Estonia - MeistriliigaA. Le Coq ArenaData current as of 07 September 2026

Tallinna FC Levadia vs Kuressaare: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Tallinna FC Levadia vs Kuressaare: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Tallinna FC Levadia play Kuressaare in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match date is 9 September 2026. Venue: A. Le Coq Arena.

Current form

Tallinna FC Levadia: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Kuressaare: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Tallinna FC Levadia scores 2.64 and concedes 0.80 goals per match. Kuressaare scores 1.15 and concedes 1.62. League average: 3.10 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Tallinna FC Levadia 68%, Kuressaare 54%. Over 2.5: Tallinna FC Levadia 72%, Kuressaare 58%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 65%.

xG, shots and style

Tallinna FC Levadia has higher xG: 2.43 vs 1.51. Tallinna FC Levadia: 20.8 shots per match, Kuressaare: 12.3.

Match halves

Tallinna FC Levadia: half-time lead 52%, second-half goals 1.44. Kuressaare: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.62.

Goals by minute

Tallinna FC Levadia: 76-90+ (14 goals). Kuressaare: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Meistriliiga: 3.10 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 65%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 6 previous H2H matches were available: 6-0-0. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
2.64Goals scored / match1.15
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
0.8Goals conceded / match1.62
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
59%Average possession41%
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
7.24Shots on target / match4.35
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

20.76Shots per match12.31
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
7.24Shots on target4.35
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
12.7%Shot conversion9.4%
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
59%Possession41%
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
2.43xG for1.51
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
1.05xG against1.99
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare

Shooting quality

Tallinna FC Levadia: DominantKuressaare: Balanced
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
Accuracy (shots on target)35%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Tallinna FC Levadia is 50% better for: last-5 form.

3 pts / match - Tallinna FC Levadia · 2 pts / match - Kuressaare

Tallinna FC Levadia
WWWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
76% W20% R4% P
Season (W-D-L)
19-5-1
2.48 pts / match · goal difference +46
Last 5 (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-3-1
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WDLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 3.2Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 2.61Opponent xG: 1.11BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%
Kuressaare
WWLDW
Season result split
31% W15% R54% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-4-14
1.08 pts / match · goal difference -12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-1-9
Last 5 away
1-0-4
LLLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.91Opponent xG: 1.83BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Tallinna FC Levadia is 130% better for: goals scored per match.

2.64 goals / match - Tallinna FC Levadia · 1.15 goals / match - Kuressaare

Tallinna FC Levadia is 102% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.8 goals / match - Tallinna FC Levadia · 1.62 goals / match - Kuressaare

Tallinna FC Levadia scoring profile: very strong

Tallinna FC Levadia scores in 100% of matches (25 of 25 matches), while Kuressaare keeps a clean sheet in 8% (2 of 26 matches).

Kuressaare scoring profile: mixed

Kuressaare scores in 54% of matches (14 of 26 matches), while Tallinna FC Levadia keeps a clean sheet in 32% (8 of 25 matches).

66Goals scored (season)30
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
20Goals conceded (season)42
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
3.44Average goals in match2.77
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
16Goals scored (last 5)11
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
3Goals conceded (last 5)8
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal54%
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
76%2 goals38%
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
44%3 goals23%
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
20%4 goals0%
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare

How often they concede at least...

68%1 goal92%
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
12%2 goals54%
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
0%3 goals12%
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
0%4 goals4%
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

68%
Tallinna FC Levadia - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.17 of 25 matches
59%
League average

Goal patterns

24%BTTS at half-time15%
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
4%BTTS in both halves4%
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
60%Scored in both halves27%
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare

BTTS and goal count

52%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
20%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
40%BTTS - last 580%
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

80%Min. 1 goal before half-time73%
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
48%Min. 2 goals before half-time27%
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
16%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare

