Super Nova vs Auda: match statistics
Super Nova vs Auda: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Super Nova played Auda in Virsliga (Latvia). The match was played on 21 June 2026. Venue: Olaines stadions. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Super Nova: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Auda: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Super Nova scores 1.06 and concedes 1.39 goals per match. Auda scores 1.89 and concedes 1.28. League average: 2.95 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Super Nova 61%, Auda 67%. Over 2.5: Super Nova 56%, Auda 67%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Auda has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.13. Super Nova: 8.4 shots per match, Auda: 13.2.
Match halves
Super Nova: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.44. Auda: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.94.
Goals by minute
Super Nova: 16-30 (5 goals). Auda: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Virsliga: 2.95 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 6 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-5. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Auda is the favorite for this fixture based on concrete data: they have 11 wins this season versus Super Nova’s 6 and have scored 34 goals compared to the home side’s 19. In the last 5 matches Auda scored 8 goals and averages 2.0 points per game, while Super Nova scored 4 goals and averages only 0.8 points per game. xG and shot metrics confirm the visitors’ superiority — Auda’s average xG is 1.55 with 13.11 shots per match and 4.33 on target, versus xG 1.02, 7.86 shots and 3.29 on target for Super Nova. Defensively Auda also performs better: they concede 1.22 goals per away match on average and have a 33% clean sheet rate, whereas Super Nova concede 1.86 goals at home and have a 0% clean sheet rate. Considering these figures (higher xG, more chances and better form — 3 wins in 5 vs 1), I predict an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams show high seasonal BTTS rates: Super Nova 67% and Auda 67%, versus a league average of 60%, indicating both sides frequently find the net. Seasonally Super Nova scores 2.22 and concedes 1.33, while Auda scores 1.56 and concedes 1.22 — both teams regularly allow opponents goalscoring opportunities. In the last 5 matches Super Nova has averaged only 0.8 goals with xG 1.24, and Auda 1.6 goals with xG 1.79, which indicates Auda is creating more chances recently and has a higher xG per game. Additionally, Auda has had 0% of matches without scoring this season, while Super Nova failed to score in 11% of games, and clean sheets stand at 22% and 33% — factors that combined increase the likelihood of both teams scoring. Therefore I rate BTTS - Yes as the more probable outcome.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG and defensive metrics project 1.41 goals for Super Nova — calculated as the average of home xG 1.7 and xG conceded to Auda 1.11 — and 1.41 for Auda (average xG 1.55 and xG conceded to Super Nova 1.27), totaling 2.82 expected goals. This is close to the league average of 2.97 and is supported by Super Nova scoring 2.22 goals at home on average and Auda 1.56 away; both teams have over 1.5 season rates of 100% (Super Nova) and 78% (Auda). A Poisson model with a mean of 2.82 yields approximately a 77% probability for Over 1.5, 54% for Over 2.5 and 31% for Over 3.5, which aligns with seasonal Over 2.5 rates: 78% (Super Nova) and 56% (Auda). Additionally, both teams have a 67% rate of BTTS occurrences; Auda has 34 goals scored this season versus Super Nova's 19, and the home side has a higher shot conversion rate (17% vs 12%), increasing the likelihood of at least two goals. For these reasons the strongest signal in the data is the Over 1.5 — the most certain line with the largest safety margin (approx. 77%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Super Nova led at the break in 56% of their home matches and average 1.11 first-half goals compared to Auda’s 0.78, giving them a slight edge in the opening period. However, Auda win 67% of all fixtures and record 60% wins in the last five matches versus Super Nova’s 20%, so the advantage for the final result lies with the visitors. In the last five rounds Auda averaged 1.6 points at half-time versus Super Nova’s 0.6, and the away side had 100% of those five matches with at least one second-half goal, indicating their effectiveness after the break. Additionally xG is similar (1.7 vs 1.55) and Super Nova have a higher shot conversion rate (17% vs 12%), so the first half should be balanced, but Auda have better metrics to produce a turnaround in the second half. Based on these figures the strongest signal is a half-time draw with Auda winning at full-time (X/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Super Nova | Auda | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Auda is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Super Nova · 2 pts / match - Auda
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Auda is 78% better for: goals scored per match.
1.06 goals / match - Super Nova · 1.89 goals / match - Auda
Auda is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.39 goals / match - Super Nova · 1.28 goals / match - Auda
Super Nova scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while Auda keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
Auda scores in 94% of matches (17 of 18 matches), while Super Nova keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Super Nova
Over / Under - Auda
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Auda is 45% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.11 pts / match - Super Nova · 1.61 pts / match - Auda
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Super Nova - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Auda - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 61%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Super Nova
Auda
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| Super Nova | Liga | Auda | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.44 | 2.95 | ▲ 3.17 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 61% | 59% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 54% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | • 22% | 21% | ▲ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 77% | ▲ 89% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 83% | 85% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (6): Super Nova 0 - 1 - 5 Auda. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Super Nova vs Auda?
The Virsliga match finished Super Nova 0:2 Auda. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Super Nova and Auda?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Super Nova won 0, Auda won 5 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Super Nova vs Auda?
Super Nova score 1.06 goals per game on average and Auda 1.89. The Virsliga average is 2.95 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Super Nova's matches and 67% of Auda's.
What form are Super Nova and Auda in?
Over the last 5 games Super Nova have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Auda 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Super Nova vs Auda?
The statistical background for Super Nova vs Auda — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.