Stranraer vs Elgin City: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a balanced competition with a lean towards a draw. Stranraer presents solid form in the last five matches (2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses) with only 2 conceded goals, demonstrating defensive stability. Elgin City records a high percentage of draws away (55%), which is the highest indicator in their away statistics. Both teams have similar xG indicators (Stranraer 1.23 vs Elgin 1.44) and low scoring effectiveness (12% vs 11%), suggesting difficulties in finalizing actions. Stranraer has 42% draws at home, and their last home matches show a tendency to share points. Taking into account the negative goal difference of both teams in their respective matches (-3 for Stranraer at home, -5 for Elgin away) and balanced possession (49% vs 51%), I expect a tight match ending in a sharing of points.
Stranraer vs Elgin City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Stranraer played Elgin City in League Two (Scotland). The match was played on 28 February 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Stranraer: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Elgin City: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Stranraer scores 1.33 and concedes 1.21 goals per match. Elgin City scores 1.50 and concedes 1.63. League average: 2.98 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Stranraer 67%, Elgin City 63%. Over 2.5: Stranraer 50%, Elgin City 54%. League level: BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Elgin City has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.25. Stranraer: 8.9 shots per match, Elgin City: 9.9.
Match halves
Stranraer: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.50. Elgin City: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Stranraer: 31-45+ (10 goals). Elgin City: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.98 goals per match, BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a balanced competition with a lean towards a draw. Stranraer presents solid form in the last five matches (2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses) with only 2 conceded goals, demonstrating defensive stability. Elgin City records a high percentage of draws away (55%), which is the highest indicator in their away statistics. Both teams have similar xG indicators (Stranraer 1.23 vs Elgin 1.44) and low scoring effectiveness (12% vs 11%), suggesting difficulties in finalizing actions. Stranraer has 42% draws at home, and their last home matches show a tendency to share points. Taking into account the negative goal difference of both teams in their respective matches (-3 for Stranraer at home, -5 for Elgin away) and balanced possession (49% vs 51%), I expect a tight match ending in a sharing of points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Stranraer | Elgin City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 53% | 49% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Stranraer is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Stranraer · 1.6 pts / match - Elgin City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Elgin City is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
1.33 goals / match - Stranraer · 1.5 goals / match - Elgin City
Stranraer is 35% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.21 goals / match - Stranraer · 1.63 goals / match - Elgin City
Stranraer scores in 75% of matches (18 of 24 matches), while Elgin City keeps a clean sheet in 25% (6 of 24 matches).
Elgin City scores in 83% of matches (20 of 24 matches), while Stranraer keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Stranraer
Over / Under - Elgin City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Stranraer is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.58 pts / match - Stranraer · 1.13 pts / match - Elgin City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Stranraer - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 33%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Elgin City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Stranraer
Elgin City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Stranraer | Liga | Elgin City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.54 | 2.98 | ▲ 3.13 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 65% | ▼ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 56% | ▼ 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 21% | ▲ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 76% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 79% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Stranraer 1 - 1 - 0 Elgin City. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Stranraer vs Elgin City?
The League Two match finished Stranraer 1:2 Elgin City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Stranraer and Elgin City?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Stranraer won 1, Elgin City won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Stranraer vs Elgin City?
Stranraer score 1.33 goals per game on average and Elgin City 1.50. The League Two average is 2.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Stranraer's matches and 63% of Elgin City's.
What form are Stranraer and Elgin City in?
Over the last 5 games Stranraer have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Elgin City 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stranraer vs Elgin City?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.