2nd half

96%Min. 1 goal after half-time85%
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
76%Min. 2 goals after half-time46%
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
12%Min. 3 goals after half-time15%
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Tallinna FC Levadia is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.92 pts / match - Tallinna FC Levadia · 1.15 pts / match - Kuressaare

Tallinna FC Levadia - half-time state
52% leading36% draw12% trailing
Kuressaare - half-time state
27% leading35% draw38% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.92Points per match (1st half)1.15
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
1.2Goals scored (1st half)0.54
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
0.4Goals conceded (1st half)0.58
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
1.6Average goals (1st half)1.12
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
64%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
32%No goal before half-time62%
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare

After half-time (2nd half)

2.16Points per match (2nd half)0.85
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
1.44Goals scored (2nd half)0.62
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
0.4Goals conceded (2nd half)1.04
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
1.84Average goals (2nd half)1.65
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
64%Clean sheet after half-time27%
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
8%No goal after half-time58%
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare

Tallinna FC Levadia - second-half results

60% W36% R4% P
48
Half-time points
30
Half-time goals
+20
Goal difference (1st half)
54
Second-half points
+26
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.92
PPG before half-time
Lead holding146%

Leads at half-time in 52% of matches and wins 76%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Kuressaare - second-half results

15% W38% R46% P
30
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
22
Second-half points
-11
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.15
PPG before half-time
Lead holding115%

Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Tallinna FC Levadia - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.603.00
Goals scored / match1.02.2
Goals conceded / match0.60.0
Average goals in match1.62.2
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%80%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%100%
No goal40%0%
Goal difference+2+11
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 100% won - 0% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5
Kuressaare - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.000.80
Goals scored / match1.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.61.0
Average goals in match2.01.8
1 goal100%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+4-1
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 7

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Tallinna FC Levadia
ScoredConceded
8
3
0-15
13
3
16-30
9
4
31-45
9
2
46-60
13
3
61-75
14
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.

Kuressaare
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
4
8
16-30
7
5
31-45
2
8
46-60
5
9
61-75
9
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.10
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.1 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
100%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
61%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-14%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
54%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Tallinna FC Levadia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.38
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.46
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.25
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
150%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
60%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.52
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

Kuressaare

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.48
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.36
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.37
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
86%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
92%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.92
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).

Teams vs league

Tallinna FC LevadiaLigaKuressaare
Average goals in match 3.443.10 2.77
Both teams scored 68%59% 54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 72%65% 58%
Clean sheets 32%22% 8%
Goal before half-time 80%75% 73%
Goal after half-time 96%88% 85%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.10
Average goals per match
59%
Both teams scored
65%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.76
Home goals / match
1.34
Away goals / match
+31%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
8%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (6): Tallinna FC Levadia 6 - 0 - 0 Kuressaare. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Kuressaare
1 : 2
Tallinna FC Levadia
Tallinna FC Levadia
2 : 0
Kuressaare
FC Kuressaare
0 : 3
Tallinna FC Levadia
Tallinna FC Levadia
2 : 0
FC Kuressaare
FC Kuressaare
1 : 2
Tallinna FC Levadia
Tallinna FC Levadia
2 : 1
FC Kuressaare

FAQ

When do Tallinna FC Levadia and Kuressaare play?

Tallinna FC Levadia face Kuressaare on 9 September 2026 in Meistriliiga at A. Le Coq Arena. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Tallinna FC Levadia and Kuressaare?

In the last 6 head-to-head matches Tallinna FC Levadia won 6, Kuressaare won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Tallinna FC Levadia vs Kuressaare?

Tallinna FC Levadia score 2.64 goals per game on average and Kuressaare 1.15. The Meistriliiga average is 3.10 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Tallinna FC Levadia's matches and 54% of Kuressaare's.

What form are Tallinna FC Levadia and Kuressaare in?

Over the last 5 games Tallinna FC Levadia have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Kuressaare 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tallinna FC Levadia vs Kuressaare?

The statistical background for Tallinna FC Levadia vs Kuressaare — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.