a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have a very high rate of matches in which both sides score: 80% for Stargard and 83% for Lipno, compared with a league average of 70%. Neither has kept a clean sheet so far, and the hosts concede an average of 2.4 goals, boosting Lipno’s chances despite their modest average of 0.83 goals scored. Stargard, meanwhile, score an average of 1.2 goals, while the visitors concede 1.83; over their last 5 matches, the hosts scored 2.6 goals per game and the visitors conceded 2.0. Both teams scored in 60% of Stargard’s and 80% of Lipno’s last 5 matches, so BTTS - Yes has a clearer signal than BTTS - No, which wins if at least one team fails to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line was cleared in 80% of Stargard’s matches and 83% of Lipno’s. Both teams have conceded in every match played so far, while Stargard scored in 80% of its matches and Lipno in 83%, supporting a result with at least two goals. In their last 5 matches, Stargard averaged 2.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded, while Lipno scored 1.0 and conceded 2.0 on average. This points to goal potential, although the visitors’ scoring form is weaker. Over 2.5 goals is also supported by the data, but it landed in 80% of Stargard’s matches and only 50% of Lipno’s, making the 1.5-goal line a clearer and more consistent signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal in favour of Stargard leading at the break is their recent form: the hosts were ahead at half-time in 3 of their last 5 matches, while Lipno did not lead at the break in any of theirs. Over this period, Stargard averaged 2.0 goals before half-time, compared with Lipno’s 0.4, pointing to a home advantage from the outset. Across their last five matches overall, Stargard also averaged 2.6 goals and 1.6 points, while Lipno averaged 1.0 goal and 0.8 points, making the hosts the likeliest side to maintain their lead. However, the 1/1 HT/FT pick is not a safe one: in the matches included in the season statistics to date, Stargard conceded an average of 2.4 goals, while Lipno recorded an xG of 2.0, leaving the visitors with a chance of a turnaround.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Stargard Szczeciński | Lipno Stęszew | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.44 | 0.21 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Stargard Szczeciński is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Stargard Szczeciński · 0.8 pts / match - Lipno Stęszew
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Stargard Szczeciński is 145% better for: goals scored per match.
2.45 goals / match - Stargard Szczeciński · 1 goals / match - Lipno Stęszew
Stargard Szczeciński is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.73 goals / match - Stargard Szczeciński · 2.09 goals / match - Lipno Stęszew
Stargard Szczeciński scores in 100% of matches (11 of 11 matches), while Lipno Stęszew keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 11 matches).
Lipno Stęszew scores in 82% of matches (9 of 11 matches), while Stargard Szczeciński keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Stargard Szczeciński
Over / Under - Lipno Stęszew
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Stargard Szczeciński is 264% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.64 pts / match - Stargard Szczeciński · 0.45 pts / match - Lipno Stęszew
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Stargard Szczeciński - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Lipno Stęszew - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 2.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +6 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Stargard Szczeciński
Lipno Stęszew
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 2).
Teams vs league
| Stargard Szczeciński | Liga | Lipno Stęszew | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.18 | 3.56 | ▼ 3.09 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 82% | 67% | ▲ 82% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 73% | 64% | • 64% |
| Clean sheets | • 18% | 18% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 91% | 79% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 82% | 86% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Stargard SzczecińskiGoalWojciech Fadecki
- Stargard SzczecińskiGoalRafał Remisz
- Stargard SzczecińskiGoalWojciech Fadecki
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Stargard Szczeciński 2 - 0 - 0 Lipno Stęszew. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Stargard Szczeciński vs Lipno Stęszew?
The 3 Liga Group 2 match finished Stargard Szczeciński 3:4 Lipno Stęszew. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Stargard Szczeciński and Lipno Stęszew?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Stargard Szczeciński won 2, Lipno Stęszew won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Stargard Szczeciński vs Lipno Stęszew?
Stargard Szczeciński score 2.45 goals per game on average and Lipno Stęszew 1.00. The 3 Liga Group 2 average is 3.56 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 82% of Stargard Szczeciński's matches and 82% of Lipno Stęszew's.
What form are Stargard Szczeciński and Lipno Stęszew in?
Over the last 5 games Stargard Szczeciński have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Lipno Stęszew 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stargard Szczeciński vs Lipno Stęszew?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.