Super Nova vs Ogre United: match statistics
Super Nova vs Ogre United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Super Nova play Ogre United in Virsliga (Latvia). The match date is 16 May 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Super Nova: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Ogre United: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Super Nova scores 1.09 and concedes 1.52 goals per match. Ogre United scores 0.91 and concedes 2.57. League average: 2.98 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Super Nova 61%, Ogre United 61%. Over 2.5: Super Nova 57%, Ogre United 61%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Super Nova has higher xG: 1.19 vs 1.13. Super Nova: 9.0 shots per match, Ogre United: 10.0.
Match halves
Super Nova: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.52. Ogre United: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 0.61.
Goals by minute
Super Nova: 76-90+ (7 goals). Ogre United: 46-60 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Virsliga: 2.98 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Super Nova holds a statistical advantage heading into this match: at home they average 1.0 goals per game with xG 1.02 and produce 7.6 shots (2.8 on target), whereas Ogre United on the road score only 0.6 goals with xG 0.87 and generate 6.4 shots (2.4 on target). The visitors' defense looks markedly weaker — Ogre United concede an average of 3.6 goals away (xG against 2.25) and have shipped 19 goals in their last 5 matches, losing all 5, while Super Nova conceded 6 goals in their last 5 with a 1-1-3 record in that period. Additionally, Super Nova have not had a goalless home game (0% FTS) and feature a higher shot conversion rate of 13% versus Ogre United’s 9%, reflecting superior chance finishing. Over the season the hosts have 4 wins compared to 0 for the visitors, and the visitors’ away goal difference is -15 versus the hosts’ -5 at home, which further supports Super Nova’s edge. In light of these figures I back the home win, expecting their superiority in chance creation and finishing to translate into at least a one-goal margin.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Super Nova | Ogre United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Super Nova is 20% better for: goals scored per match.
1.09 goals / match - Super Nova · 0.91 goals / match - Ogre United
Super Nova is 69% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.52 goals / match - Super Nova · 2.57 goals / match - Ogre United
Super Nova scores in 78% of matches (18 of 23 matches), while Ogre United keeps a clean sheet in 4% (1 of 23 matches).
Ogre United scores in 65% of matches (15 of 23 matches), while Super Nova keeps a clean sheet in 22% (5 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Super Nova
Over / Under — Ogre United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Super Nova is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.04 pts / match - Super Nova · 0.52 pts / match - Ogre United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Super Nova - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ogre United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 13%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -8 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Super Nova
Ogre United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| Super Nova | Liga | Ogre United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.61 | 2.98 | ▲ 3.48 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 61% | 56% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 55% | ▲ 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 24% | ▼ 4% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 75% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 84% | ▲ 96% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Super Nova 1 - 0 - 1 Ogre United. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Super Nova vs Ogre United?
The Virsliga match finished Super Nova 3:1 Ogre United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Super Nova and Ogre United?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Super Nova won 1, Ogre United won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Super Nova vs Ogre United?
Super Nova score 1.09 goals per game on average and Ogre United 0.91. The Virsliga average is 2.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Super Nova's matches and 61% of Ogre United's.
What form are Super Nova and Ogre United in?
Over the last 5 games Super Nova have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Ogre United 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Super Nova vs Ogre United?
The statistical background for Super Nova vs Ogre United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.