Südtirol vs Cesena: match statistics
Südtirol vs Cesena: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Südtirol played Cesena in Serie B (Italy). The match was played on 31 October 2026. Venue: Stadio Marco Druso. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Südtirol: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Cesena: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Südtirol scores 1.11 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Cesena scores 1.11 and concedes 1.44. League average: 2.69 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Südtirol 44%, Cesena 78%. Over 2.5: Südtirol 22%, Cesena 44%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Cesena has higher xG: 1.22 vs 1.16. Südtirol: 11.3 shots per match, Cesena: 11.8.
Match halves
Südtirol: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.89. Cesena: half-time lead 56%, second-half goals 0.44.
Goals by minute
Südtirol: 76-90+ (5 goals). Cesena: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.69 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Südtirol are favorites: they have avoided defeat in all 5 home matches, winning 2 and drawing 3, while Cesena have lost 2 of their 4 away games. The hosts concede an average of just 0.4 goals at home and have kept a clean sheet in 60% of those matches, while the visitors score an average of 0.75 goals away and have failed to score in half of their games. Südtirol’s edge in chance creation is reflected in an average of 3 shots on target per home match, compared with 2 for Cesena away, although the teams’ xG figures are similar: 1.11 to 1.00. In their last 5 matches, the hosts have scored 5 goals and conceded 6, while Cesena have scored 4 and conceded 9, further tipping the balance in the hosts’ favor. However, the risk of a draw remains significant, as Südtirol have drawn 3 of their 5 home matches.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Südtirol have seen both teams score in 100% of their home matches, while Cesena have done so in 50% of their away games, providing a moderate signal in favour of BTTS - Yes. The hosts average 1.25 goals at home, while the visitors concede 1.75 goals away; additionally, neither team has kept a clean sheet in these conditions. Cesena’s chances of scoring are supported by the 1.9 xG Südtirol concede at home, although the visitors score only 0.75 goals per away match. This is a significant risk, especially as Cesena have failed to score in 50% of such matches, so the lean towards BTTS - Yes is slight.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Every match played so far by Südtirol at home and Cesena away has featured at least 2 goals, providing the strongest signal in favor of Over 1.5 goals. Südtirol average 1.25 goals scored at home, while Cesena concede 1.75 goals away, giving the hosts a clear chance to find the net. The visitors score just 0.75 goals per away match, but Südtirol concede an average of 1.25 at home and have yet to keep a clean sheet there. Higher lines are less convincing: Over 2.5 goals has landed in 25% of Südtirol’s home matches and 50% of Cesena’s away matches, making Over 1.5 goals the safest choice.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Südtirol led at the break in 2 of their 4 home matches and conceded an average of just 0.25 goals in the first half, while Cesena conceded 1.25 goals before half-time in away matches. The hosts average 4 shots on target per match compared with their opponents’ 2, and their xG stands at 1.42 versus Cesena’s 1.00, increasing the likelihood of taking the lead. The case for maintaining that advantage is supported by the fact that Cesena have failed to score after half-time in all 4 away matches and have conceded an average of 1.8 goals across their last 5 games. The 1/1 HT/FT outcome is therefore the most likely, although by no means certain: Südtirol have drawn all 4 of their home matches so far, so the 1/X scenario also carries significant weight in the forecast.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Südtirol | Cesena | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 25% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Südtirol is 44% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Südtirol · 1.44 goals / match - Cesena
Südtirol scores in 67% of matches (6 of 9 matches), while Cesena keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 9 matches).
Cesena scores in 78% of matches (7 of 9 matches), while Südtirol keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Südtirol
Over / Under - Cesena
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cesena is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.11 pts / match - Südtirol · 1.78 pts / match - Cesena
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Südtirol - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Cesena - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 56% of matches and wins 22%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Südtirol
Cesena
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Südtirol | Liga | Cesena | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.11 | 2.69 | ▼ 2.56 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 61% | ▲ 78% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 22% | 52% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 21% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 67% | ▲ 89% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 84% | ▼ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Südtirol 0 - 1 - 1 Cesena. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Südtirol vs Cesena?
The Serie B match finished Südtirol 1:1 Cesena. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Südtirol and Cesena?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Südtirol won 0, Cesena won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Südtirol vs Cesena?
Südtirol score 1.11 goals per game on average and Cesena 1.11. The Serie B average is 2.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Südtirol's matches and 78% of Cesena's.
What form are Südtirol and Cesena in?
Over the last 5 games Südtirol have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Cesena 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Südtirol vs Cesena?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Südtirol vs Cesena: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.