Stranraer vs East Kilbride: match statistics
East Kilbride are the clear favorites in this matchup, sitting at 1st place in the table with an impressive streak of 5 consecutive wins and a 19:5 goal difference in their last 5 matches. The visitors are characterized by high efficiency (24% shot conversion) and an average of 2.36 goals per away match, with a 64% away win rate. Stranraer is in poor form, averaging only 0.8 PPG in their last 5 fixtures and winning just 23% of their home games this season. The hosts have a negative goal difference (-4) in home matches and merely an 8% clean sheet rate, indicating defensive struggles. East Kilbride's advantage in ball possession (54% vs 49%), higher average xG (1.39 vs 1.23), and significantly better overall form point towards a confident victory for the visitors. Stats strongly suggest an East Kilbride triumph, although Stranraer playing at home might put up some resistance, hence a slight chance of a draw.
Stranraer vs East Kilbride: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Stranraer played East Kilbride in League Two (Scotland). The match was played on 14 March 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Stranraer: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. East Kilbride: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Stranraer scores 1.26 and concedes 1.37 goals per match. East Kilbride scores 2.14 and concedes 1.39. League average: 2.99 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Stranraer 67%, East Kilbride 64%. Over 2.5: Stranraer 52%, East Kilbride 71%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
East Kilbride has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.29. Stranraer: 9.4 shots per match, East Kilbride: 10.0.
Match halves
Stranraer: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.44. East Kilbride: half-time lead 61%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
Stranraer: 31-45+ (11 goals). East Kilbride: 31-45+ (18 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.99 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-2. Average goals 3.33, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
East Kilbride are the clear favorites in this matchup, sitting at 1st place in the table with an impressive streak of 5 consecutive wins and a 19:5 goal difference in their last 5 matches. The visitors are characterized by high efficiency (24% shot conversion) and an average of 2.36 goals per away match, with a 64% away win rate. Stranraer is in poor form, averaging only 0.8 PPG in their last 5 fixtures and winning just 23% of their home games this season. The hosts have a negative goal difference (-4) in home matches and merely an 8% clean sheet rate, indicating defensive struggles. East Kilbride's advantage in ball possession (54% vs 49%), higher average xG (1.39 vs 1.23), and significantly better overall form point towards a confident victory for the visitors. Stats strongly suggest an East Kilbride triumph, although Stranraer playing at home might put up some resistance, hence a slight chance of a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Stranraer | East Kilbride | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 52% | 52% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
East Kilbride is 275% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Stranraer · 3 pts / match - East Kilbride
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
East Kilbride is 70% better for: goals scored per match.
1.26 goals / match - Stranraer · 2.14 goals / match - East Kilbride
Stranraer scores in 74% of matches (20 of 27 matches), while East Kilbride keeps a clean sheet in 25% (7 of 28 matches).
East Kilbride scores in 89% of matches (25 of 28 matches), while Stranraer keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Stranraer
Over / Under - East Kilbride
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
East Kilbride is 34% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.44 pts / match - Stranraer · 1.93 pts / match - East Kilbride
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Stranraer - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 30%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
East Kilbride - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 61% of matches and wins 57%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +7 | +7 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (18 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Stranraer
East Kilbride
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Stranraer | Liga | East Kilbride | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.63 | 2.99 | ▲ 3.54 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 64% | • 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 52% | 57% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 21% | ▲ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 76% | ▲ 93% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 80% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Stranraer 1 - 0 - 2 East Kilbride. Average goals 3.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Stranraer vs East Kilbride?
The League Two match finished Stranraer 1:1 East Kilbride. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Stranraer and East Kilbride?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Stranraer won 1, East Kilbride won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Stranraer vs East Kilbride?
Stranraer score 1.26 goals per game on average and East Kilbride 2.14. The League Two average is 2.99 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Stranraer's matches and 64% of East Kilbride's.
What form are Stranraer and East Kilbride in?
Over the last 5 games Stranraer have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and East Kilbride 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stranraer vs East Kilbride?
The statistical background for Stranraer vs East Kilbride — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.