Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sturm Graz play Grazer AK in Bundesliga (Austria). The match date is 18 October 2026. Venue: Merkur Arena.
Current form
Sturm Graz: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Grazer AK: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sturm Graz scores 1.25 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. Grazer AK scores 0.75 and concedes 2.00. League average: 3.04 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sturm Graz 50%, Grazer AK 38%. Over 2.5: Sturm Graz 38%, Grazer AK 63%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Sturm Graz has higher xG: 1.75 vs 1.44. Sturm Graz: 15.8 shots per match, Grazer AK: 13.9.
Match halves
Sturm Graz: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.75. Grazer AK: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.25.
Goals by minute
Sturm Graz: 31-45+ (2 goals). Grazer AK: 0-15 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 3.04 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sturm Graz | Grazer AK | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.18 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sturm Graz is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Sturm Graz · 1.2 pts / match - Grazer AK
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sturm Graz is 67% better for: goals scored per match.
1.25 goals / match - Sturm Graz · 0.75 goals / match - Grazer AK
Sturm Graz is 77% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.13 goals / match - Sturm Graz · 2 goals / match - Grazer AK
Sturm Graz scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while Grazer AK keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).
Grazer AK scores in 38% of matches (3 of 8 matches), while Sturm Graz keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sturm Graz
Over / Under - Grazer AK
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Grazer AK is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Sturm Graz · 1.13 pts / match - Grazer AK
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sturm Graz - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Grazer AK - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sturm Graz
Grazer AK
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Sturm Graz | Liga | Grazer AK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.38 | 3.04 | ▼ 2.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 52% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 63% | • 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 26% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 75% | • 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 79% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Sturm Graz 2 - 0 - 0 Grazer AK. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
When do Sturm Graz and Grazer AK play?
Sturm Graz face Grazer AK on 18 October 2026 in Bundesliga at Merkur Arena. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sturm Graz and Grazer AK?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Sturm Graz won 2, Grazer AK won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK?
Sturm Graz score 1.25 goals per game on average and Grazer AK 0.75. The Bundesliga average is 3.04 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Sturm Graz's matches and 38% of Grazer AK's.
What form are Sturm Graz and Grazer AK in?
Over the last 5 games Sturm Graz have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Grazer AK 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.