Swansea City vs Birmingham City: match statistics
Swansea City demonstrates significantly better home form with 46% wins and a goal difference of 0 at their own stadium, providing a solid foundation for victory. Birmingham City suffers from catastrophic away form with only 15% wins, 69% losses, and a negative goal difference of -15, making them a very weak opponent on the road. The hosts average 1.23 goals per home match with superior xG statistics (1.39 vs 1.09 for the visitors), confirming their offensive advantage. Birmingham has failed to score in 46% of away matches, whereas Swansea has only done so in 8% of home games. Although recent form is similar (1.4 vs 1.6 PPG), the historical home and away statistics clearly favor the hosts, who should capitalize on their home advantage and the visitors' away weakness.
Swansea City vs Birmingham City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Swansea City played Birmingham City in Championship (England). The match was played on 17 January 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Swansea City: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Birmingham City: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Swansea City scores 1.04 and concedes 1.27 goals per match. Birmingham City scores 1.35 and concedes 1.38. League average: 2.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Swansea City 54%, Birmingham City 58%. Over 2.5: Swansea City 46%, Birmingham City 54%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Birmingham City has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.30. Swansea City: 11.6 shots per match, Birmingham City: 14.0.
Match halves
Swansea City: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.69. Birmingham City: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.73.
Goals by minute
Swansea City: 61-75 (7 goals). Birmingham City: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Swansea City demonstrates significantly better home form with 46% wins and a goal difference of 0 at their own stadium, providing a solid foundation for victory. Birmingham City suffers from catastrophic away form with only 15% wins, 69% losses, and a negative goal difference of -15, making them a very weak opponent on the road. The hosts average 1.23 goals per home match with superior xG statistics (1.39 vs 1.09 for the visitors), confirming their offensive advantage. Birmingham has failed to score in 46% of away matches, whereas Swansea has only done so in 8% of home games. Although recent form is similar (1.4 vs 1.6 PPG), the historical home and away statistics clearly favor the hosts, who should capitalize on their home advantage and the visitors' away weakness.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Swansea City | Birmingham City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Swansea City is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Swansea City · 1 pts / match - Birmingham City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Birmingham City is 30% better for: goals scored per match.
1.04 goals / match - Swansea City · 1.35 goals / match - Birmingham City
Swansea City is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.27 goals / match - Swansea City · 1.38 goals / match - Birmingham City
Swansea City scores in 77% of matches (20 of 26 matches), while Birmingham City keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 26 matches).
Birmingham City scores in 77% of matches (20 of 26 matches), while Swansea City keeps a clean sheet in 27% (7 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Swansea City
Over / Under - Birmingham City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Birmingham City is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.81 pts / match - Swansea City · 1.12 pts / match - Birmingham City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Swansea City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Birmingham City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Swansea City
Birmingham City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Swansea City | Liga | Birmingham City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.31 | 2.59 | ▲ 2.73 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 54% | 58% | • 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 46% | 52% | ▲ 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 27% | 24% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 69% | 72% | ▲ 85% |
| Goal after half-time | • 77% | 78% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Swansea City 0 - 0 - 1 Birmingham City. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Swansea City vs Birmingham City?
The Championship match finished Swansea City 1:1 Birmingham City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Swansea City vs Birmingham City?
Swansea City score 1.04 goals per game on average and Birmingham City 1.35. The Championship average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Swansea City's matches and 58% of Birmingham City's.
What form are Swansea City and Birmingham City in?
Over the last 5 games Swansea City have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Birmingham City 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Swansea City vs Birmingham City?
The statistical background for Swansea City vs Birmingham City — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.