Stevenage vs Luton Town: match statistics
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Stevenage vs Luton Town: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Stevenage play Luton Town in EFL League One (England). The match date is 10 September 2026.
Current form
Stevenage: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Luton Town: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Stevenage scores 1.80 and concedes 1.20 goals per match. Luton Town scores 2.20 and concedes 2.20. League average: 3.19 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Stevenage 80%, Luton Town 80%. Over 2.5: Stevenage 60%, Luton Town 60%. League level: BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Luton Town has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.16. Stevenage: 9.6 shots per match, Luton Town: 13.4.
Match halves
Stevenage: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.60. Luton Town: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.60.
Goals by minute
Stevenage: 76-90+ (4 goals). Luton Town: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 3.19 goals per match, BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Stevenage | Luton Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.45 | 0.44 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Luton Town is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Stevenage · 1.6 pts / match - Luton Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Luton Town is 22% better for: goals scored per match.
1.8 goals / match - Stevenage · 2.2 goals / match - Luton Town
Stevenage is 83% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.2 goals / match - Stevenage · 2.2 goals / match - Luton Town
Stevenage scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Luton Town keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).
Luton Town scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while Stevenage keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Stevenage
Over / Under - Luton Town
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Stevenage is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Stevenage · 0.6 pts / match - Luton Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Stevenage - second-half results
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Luton Town - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Stevenage
Luton Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Stevenage | Liga | Luton Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.00 | 3.19 | ▲ 4.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 80% | 67% | ▲ 80% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 60% | 62% | ▼ 60% |
| Clean sheets | • 20% | 20% | • 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 20% | 67% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 80% | 83% | ▼ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Stevenage 1 - 0 - 1 Luton Town. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
When do Stevenage and Luton Town play?
Stevenage face Luton Town on 10 September 2026 in EFL League One. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Stevenage and Luton Town?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Stevenage won 1, Luton Town won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Stevenage vs Luton Town?
Stevenage score 1.80 goals per game on average and Luton Town 2.20. The EFL League One average is 3.19 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 80% of Stevenage's matches and 80% of Luton Town's.
What form are Stevenage and Luton Town in?
Over the last 5 games Stevenage have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Luton Town 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stevenage vs Luton Town?
The statistical background for Stevenage vs Luton Town — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.