Iceland - ÚrvalsdeildSamsung völlurinnData current as of 20 October 2026

Stjarnan vs Valur: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Stjarnan vs Valur: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Stjarnan play Valur in Úrvalsdeild (Iceland). The match date is 24 October 2026. Venue: Samsung völlurinn.

Current form

Stjarnan: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Valur: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Stjarnan scores 1.81 and concedes 2.35 goals per match. Valur scores 1.96 and concedes 2.04. League average: 3.90 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Stjarnan 77%, Valur 77%. Over 2.5: Stjarnan 81%, Valur 73%. League level: BTTS 72%, Over 2.5 72%.

xG, shots and style

Stjarnan has higher xG: 1.90 vs 1.86. Stjarnan: 16.5 shots per match, Valur: 16.0.

Match halves

Stjarnan: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.81. Valur: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 1.15.

Goals by minute

Stjarnan: 31-45+ (10 goals). Valur: 76-90+ (18 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Úrvalsdeild: 3.90 goals per match, BTTS 72%, Over 2.5 72%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 3-0-2. Average goals 4.80, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.82)
(4.50)
(3.26)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.81Goals scored / match1.96
StjarnanValur
2.35Goals conceded / match2.04
StjarnanValur
56%Average possession51%
StjarnanValur
6.12Shots on target / match6.08
StjarnanValur

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

16.5Shots per match16.04
StjarnanValur
6.12Shots on target6.08
StjarnanValur
11%Shot conversion12.2%
StjarnanValur
56%Possession51%
StjarnanValur
1.9xG for1.86
StjarnanValur
1.87xG against2.2
StjarnanValur

Shooting quality

Stjarnan: DominantValur: Attacking
StjarnanValur
Accuracy (shots on target)37%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Valur is 150% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Stjarnan · 2 pts / match - Valur

Stjarnan
DWLLL
Season result split
35% W15% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-4-13
1.19 pts / match · goal difference -14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-2-6
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WWDWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 2.6xG: 1.79Opponent xG: 1.90BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Valur
WWDLW
Season result split
38% W15% D46% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-4-12
1.31 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-1-6
Last 5 away
2-1-2
LWLWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.8Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 2.16Opponent xG: 2.09BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Valur is 8% better for: goals scored per match.

1.81 goals / match - Stjarnan · 1.96 goals / match - Valur

Valur is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.35 goals / match - Stjarnan · 2.04 goals / match - Valur

Stjarnan scoring profile: very strong

Stjarnan scores in 88% of matches (23 of 26 matches), while Valur keeps a clean sheet in 8% (2 of 26 matches).

Valur scoring profile: very strong

Valur scores in 85% of matches (22 of 26 matches), while Stjarnan keeps a clean sheet in 12% (3 of 26 matches).

47Goals scored (season)51
StjarnanValur
61Goals conceded (season)53
StjarnanValur
4.15Average goals in match4
StjarnanValur
7Goals scored (last 5)14
StjarnanValur
13Goals conceded (last 5)9
StjarnanValur

How often they score at least...

88%1 goal85%
StjarnanValur
58%2 goals58%
StjarnanValur
27%3 goals35%
StjarnanValur
8%4 goals19%
StjarnanValur

How often they concede at least...

88%1 goal92%
StjarnanValur
73%2 goals58%
StjarnanValur
42%3 goals31%
StjarnanValur
19%4 goals15%
StjarnanValur

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

38%BTTS at half-time35%
StjarnanValur
19%BTTS in both halves8%
StjarnanValur
27%Scored in both halves42%
StjarnanValur

BTTS and goal count

73%Min. 3 goals and BTTS69%
StjarnanValur
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS4%
StjarnanValur
60%BTTS - last 5100%
StjarnanValur

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

92%Min. 1 goal before half-time85%
StjarnanValur
77%Min. 2 goals before half-time58%
StjarnanValur
38%Min. 3 goals before half-time27%
StjarnanValur

