Sturm Graz vs Ried: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Sturm Graz vs Ried: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sturm Graz play Ried in Bundesliga (Austria). The match date is 25 October 2026. Venue: Merkur Arena.
Current form
Sturm Graz: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Ried: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sturm Graz scores 1.78 and concedes 1.11 goals per match. Ried scores 1.78 and concedes 1.67. League average: 3.17 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sturm Graz 56%, Ried 89%. Over 2.5: Sturm Graz 44%, Ried 67%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
Sturm Graz has higher xG: 1.84 vs 1.70. Sturm Graz: 16.6 shots per match, Ried: 14.7.
Match halves
Sturm Graz: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 1.00. Ried: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.56.
Goals by minute
Sturm Graz: 31-45+ (5 goals). Ried: 0-15 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 3.17 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sturm Graz | Ried | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ried is 11% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Sturm Graz · 2 pts / match - Ried
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sturm Graz is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.11 goals / match - Sturm Graz · 1.67 goals / match - Ried
Sturm Graz scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while Ried keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 matches).
Ried scores in 100% of matches (9 of 9 matches), while Sturm Graz keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sturm Graz
Over / Under - Ried
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ried is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.22 pts / match - Sturm Graz · 1.56 pts / match - Ried
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sturm Graz - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ried - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 80% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sturm Graz
Ried
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Sturm Graz | Liga | Ried | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.89 | 3.17 | ▲ 3.44 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 52% | ▲ 89% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 65% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 26% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 76% | ▲ 89% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 81% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Sturm Graz 2 - 0 - 0 Ried. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
When do Sturm Graz and Ried play?
Sturm Graz face Ried on 25 October 2026 in Bundesliga at Merkur Arena. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sturm Graz and Ried?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Sturm Graz won 2, Ried won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sturm Graz vs Ried?
Sturm Graz score 1.78 goals per game on average and Ried 1.78. The Bundesliga average is 3.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Sturm Graz's matches and 89% of Ried's.
What form are Sturm Graz and Ried in?
Over the last 5 games Sturm Graz have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Ried 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sturm Graz vs Ried?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Sturm Graz vs Ried: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.