Stockport County vs Wycombe Wanderers: match statistics

Stockport County should have the edge thanks to significantly greater control at home: they average 78% possession, 28 shots and 9 shots on target per match, compared with Wycombe’s 42%, 11 shots and 4 attempts on target away from home. The hosts also create chances worth an average of 3.17 xG, while opponents average 2.26 xG against them, indicating favorable conditions for creating numerous opportunities. In their last five matches, Stockport scored 12 goals and collected 7 points, whereas Wycombe scored just 4 goals and earned 3 points, without a single win. The risk for the hosts lies in their defense, having conceded 11 goals in their last five matches and averaging 2 goals conceded at home. Wycombe nevertheless remain unbeaten away from home and have drawn all of their matches there so far, making a draw a realistic alternative; however, Stockport’s greater chance quality favors a home win.

The BTTS signal is clear, as both teams have recorded goals for both sides in 100% of their matches so far this season, with a 0% rate of games without scoring and no clean sheets. Stockport have averaged 2.4 goals scored in their last five appearances, but have also conceded 2.2 per match, significantly increasing the chances of a Wycombe response. Wycombe have scored just 0.8 goals per game during this period; however, the hosts have allowed opponents an average of 1.38 xG, while the visitors themselves have created chances worth an average of 1.35 xG. In addition, Wycombe’s defence has a seasonal xG conceded figure of 2.26, significantly higher than Stockport’s 1.66 attacking xG, making a home goal look highly likely. BTTS is also supported by the league average of 71%, while the visitors’ recent form has produced this scenario in 80% of their last five matches.

In their last five matches, Stockport averaged 2.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded, with the team’s games finishing Over 2.5 goals in 80% of cases. Wycombe scored just 0.8 goals during this period, but both teams scored in 80% of their matches, while their opponents averaged 1.2 goals. The hosts’ attacking potential is supported by an average xG of 2.01 across their last five appearances, as well as 14 shots and 5 shots on target per game, while Wycombe’s defense allowed opponents an xG of 1.61. All previous league meetings between the two teams produced at least 2 goals, making Over 1.5 the strongest pick, although the Over 2.5 line remains considerably more evenly balanced.

Stockport have shown significantly stronger attacking form over their last five matches, averaging 2.4 goals compared with Wycombe’s 0.8, while also recording a higher xG of 1.66 versus the opponents’ 1.22. The hosts were leading at the break in 40% of their last five games and scored an average of 1.2 goals before half-time, whereas Wycombe managed only 0.4 goals and failed to score before the break in as many as 60% of those matches. The visitors’ defence allows opponents an xG of 2.26, which particularly favours an efficient Stockport side averaging 14 shots and 5 on target per match, compared with Wycombe’s 11 and 4 respectively. After the interval, the hosts continued to average 1.2 goals across their last five outings, while Wycombe lost the second half in 60% of matches, making a Stockport lead being maintained until full-time the most likely outcome.