Stenhousemuir vs Kelty Hearts: match statistics
Stenhousemuir are the clear favorites in this match, sitting in 2nd place in the table with an impressive record of 14 wins and only 4 losses this season. The hosts boast excellent home form with 50% of home matches won and 50% clean sheets, conceding an average of only 0.79 goals per game. Kelty Hearts are in 10th place with a very poor away record - just 21% wins and as many as 57% losses on the road, conceding an average of 1.79 goals per match. The difference in form is also evident in the last five matches: Stenhousemuir with 2.2 points per game and a 'dwwdw' record versus Kelty Hearts with 0.6 points and a 'lddld' record. Furthermore, the hosts have a positive goal difference of +12 in home matches, while the visitors concede 8 more goals than they score away from home, which clearly indicates Stenhousemuir's advantage.
Stenhousemuir vs Kelty Hearts: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Stenhousemuir played Kelty Hearts in League One (Scotland). The match was played on 21 March 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Stenhousemuir: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Kelty Hearts: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Stenhousemuir scores 1.31 and concedes 0.76 goals per match. Kelty Hearts scores 0.83 and concedes 1.86. League average: 2.66 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Stenhousemuir 41%, Kelty Hearts 55%. Over 2.5: Stenhousemuir 34%, Kelty Hearts 55%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Stenhousemuir has higher xG: 1.14 vs 1.00. Stenhousemuir: 8.2 shots per match, Kelty Hearts: 7.2.
Match halves
Stenhousemuir: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.72. Kelty Hearts: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.38.
Goals by minute
Stenhousemuir: 76-90+ (9 goals). Kelty Hearts: 16-30 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-0. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Stenhousemuir are the clear favorites in this match, sitting in 2nd place in the table with an impressive record of 14 wins and only 4 losses this season. The hosts boast excellent home form with 50% of home matches won and 50% clean sheets, conceding an average of only 0.79 goals per game. Kelty Hearts are in 10th place with a very poor away record - just 21% wins and as many as 57% losses on the road, conceding an average of 1.79 goals per match. The difference in form is also evident in the last five matches: Stenhousemuir with 2.2 points per game and a 'dwwdw' record versus Kelty Hearts with 0.6 points and a 'lddld' record. Furthermore, the hosts have a positive goal difference of +12 in home matches, while the visitors concede 8 more goals than they score away from home, which clearly indicates Stenhousemuir's advantage.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Stenhousemuir | Kelty Hearts | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 50% | 49% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Stenhousemuir is 267% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Stenhousemuir · 0.6 pts / match - Kelty Hearts
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Stenhousemuir is 58% better for: goals scored per match.
1.31 goals / match - Stenhousemuir · 0.83 goals / match - Kelty Hearts
Stenhousemuir is 145% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.76 goals / match - Stenhousemuir · 1.86 goals / match - Kelty Hearts
Stenhousemuir scores in 76% of matches (22 of 29 matches), while Kelty Hearts keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 29 matches).
Kelty Hearts scores in 62% of matches (18 of 29 matches), while Stenhousemuir keeps a clean sheet in 48% (14 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Stenhousemuir
Over / Under - Kelty Hearts
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Stenhousemuir is 48% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.52 pts / match - Stenhousemuir · 1.03 pts / match - Kelty Hearts
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Stenhousemuir - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Kelty Hearts - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 10%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Stenhousemuir
Kelty Hearts
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Stenhousemuir | Liga | Kelty Hearts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.07 | 2.66 | • 2.69 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 49% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 34% | 52% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 48% | 29% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 66% | 75% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 81% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Stenhousemuir 2 - 1 - 0 Kelty Hearts. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Stenhousemuir vs Kelty Hearts?
The League One match finished Stenhousemuir 2:0 Kelty Hearts. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Stenhousemuir and Kelty Hearts?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Stenhousemuir won 2, Kelty Hearts won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Stenhousemuir vs Kelty Hearts?
Stenhousemuir score 1.31 goals per game on average and Kelty Hearts 0.83. The League One average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Stenhousemuir's matches and 55% of Kelty Hearts's.
What form are Stenhousemuir and Kelty Hearts in?
Over the last 5 games Stenhousemuir have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Kelty Hearts 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stenhousemuir vs Kelty Hearts?
The statistical background for Stenhousemuir vs Kelty Hearts — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.