England - ChampionshipSwansea.com StadiumData current as of 30 August 2026

Swansea City vs Watford: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Swansea City vs Watford: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Swansea City play Watford in Championship (England). The match date is 1 September 2026. Venue: Swansea.com Stadium.

Current form

Swansea City: 2-1-0, 2.33 points/match. Watford: 1-2-0, 1.67 points/match.

Goal statistics

Swansea City scores 1.67 and concedes 0.33 goals per match. Watford scores 1.33 and concedes 1.00. League average: 3.03 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Swansea City 33%, Watford 100%. Over 2.5: Swansea City 67%, Watford 33%. League level: BTTS 78%, Over 2.5 75%.

xG, shots and style

Swansea City has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.46. Swansea City: 13.0 shots per match, Watford: 14.0.

Match halves

Swansea City: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67. Watford: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.00.

Goals by minute

Swansea City: 0-15 (1 goals). Watford: 0-15 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Championship: 3.03 goals per match, BTTS 78%, Over 2.5 75%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.90)
(3.55)
(3.70)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Swansea CityWatford
1.67Goals scored / match1.33
Swansea CityWatford
0.33Goals conceded / match1
Swansea CityWatford
60%Average possession38%
Swansea CityWatford
5.33Shots on target / match4.67
Swansea CityWatford

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13Shots per match14
Swansea CityWatford
5.33Shots on target4.67
Swansea CityWatford
12.8%Shot conversion9.5%
Swansea CityWatford
60%Possession38%
Swansea CityWatford
1.51xG for1.46
Swansea CityWatford
0.96xG against1.46
Swansea CityWatford

Shooting quality

Swansea City: BalancedWatford: Attacking
Swansea CityWatford
Accuracy (shots on target)41%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Swansea City is 40% better for: last-5 form.

2.33 pts / match - Swansea City · 1.67 pts / match - Watford

Swansea City
WDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
67% W33% R0% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-0
2.33 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-0
2.33 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-0
Last 5 at home
0-1-0
D
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.7Goals conceded: 0.3xG: 1.51Opponent xG: 0.96BTTS: 33%Over 2.5: 67%
Watford
WDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
33% W67% R0% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-2-0
1.67 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-0
1.67 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-0
Last 5 away
0-1-0
D
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.3Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.46Opponent xG: 1.46BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 33%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Swansea City is 26% better for: goals scored per match.

1.67 goals / match - Swansea City · 1.33 goals / match - Watford

Swansea City is 203% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.33 goals / match - Swansea City · 1 goals / match - Watford

Swansea City scoring profile: very strong

Swansea City scores in 67% of matches (2 of 3 matches), while Watford keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 matches).

Watford scoring profile: strong

Watford scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Swansea City keeps a clean sheet in 67% (2 of 3 matches).

5Goals scored (season)4
Swansea CityWatford
1Goals conceded (season)3
Swansea CityWatford
2Average goals in match2.33
Swansea CityWatford
5Goals scored (last 5)4
Swansea CityWatford
1Goals conceded (last 5)3
Swansea CityWatford

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal100%
Swansea CityWatford
67%2 goals33%
Swansea CityWatford
33%3 goals0%
Swansea CityWatford
0%4 goals0%
Swansea CityWatford

How often they concede at least...

33%1 goal100%
Swansea CityWatford
0%2 goals0%
Swansea CityWatford
0%3 goals0%
Swansea CityWatford
0%4 goals0%
Swansea CityWatford

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

78%
League average

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time67%
Swansea CityWatford
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Swansea CityWatford
67%Scored in both halves0%
Swansea CityWatford

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
Swansea CityWatford
33%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Swansea CityWatford
33%BTTS - last 5100%
Swansea CityWatford

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
Swansea CityWatford
67%Min. 2 goals before half-time100%
Swansea CityWatford
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Swansea CityWatford

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time33%
Swansea CityWatford
0%Min. 2 goals after half-time0%
Swansea CityWatford
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Swansea CityWatford

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Swansea City - half-time state
33% leading67% draw0% trailing
Watford - half-time state
33% leading67% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.67Points per match (1st half)1.67
Swansea CityWatford
1Goals scored (1st half)1.33
Swansea CityWatford
0.33Goals conceded (1st half)0.67
Swansea CityWatford
1.33Average goals (1st half)2
Swansea CityWatford
67%Clean sheet before half-time33%
Swansea CityWatford
33%No goal before half-time0%
Swansea CityWatford

After half-time (2nd half)

2.33Points per match (2nd half)0.67
Swansea CityWatford
0.67Goals scored (2nd half)0
Swansea CityWatford
0Goals conceded (2nd half)0.33
Swansea CityWatford
0.67Average goals (2nd half)0.33
Swansea CityWatford
100%Clean sheet after half-time67%
Swansea CityWatford
33%No goal after half-time100%
Swansea CityWatford

Swansea City - second-half results

67% W33% R0% P
5
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding203%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Watford - second-half results

0% W67% R33% P
5
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
2
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Swansea City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.672.33
Goals scored / match1.00.7
Goals conceded / match0.30.0
Average goals in match1.30.7
1 goal67%67%
2 goals67%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet67%100%
No goal33%33%
Goal difference+2+2
Half-time: 33% leading - 67% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 67% won - 33% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 33% - Half-time goals total: 3
Watford - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.670.67
Goals scored / match1.30.0
Goals conceded / match0.70.3
Average goals in match2.00.3
1 goal100%33%
2 goals100%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet33%67%
No goal0%100%
Goal difference+2-1
Half-time: 33% leading - 67% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 67% draw - 33% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 67% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Swansea City
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
1
0
16-30
1
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
1
0
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Watford
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
2
2
16-30
0
0
31-45
0
1
46-60
0
0
61-75
0
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.17
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
71%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
67%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-8%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
67%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Swansea City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.55
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.79
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.63
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
102%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
24%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Watford

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
0.00
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.33
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.46
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
96%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
61%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-1.3
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 50% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

Swansea CityLigaWatford
Average goals in match 2.003.03 2.33
Both teams scored 33%78% 100%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 67%75% 33%
Clean sheets 67%15% 0%
Goal before half-time 67%78% 100%
Goal after half-time 67%81% 33%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.03
Average goals per match
78%
Both teams scored
75%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
15%
Clean sheets
1.64
Home goals / match
1.39
Away goals / match
+18%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defence advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
8%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Swansea City 1 - 1 - 0 Watford. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Watford FC
0 : 2
Swansea City AFC
Swansea City AFC
1 : 1
Watford FC

FAQ

When do Swansea City and Watford play?

Swansea City face Watford on 1 September 2026 in Championship at Swansea.com Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Swansea City and Watford?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Swansea City won 1, Watford won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Swansea City vs Watford?

Swansea City score 1.67 goals per game on average and Watford 1.33. The Championship average is 3.03 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 75% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Swansea City's matches and 100% of Watford's.

What form are Swansea City and Watford in?

Over the last 5 games Swansea City have a 2-1-0 record (2.33 points per game) and Watford 1-2-0 (1.67 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Swansea City vs Watford?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Swansea City vs Watford: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.