Swindon Town vs Crewe Alexandra: match statistics
Swindon Town vs Crewe Alexandra: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Swindon Town played Crewe Alexandra in EFL League Two (England). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Venue: The Nigel Eady County Ground Stadium. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Swindon Town: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Crewe Alexandra: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Swindon Town scores 1.00 and concedes 1.44 goals per match. Crewe Alexandra scores 1.22 and concedes 0.78. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Swindon Town 44%, Crewe Alexandra 67%. Over 2.5: Swindon Town 56%, Crewe Alexandra 22%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Crewe Alexandra has higher xG: 1.29 vs 1.07. Swindon Town: 9.1 shots per match, Crewe Alexandra: 12.0.
Match halves
Swindon Town: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.67. Crewe Alexandra: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Swindon Town: 76-90+ (3 goals). Crewe Alexandra: 16-30 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Swindon Town have lost 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring just 2 goals in that run, while Crewe Alexandra remain unbeaten this season, with a record of 3 wins and 6 draws. However, the hosts have home advantage: they have won 3 of their 4 home matches and average 2.25 goals per game on their own ground. The visitors concede just 0.5 goals per game away from home, but average only 0.75 goals scored, and 3 of their 4 away matches have ended in a draw. The quality of chances created also points to no clear favourite: Swindon’s home xG is 1.34, while Crewe’s away xG is 1.22. The hosts’ recent poor form offsets their home advantage, making a draw the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS has landed in 80% of Swindon’s home matches, while both teams scored in each of Crewe’s last five games, supporting a BTTS - Yes pick. The visitors have averaged 2.0 goals recently, while the hosts have conceded 1.4 per match, making a Crewe goal look likely. Swindon finding the net is less certain: the team has averaged just 0.4 goals per game across its last five appearances, although its home average is 1.6, and Crewe have recently allowed opponents chances worth 1.59 xG. Since Crewe kept a clean sheet in 50% of its away matches, the case for both teams to score is moderate rather than strong.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals: this line has not been breached in Crewe’s away matches, while it has been breached in 40% of Swindon’s home games. Crewe concede an average of just 0.5 goals away from home and keep a clean sheet in 50% of those matches, limiting the hosts’ potential despite their average of 1.6 goals scored at home. Swindon, meanwhile, have scored just 2 goals in total across their last five matches, although Crewe have netted 10 over the same period, so a completely cagey game should not be assumed either. The projected total of 2.18 goals remains below the league average of 2.53, giving the Under 3.5 line a clearer edge than the more demanding 2.5-goal line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely outcome is a draw at half-time and a Crewe win at full-time. In their last five matches, Swindon were level at the break four times and Crewe twice; away from home, the visitors went into half-time level in 75% of their matches. Current form points to a turnaround: Swindon have lost four of their last five games and averaged 0.4 goals in them, while Crewe have not lost any and scored an average of 2.0 goals. The second half is particularly significant: in their last five matches, the hosts have failed to score after the break and conceded an average of 0.8 goals, while the visitors averaged 0.8 goals in that period. The risk to this HT/FT pick is Crewe’s tendency to draw away, with draws accounting for 75% of their matches on the road so far.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Swindon Town | Crewe Alexandra | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Crewe Alexandra is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Swindon Town · 1.4 pts / match - Crewe Alexandra
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Crewe Alexandra is 22% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Swindon Town · 1.22 goals / match - Crewe Alexandra
Crewe Alexandra is 85% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.44 goals / match - Swindon Town · 0.78 goals / match - Crewe Alexandra
Swindon Town scores in 44% of matches (4 of 9 matches), while Crewe Alexandra keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 matches).
Crewe Alexandra scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while Swindon Town keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Swindon Town
Over / Under - Crewe Alexandra
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Crewe Alexandra is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.89 pts / match - Swindon Town · 1 pts / match - Crewe Alexandra
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Swindon Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Crewe Alexandra - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Swindon Town
Crewe Alexandra
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Swindon Town | Liga | Crewe Alexandra | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.44 | 2.53 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 53% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 45% | ▼ 22% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 28% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | • 67% | 68% | • 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 75% | ▼ 56% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Swindon Town 1 - 0 - 1 Crewe Alexandra. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Swindon Town vs Crewe Alexandra?
The EFL League Two match finished Swindon Town 0:1 Crewe Alexandra. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Swindon Town and Crewe Alexandra?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Swindon Town won 1, Crewe Alexandra won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Swindon Town vs Crewe Alexandra?
Swindon Town score 1.00 goals per game on average and Crewe Alexandra 1.22. The EFL League Two average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Swindon Town's matches and 67% of Crewe Alexandra's.
What form are Swindon Town and Crewe Alexandra in?
Over the last 5 games Swindon Town have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Crewe Alexandra 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Swindon Town vs Crewe Alexandra?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Swindon Town vs Crewe Alexandra: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.