Stjarnan vs Thór: match statistics

Stjarnan have a clear attacking advantage at home: they average 1.89 goals and create chances worth 2.15 xG, while Thór score just 0.67 goals away from home with 1.21 xG. The hosts also register significantly more shots on average, 17.78 compared with 10.89, including 7 shots on target versus 3.33. Thór have failed to score in 56% of their away matches and have lost 67% of them, conceding as many as 2.89 goals per game on average. Stjarnan’s defence is also not entirely reliable, allowing opponents 2.22 goals per match at home, but the visitors have scored only 3 goals in their last five league fixtures. The superior quality of chances created and home advantage should tilt the result in Stjarnan’s favour.

Stjarnan should have good chances to score, as Thór concede an average of 2.89 goals per match and keep a clean sheet in only 11% of fixtures. However, the key argument against BTTS - Yes is the visitors’ attack: Thór score just 0.67 goals on average, dropping to only 0.6 per match across their last five games. The visitors have failed to score in 56% of their league matches, while BTTS occurred in only 20% of their last five outings. Stjarnan’s weak defence, which has conceded an average of 2.4 goals across its last five matches, together with Thór’s xG of 1.31, gives the visitors a realistic chance, but does not offset their clear finishing problems. Despite the league recording a high BTTS rate of 71%, the more likely scenario is that at least one team—Thór in particular—fails to score. In betting terms, BTTS - No is the preferred outcome; this means that at least one team does not score, and does not automatically imply a 0:0 draw or that neither team will score.

Stjarnan average 1.20 goals, while Thór concede as many as 2.89 goals per away match, with opponents recording a high xG of 2.37 against this defense. In their last five matches, the hosts have averaged 2.14 xG, and their games ended with at least three goals in 80% of cases. Thór score just 0.67 goals per match, but Stjarnan’s defense allows an average of 2.00 goals and 2.07 xG to opponents, giving the visitors a realistic chance of adding a goal. Over 1.5 goals has landed in 70% of Stjarnan’s matches and 78% of Thór’s, making Over 1.5 the strongest and most reliable pick.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Stjarnan win, as the hosts were level after 45 minutes in 3 of their 10 matches, and in as many as 60% of their last five games. Thór have not led at the break in any of their nine matches this season and went into half-time trailing in 78% of them, while their low first-half average of 0.22 goals primarily points to an even, cautious opening. After the break, Stjarnan score an average of 0.70 goals, whereas Thór concede 1.56, giving the hosts a clear advantage in the latter stages of the match. Across the season, the visitors have conceded an average of 2.89 goals per game while scoring just 0.67, and Stjarnan have the higher finishing efficiency, 11% compared with 6%; therefore, a home win at full-time remains the most likely outcome.