Tallinna FC Levadia vs Harju Jalgpallikool: match statistics
Tallinna FC Levadia vs Harju Jalgpallikool: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tallinna FC Levadia played Harju Jalgpallikool in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match was played on 9 May 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Tallinna FC Levadia: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Harju Jalgpallikool: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tallinna FC Levadia scores 2.60 and concedes 0.80 goals per match. Harju Jalgpallikool scores 1.40 and concedes 1.70. League average: 3.25 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tallinna FC Levadia 70%, Harju Jalgpallikool 50%. Over 2.5: Tallinna FC Levadia 70%, Harju Jalgpallikool 60%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 67%.
xG, shots and style
Tallinna FC Levadia has higher xG: 2.27 vs 1.44. Tallinna FC Levadia: 19.0 shots per match, Harju Jalgpallikool: 11.7.
Match halves
Tallinna FC Levadia: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.50. Harju Jalgpallikool: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
Tallinna FC Levadia: 61-75 (8 goals). Harju Jalgpallikool: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Meistriliiga: 3.25 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 67%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 4-1-0. Average goals 3.40, BTTS 40%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The favorite in this match is Tallinna FC Levadia: the hosts average 3.0 goals in home matches and have scored 16 goals in their last 5 appearances (3.2 per game), while Harju scored 7 goals in their last 5 (1.4 per game). Levadia concedes only 0.67 goals per home match on average and have 50% clean sheets, whereas Harju concedes 2.0 goals per away match on average and have conceded 11 goals in their last 5 games. Quality of chances favors the hosts: Levadia averages 6.17 shots on target at home with a 19% conversion rate and an average xG of 1.97, while Harju has 3.8 shots on target away with an 11% conversion and an average xG of 1.63; xG against Harju is 1.83. Form corroborates the home advantage — Levadia have 4 wins and 1 draw in their last five matches (an average of 2.6 points per game), and Harju have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses (1.4 points per game). Based on this, I predict a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes at 65% vs 35% because the league shows a high BTTS rate (56%) and both teams have 60% BTTS in their last 5 matches. Harju records 60% of matches with both teams scoring this season and concedes on average 2.0 goals per game (17 goals conceded this season), increasing the likelihood of a home goal. Levadia averages 3.2 goals in the last 5 matches with xG 2.23, although their season home average is 1.2 scored and 40% clean sheets, so the home offense is currently significantly stronger. Harju scores 1.6 goals per season on average with 14.4 shots and an 11% conversion rate, so they have realistic potential to score against Levadia. Additionally, the league averages 3.3 goals per match and away teams register only 20% clean sheets, which together favor a Goal/Goal outcome.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I estimate expected goals at 1.54 for Tallinna FC Levadia (xG_for 1.25 vs xG_against of opponent 1.83 → (1.25+1.83)/2=1.54) and 1.91 for Harju Jalgpallikool (xG_for 1.63 vs xG_against of hosts 2.19 → (1.63+2.19)/2=1.91), totaling 3.45 goals. Both teams have a high percentage of matches over 1.5: Levadia 80% and Harju 100%, which provides very strong support for Over 1.5 (hence the choice of the 1.5 line). In the last 5 matches Levadia averaged 3.2 goals scored and Harju conceded 2.2 goals on average, and the last five fixtures of both teams feature Over 2.5 in 80% of cases, which increases the probability for Over 2.5 (to ~68%). Seasonal Over 2.5 shares are 40% for hosts and 80% for guests, and the league average goals is 3.3, so while Over 3.5 is possible (seasonally 40%/40%), the strongest and most reliable signal remains Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Analysis of the last 5 matches shows the home side led at the break in 60% of cases (3 of 5) and average 1.4 goals by half-time versus 0.6 for the visitors, who in turn concede an average of 1.4 goals before the break. Over the full 90 minutes Levadia won 80% of the last 5 matches (4 of 5) and averages 3.2 goals per game, whereas Harju has a 40% win rate and 1.4 goals per game, which reinforces the chance of the home side maintaining a lead. Seasonally the visitors have higher xG (1.63 vs 1.25) and more shots (14.4 vs 9.0), so they can create chances and attempt a turnaround, but these advantages do not translate into recent form. The hosts have conceded only 0.2 goals on average before the break in their last 5 matches, therefore the most probable scenario is the home side leading at half-time and winning the match (1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tallinna FC Levadia | Harju Jalgpallikool | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tallinna FC Levadia is 86% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Tallinna FC Levadia · 1.4 pts / match - Harju Jalgpallikool
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tallinna FC Levadia is 86% better for: goals scored per match.
2.6 goals / match - Tallinna FC Levadia · 1.4 goals / match - Harju Jalgpallikool
Tallinna FC Levadia is 113% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.8 goals / match - Tallinna FC Levadia · 1.7 goals / match - Harju Jalgpallikool
Tallinna FC Levadia scores in 100% of matches (10 of 10 matches), while Harju Jalgpallikool keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 matches).
Harju Jalgpallikool scores in 80% of matches (8 of 10 matches), while Tallinna FC Levadia keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tallinna FC Levadia
Over / Under - Harju Jalgpallikool
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tallinna FC Levadia is 73% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.9 pts / match - Tallinna FC Levadia · 1.1 pts / match - Harju Jalgpallikool
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tallinna FC Levadia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 70%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Harju Jalgpallikool - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +6 | +7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tallinna FC Levadia
Harju Jalgpallikool
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Tallinna FC Levadia | Liga | Harju Jalgpallikool | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.40 | 3.25 | ▼ 3.10 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 70% | 55% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 70% | 67% | ▼ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 24% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 73% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 92% | ▼ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Tallinna FC Levadia 4 - 1 - 0 Harju Jalgpallikool. Average goals 3.40, both teams scored in 40% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tallinna FC Levadia vs Harju Jalgpallikool?
The Meistriliiga match finished Tallinna FC Levadia 3:0 Harju Jalgpallikool. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tallinna FC Levadia and Harju Jalgpallikool?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Tallinna FC Levadia won 4, Harju Jalgpallikool won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.40 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tallinna FC Levadia vs Harju Jalgpallikool?
Tallinna FC Levadia score 2.60 goals per game on average and Harju Jalgpallikool 1.40. The Meistriliiga average is 3.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 67% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Tallinna FC Levadia's matches and 50% of Harju Jalgpallikool's.
What form are Tallinna FC Levadia and Harju Jalgpallikool in?
Over the last 5 games Tallinna FC Levadia have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Harju Jalgpallikool 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tallinna FC Levadia vs Harju Jalgpallikool?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Tallinna FC Levadia vs Harju Jalgpallikool: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.