Tallinna FC Flora vs Paide: match statistics
Tallinna FC Flora vs Paide: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tallinna FC Flora played Paide in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match was played on 30 August 2026. Venue: A. Le Coq Arena. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Tallinna FC Flora: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Paide: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tallinna FC Flora scores 1.96 and concedes 1.22 goals per match. Paide scores 1.65 and concedes 1.30. League average: 3.11 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tallinna FC Flora 48%, Paide 70%. Over 2.5: Tallinna FC Flora 78%, Paide 52%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Tallinna FC Flora has higher xG: 2.07 vs 1.72. Tallinna FC Flora: 16.9 shots per match, Paide: 14.5.
Match halves
Tallinna FC Flora: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 1.09. Paide: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.91.
Goals by minute
Tallinna FC Flora: 61-75 (10 goals). Paide: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Meistriliiga: 3.11 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 6 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-3. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 83%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Tallinna FC Flora have a clear attacking advantage at home: they average 2.18 goals with an xG of 2.09, while Paide average 1.75 goals and 1.74 xG away from home. The hosts also create more chances, recording an average of 17.09 shots and 5.64 on target per match, compared with 14.58 and 4.83 for the visitors. Paide’s away defence concedes as many as 1.67 goals per game and keeps a clean sheet in only 8% of away matches, which favours Flora. Neither side is in perfect form, with Flora winning 2 of their last 5 matches and Paide scoring 7 goals during that period. However, the hosts have home advantage and a higher season win rate at home, standing at 55% compared with the visitors’ 33% away win rate. Paide do draw 42% of their away matches, so alongside a Flora victory, a closely contested game remains a realistic scenario.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Paide has a very strong seasonal BTTS profile at 83%, clearly above Flora’s 55% and the league average of 57%. Both teams regularly create chances: average xG stands at 1.70 for Flora and 1.74 for Paide, while the visitors also average 4.83 shots on target per match compared with 4.09 for the hosts. Paide’s defence looks particularly vulnerable to conceding, keeping a clean sheet in only 8% of matches and conceding an average of 1.67 goals. The recent defensive form of both teams further supports a goal-heavy scenario, as Flora conceded 2.0 goals per match in their last five games, while Paide conceded 1.6. Flora scored only 1.0 goal per match during this period, which limits confidence in the pick, but their xG of 1.84 and the opponent’s weak defence support the expectation that the hosts will score. Therefore, BTTS - Yes is the stronger angle, while BTTS - No would mean that at least one team fails to score; it does not automatically imply a 0:0 draw or that neither team will score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The match profile points to at least two goals: Paide exceeded the 1.5-goal line in 83% of matches, while Flora did so in 55%. Both teams create plenty of chances, with an average xG of 1.70 for Flora and 1.74 for Paide, alongside high xG conceded figures by their opponents: 1.63 and 1.48, respectively. In their last five matches, Flora conceded 10 goals and Paide 8, which strengthens the goals forecast despite the hosts’ weaker current finishing. Paide conceded at least one goal in 92% of matches, while Flora scored in 91% of their appearances. Over 1.5 is the safest choice, as the expected total of 3.05 goals is clearly above this line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest-looking HT/FT variant is a draw at half-time followed by a Flora win: the hosts were level at the break in 45% of their matches, while Paide recorded this outcome in as many as 58%. However, Flora have been clearly more solid over the season as a whole, winning 64% of their matches and averaging 2.00 points per game, compared with Paide’s 33% win rate and 1.42 points per game. After half-time, the hosts score an average of 0.82 goals and concede just 0.45, while Paide concede an average of 0.83 goals in this period away from home. In addition, Paide have kept a clean sheet in only 8% of their matches, while Flora generate stronger chances, with an xG of 1.70 compared with the opponents’ 1.63 xG conceded, supporting the expectation of a decisive second-half goal for the hosts.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tallinna FC Flora | Paide | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Paide is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Tallinna FC Flora · 2 pts / match - Paide
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tallinna FC Flora is 19% better for: goals scored per match.
1.96 goals / match - Tallinna FC Flora · 1.65 goals / match - Paide
Tallinna FC Flora is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.22 goals / match - Tallinna FC Flora · 1.3 goals / match - Paide
Tallinna FC Flora scores in 87% of matches (20 of 23 matches), while Paide keeps a clean sheet in 22% (5 of 23 matches).
Paide scores in 91% of matches (21 of 23 matches), while Tallinna FC Flora keeps a clean sheet in 39% (9 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tallinna FC Flora
Over / Under - Paide
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tallinna FC Flora - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 61%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Paide - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +7 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tallinna FC Flora
Paide
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Tallinna FC Flora | Liga | Paide | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.17 | 3.11 | ▼ 2.96 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 59% | ▲ 70% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 78% | 66% | ▼ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 22% | • 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 76% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 96% | 89% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (6): Tallinna FC Flora 2 - 1 - 3 Paide. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 83% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tallinna FC Flora vs Paide?
The Meistriliiga match finished Tallinna FC Flora 1:2 Paide. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tallinna FC Flora and Paide?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Tallinna FC Flora won 2, Paide won 3 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 83% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tallinna FC Flora vs Paide?
Tallinna FC Flora score 1.96 goals per game on average and Paide 1.65. The Meistriliiga average is 3.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Tallinna FC Flora's matches and 70% of Paide's.
What form are Tallinna FC Flora and Paide in?
Over the last 5 games Tallinna FC Flora have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Paide 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tallinna FC Flora vs Paide?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Tallinna FC Flora vs Paide: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.