Stoke City vs Leicester City: match statistics
Stoke City appear to have the edge in this match, mainly due to playing at home, where they achieve a 40% win rate and have a positive goal difference (+5). Leicester City are in terrible form, losing all of their last five matches and conceding as many as 12 goals in that period. The visitors have a poor away record (25% wins, -7 goal difference) and the highest percentage of away defeats (50%). Stoke City, despite average recent form (0.4 points per match), perform much better at home, as confirmed by their higher xG ratio (1.38 vs 1.16 xGA). Leicester City record just 6% clean sheets away and concede an average of 1.75 goals per away match, which, combined with the hosts' more stable defense (0.93 goals conceded at home), points to a Stoke City victory. Considering all statistics, the hosts have a realistic chance of taking three points, although their weaker form in the last five matches does not allow for a very high confidence percentage.
Stoke City vs Leicester City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Stoke City played Leicester City in Championship (England). The match was played on 21 February 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Stoke City: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Leicester City: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Stoke City scores 1.06 and concedes 0.91 goals per match. Leicester City scores 1.38 and concedes 1.59. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Stoke City 34%, Leicester City 78%. Over 2.5: Stoke City 38%, Leicester City 66%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Leicester City has higher xG: 1.30 vs 1.26. Stoke City: 11.0 shots per match, Leicester City: 11.6.
Match halves
Stoke City: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.59. Leicester City: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Stoke City: 46-60 (8 goals). Leicester City: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Stoke City appear to have the edge in this match, mainly due to playing at home, where they achieve a 40% win rate and have a positive goal difference (+5). Leicester City are in terrible form, losing all of their last five matches and conceding as many as 12 goals in that period. The visitors have a poor away record (25% wins, -7 goal difference) and the highest percentage of away defeats (50%). Stoke City, despite average recent form (0.4 points per match), perform much better at home, as confirmed by their higher xG ratio (1.38 vs 1.16 xGA). Leicester City record just 6% clean sheets away and concede an average of 1.75 goals per away match, which, combined with the hosts' more stable defense (0.93 goals conceded at home), points to a Stoke City victory. Considering all statistics, the hosts have a realistic chance of taking three points, although their weaker form in the last five matches does not allow for a very high confidence percentage.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Stoke City | Leicester City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Stoke City is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Stoke City · 0.2 pts / match - Leicester City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Leicester City is 30% better for: goals scored per match.
1.06 goals / match - Stoke City · 1.38 goals / match - Leicester City
Stoke City is 75% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.91 goals / match - Stoke City · 1.59 goals / match - Leicester City
Stoke City scores in 59% of matches (19 of 32 matches), while Leicester City keeps a clean sheet in 9% (3 of 32 matches).
Leicester City scores in 84% of matches (27 of 32 matches), while Stoke City keeps a clean sheet in 38% (12 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Stoke City
Over / Under - Leicester City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Stoke City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Leicester City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 31%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Stoke City
Leicester City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Stoke City | Liga | Leicester City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.97 | 2.57 | ▲ 2.97 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 34% | 56% | ▲ 78% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 51% | ▲ 66% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 25% | ▼ 9% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 70% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 66% | 78% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Stoke City 0 - 0 - 1 Leicester City. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Stoke City vs Leicester City?
The Championship match finished Stoke City 2:2 Leicester City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Stoke City vs Leicester City?
Stoke City score 1.06 goals per game on average and Leicester City 1.38. The Championship average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 34% of Stoke City's matches and 78% of Leicester City's.
What form are Stoke City and Leicester City in?
Over the last 5 games Stoke City have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Leicester City 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stoke City vs Leicester City?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.