Svay Rieng vs Phnom Penh Crown: match statistics
Svay Rieng vs Phnom Penh Crown: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Svay Rieng played Phnom Penh Crown in Cambodian League (Cambodia). The match was played on 17 May 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Svay Rieng: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Phnom Penh Crown: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Svay Rieng scores 2.83 and concedes 1.14 goals per match. Phnom Penh Crown scores 1.76 and concedes 1.21. League average: 3.16 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Svay Rieng 66%, Phnom Penh Crown 55%. Over 2.5: Svay Rieng 76%, Phnom Penh Crown 55%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
Svay Rieng has higher xG: 1.98 vs 1.67. Svay Rieng: 16.7 shots per match, Phnom Penh Crown: 14.4.
Match halves
Svay Rieng: half-time lead 52%, second-half goals 1.38. Phnom Penh Crown: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 1.07.
Goals by minute
Svay Rieng: 76-90+ (21 goals). Phnom Penh Crown: 76-90+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Cambodian League: 3.16 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back a Svay Rieng win (1): the hosts lead the league with 20 wins and 82 goals this season, averaging 2.57 goals, 66% possession and 5.57 shots on target per home match. Their home conversion rate is 16% and they have not failed to score in any home game (0% matches without a goal), while Phnom Penh Crown have a 12% conversion and failed to score in 36% of away matches. A warning is Svay Rieng’s very poor form over the last 5 matches: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, averaging 0.4 points per game and conceding 13 goals (2.6 per game). The visitors have 16 wins and 51 goals this season; in their last 5 matches they scored 6 goals and average 1.2 points per game, with average away xG of 1.6 versus the hosts’ 1.88 xG. Considering the hosts’ dominance in possession (66% vs 52%), superior conversion (16% vs 12%) and the fact Svay Rieng always scores at home, I assign them a 55% chance to win, 25% for a draw and 20% for an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I assign a 62% probability to BTTS - Yes and 38% to No Goal. Svay Rieng posts a season BTTS rate of 60% and 100% in the last 5 matches, while Phnom Penh Crown has a season BTTS of 50% but only 20% in their last five, giving a short-term edge to the home side. xG and shot metrics support both teams’ offensive potential: Svay Rieng generates 1.72 xG per match against a Phnom Penh defense that concedes 1.50 xG, while Phnom Penh produces 1.60 xG versus a Svay Rieng defense allowing 1.35; the hosts average 5.27 shots on target versus the visitors’ 4.86 and 15.13 total shots vs 13.64, so chances are present. In the last 5 fixtures Svay Rieng scored 10 and conceded 13 (avg 2.0 scored and 2.6 conceded), and Phnom Penh scored 6 and conceded 7 (avg 1.2 and 1.4), which highlights the hosts’ susceptibility to goals and the visitors’ ability to convert opportunities. Although Phnom Penh failed to score in 36% of season matches and kept a clean sheet in 29%, the season balance (Svay Rieng 82 scored/33 conceded vs Phnom Penh 51/35) and the league-level BTTS of 56% favor the 'Yes' outcome.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG model and seasonal averages project 1.61 expected goals for Svay Rieng and 1.48 for Phnom Penh Crown, totaling 3.09 goals per match. That sits close to the league average of 3.14. Additionally, Svay Rieng at home has Over 2.5 in 73% of matches, while Phnom Penh away registers Over 2.5 in 36% of games — therefore the estimated probability for Over 2.5 is about 60%. Svay averages 5.27 shots on target with a 13% conversion rate, the visitors 4.86 SOT with 12% conversion, which increases the likelihood of goals; seasonal BTTS is 60% (home) and 50% (away), implying roughly a 55% chance of both teams to score. A Poisson model with total expected goals of 3.09 yields approximately an 81% chance of Over 1.5 and about 37% for Over 3.5, so the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (above 80%). I therefore recommend the Over side on the 1.5 line as the primary pick, since it has the highest probability of occurring (81% vs 60% for 2.5 and 37% for 3.5) and is supported by shooting stats and BTTS.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Hosts led at the break in 6 of 15 matches (40%) and won 67% of their games this season, so the most likely scenario is Svay Rieng leading at half-time and winning the match. Svay Rieng average 1.93 goals per game versus Phnom Penh Crown’s 1.57, and the hosts’ xG is 1.72 compared to the visitors’ 1.60, indicating an advantage in chance creation. In the first half the hosts average 0.73 goals and concede 0.53, while in the second half they score an average of 1.2 goals and in 93% of matches they score at least one goal after the break (vs 71% for the visitors), so maintaining or extending a lead at the break is realistic. Despite Svay Rieng’s poorer form in the last 5 matches (ddlll, 0% wins) and the visitors’ better recent results (40% wins in their last 5), the hosts’ seasonal HT/PPG of 1.53 versus the visitors’ 1.29 and full-season PPG of 2.07 vs 1.57 support a home victory, hence 1/1 as the primary pick.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Svay Rieng | Phnom Penh Crown | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.44 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Svay Rieng is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Svay Rieng · 1.2 pts / match - Phnom Penh Crown
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Svay Rieng is 61% better for: goals scored per match.
2.83 goals / match - Svay Rieng · 1.76 goals / match - Phnom Penh Crown
Svay Rieng is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.14 goals / match - Svay Rieng · 1.21 goals / match - Phnom Penh Crown
Svay Rieng scores in 97% of matches (28 of 29 matches), while Phnom Penh Crown keeps a clean sheet in 34% (10 of 29 matches).
Phnom Penh Crown scores in 83% of matches (24 of 29 matches), while Svay Rieng keeps a clean sheet in 34% (10 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Svay Rieng
Over / Under - Phnom Penh Crown
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Svay Rieng is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.83 pts / match - Svay Rieng · 1.41 pts / match - Phnom Penh Crown
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Svay Rieng - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 52% of matches and wins 69%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Phnom Penh Crown - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (21 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +14 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Svay Rieng
Phnom Penh Crown
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Cambodian League).
Teams vs league
| Svay Rieng | Liga | Phnom Penh Crown | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.97 | 3.16 | ▼ 2.97 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 66% | 55% | • 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 76% | 59% | ▼ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 34% | 25% | ▲ 34% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 71% | ▼ 66% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 83% | • 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Svay Rieng 2 - 0 - 1 Phnom Penh Crown. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Svay Rieng vs Phnom Penh Crown?
The Cambodian League match finished Svay Rieng 1:2 Phnom Penh Crown. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Svay Rieng and Phnom Penh Crown?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Svay Rieng won 2, Phnom Penh Crown won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Svay Rieng vs Phnom Penh Crown?
Svay Rieng score 2.83 goals per game on average and Phnom Penh Crown 1.76. The Cambodian League average is 3.16 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 66% of Svay Rieng's matches and 55% of Phnom Penh Crown's.
What form are Svay Rieng and Phnom Penh Crown in?
Over the last 5 games Svay Rieng have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Phnom Penh Crown 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Svay Rieng vs Phnom Penh Crown?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.