Stirling Albion vs Dumbarton: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to very even chances for both teams, suggesting a draw as the most likely result. Stirling Albion has weak effectiveness in home matches with only 15% wins and a goal difference of -9, though they recently improved form by winning 2 of their last 5 matches. Dumbarton presents even weaker form away with 54% losses, zero percent clean sheets, and a dismal streak of 0 wins in the last 5 matches. Both teams have an identical goal difference on their pitches (-9), similar xG indicators, and high percentages of failing to score (31%). Considering the weak form of both teams, the high probability of a draw (38% for the hosts, 23% for the visitors in their matches), and the fact that both teams occupy bottom positions in the table, I expect a tight, ineffective encounter ending in a sharing of points.
Stirling Albion vs Dumbarton: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Stirling Albion played Dumbarton in League Two (Scotland). The match was played on 28 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Stirling Albion: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Dumbarton: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Stirling Albion scores 1.28 and concedes 1.64 goals per match. Dumbarton scores 1.32 and concedes 1.80. League average: 2.98 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Stirling Albion 60%, Dumbarton 76%. Over 2.5: Stirling Albion 56%, Dumbarton 60%. League level: BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Stirling Albion has higher xG: 1.15 vs 0.99. Stirling Albion: 8.6 shots per match, Dumbarton: 6.7.
Match halves
Stirling Albion: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.80. Dumbarton: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.72.
Goals by minute
Stirling Albion: 76-90+ (10 goals). Dumbarton: 61-75 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.98 goals per match, BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to very even chances for both teams, suggesting a draw as the most likely result. Stirling Albion has weak effectiveness in home matches with only 15% wins and a goal difference of -9, though they recently improved form by winning 2 of their last 5 matches. Dumbarton presents even weaker form away with 54% losses, zero percent clean sheets, and a dismal streak of 0 wins in the last 5 matches. Both teams have an identical goal difference on their pitches (-9), similar xG indicators, and high percentages of failing to score (31%). Considering the weak form of both teams, the high probability of a draw (38% for the hosts, 23% for the visitors in their matches), and the fact that both teams occupy bottom positions in the table, I expect a tight, ineffective encounter ending in a sharing of points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Stirling Albion | Dumbarton | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 50% | 45% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.44 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Stirling Albion is 250% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Stirling Albion · 0.4 pts / match - Dumbarton
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Stirling Albion is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.64 goals / match - Stirling Albion · 1.8 goals / match - Dumbarton
Stirling Albion scores in 72% of matches (18 of 25 matches), while Dumbarton keeps a clean sheet in 8% (2 of 25 matches).
Dumbarton scores in 80% of matches (20 of 25 matches), while Stirling Albion keeps a clean sheet in 16% (4 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Stirling Albion
Over / Under - Dumbarton
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Stirling Albion - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Dumbarton - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Stirling Albion
Dumbarton
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Stirling Albion | Liga | Dumbarton | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.92 | 2.98 | ▲ 3.12 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 60% | 65% | ▲ 76% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 56% | 56% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 21% | ▼ 8% |
| Goal before half-time | • 76% | 76% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 92% | 79% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Stirling Albion 1 - 1 - 0 Dumbarton. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Stirling Albion vs Dumbarton?
The League Two match finished Stirling Albion 1:1 Dumbarton. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Stirling Albion and Dumbarton?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Stirling Albion won 1, Dumbarton won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Stirling Albion vs Dumbarton?
Stirling Albion score 1.28 goals per game on average and Dumbarton 1.32. The League Two average is 2.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Stirling Albion's matches and 76% of Dumbarton's.
What form are Stirling Albion and Dumbarton in?
Over the last 5 games Stirling Albion have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Dumbarton 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stirling Albion vs Dumbarton?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.