2nd half

85%Min. 1 goal after half-time88%
StjarnanValur
62%Min. 2 goals after half-time65%
StjarnanValur
42%Min. 3 goals after half-time42%
StjarnanValur

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Valur is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.08 pts / match - Stjarnan · 1.23 pts / match - Valur

Stjarnan - half-time state
27% leading27% draw46% trailing
Valur - half-time state
27% leading42% draw31% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.08Points per match (1st half)1.23
StjarnanValur
1Goals scored (1st half)0.81
StjarnanValur
1.27Goals conceded (1st half)1.04
StjarnanValur
2.27Average goals (1st half)1.85
StjarnanValur
31%Clean sheet before half-time42%
StjarnanValur
38%No goal before half-time38%
StjarnanValur

After half-time (2nd half)

1.19Points per match (2nd half)1.35
StjarnanValur
0.81Goals scored (2nd half)1.15
StjarnanValur
1.08Goals conceded (2nd half)1
StjarnanValur
1.88Average goals (2nd half)2.15
StjarnanValur
27%Clean sheet after half-time31%
StjarnanValur
46%No goal after half-time35%
StjarnanValur

Stjarnan - second-half results

31% W27% D42% L
28
Half-time points
26
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
31
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.08
PPG before half-time
Lead holding130%

Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Valur - second-half results

35% W31% D35% L
32
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
35
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.23
PPG before half-time
Lead holding141%

Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Stjarnan - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.40
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match1.80.8
Average goals in match2.41.6
1 goal100%80%
2 goals80%40%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-60
Half-time: 20% leading - 0% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Valur - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.202.20
Goals scored / match0.62.2
Goals conceded / match1.00.8
Average goals in match1.63.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%100%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal40%0%
Goal difference-2+7
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Stjarnan
ScoredConceded
8
11
0-15
8
11
16-30
10
11
31-45
7
11
46-60
6
9
61-75
8
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Valur
ScoredConceded
6
8
0-15
10
11
16-30
5
8
31-45
9
7
46-60
3
7
61-75
18
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (18 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

4.08
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.9 : 2.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
77%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+18%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
75%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
4+
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Stjarnan

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.57
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.48
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
84%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
134%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.39
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

Valur

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.34
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.26
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.16
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
112%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
95%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.69
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
35% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
35%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Úrvalsdeild).

Teams vs league

StjarnanLigaValur
Average goals in match▲ 4.153.90▲ 4.00
Both teams scored▲ 77%72%▲ 77%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 81%72%• 73%
Clean sheets▼ 12%15%▼ 8%
Goal before half-time▲ 92%83%▲ 85%
Goal after half-time▼ 85%87%• 88%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.90
Average goals per match
72%
Both teams scored
72%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
15%
Clean sheets
2.15
Home goals / match
1.75
Away goals / match
+23%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
54%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
12%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
87%
1 goal
63%
2 goals
40%
3 goals
15%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (5): Stjarnan 3 - 0 - 2 Valur. Average goals 4.80, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Valur
2 : 3
Stjarnan
Stjarnan
2 : 4
Valur
Valur Reykjavík
3 : 2
UMF Stjarnan
Valur Reykjavík
1 : 2
UMF Stjarnan
UMF Stjarnan
3 : 2
Valur Reykjavík

FAQ

When do Stjarnan and Valur play?

Stjarnan face Valur on 24 October 2026 in Úrvalsdeild at Samsung völlurinn. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Stjarnan and Valur?

In the last 5 head-to-head matches Stjarnan won 3, Valur won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.80 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Stjarnan vs Valur?

Stjarnan score 1.81 goals per game on average and Valur 1.96. The Úrvalsdeild average is 3.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 72% of games. Both teams score in 77% of Stjarnan's matches and 77% of Valur's.

What form are Stjarnan and Valur in?

Over the last 5 games Stjarnan have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Valur 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stjarnan vs Valur?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.