Tallinna FC Levadia vs Kuressaare: match statistics
Tallinna FC Levadia vs Kuressaare: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tallinna FC Levadia played Kuressaare in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match was played on 9 September 2026. Venue: A. Le Coq Arena. Final score: 4:0.
Current form
Tallinna FC Levadia: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Kuressaare: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tallinna FC Levadia scores 2.64 and concedes 0.80 goals per match. Kuressaare scores 1.15 and concedes 1.62. League average: 3.11 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tallinna FC Levadia 68%, Kuressaare 54%. Over 2.5: Tallinna FC Levadia 72%, Kuressaare 58%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
Tallinna FC Levadia has higher xG: 2.43 vs 1.52. Tallinna FC Levadia: 20.8 shots per match, Kuressaare: 12.3.
Match halves
Tallinna FC Levadia: half-time lead 52%, second-half goals 1.44. Kuressaare: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.62.
Goals by minute
Tallinna FC Levadia: 76-90+ (14 goals). Kuressaare: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Meistriliiga: 3.11 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 6 previous H2H matches were available: 6-0-0. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Tallinna FC Levadia are top of the league and have won all of their last 5 matches, scoring 18 goals and conceding just 4 in that run. At home, the hosts average 2.91 goals per game, create chances worth 2.24 xG and maintain 60% possession, while Kuressaare score only 1.00 goal away from home. The visitors’ defence is clearly vulnerable under pressure: they concede 1.77 goals per away match, allow opponents 2.11 xG and have kept no clean sheets. Kuressaare have improved their recent form, winning 3 of their last 5 matches, but they have lost 69% of their away fixtures and failed to score in as many as 46% of them. The quality gap between Levadia’s highly effective attack and Kuressaare’s weak away defence strongly points to a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The BTTS - Yes pick is primarily supported by current form, as both teams have recorded this scenario in 60% of their last 5 matches. During this period, Levadia averaged 3.6 goals with an xG of 2.84, while Kuressaare averaged 3.2 goals and an xG of 2.28, indicating a high quality of chances created by both sides. Kuressaare’s defense has kept no clean sheets this season and concedes an average of 1.77 goals, while its average xG conceded is as high as 2.11. The risk to this pick comes from the fact that Levadia and Kuressaare failed to score in 50% and 46% of their matches this season, respectively. However, the visitors’ weaker defense and a clear improvement in attacking output in recent appearances shift the assessment toward a Goal/Goal scenario.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest selection is Over 1.5 goals, as matches involving both teams surpassed this line in 67% and 69% of their games this season, respectively. Current form clearly reinforces the goals signal: Levadia scored 18 goals in their last 5 matches, averaging 3.6 per game, while Kuressaare scored 16, averaging 3.2. Their chance-creation potential is also high, with average xG over the last five matches standing at 2.84 for the home side and 2.28 for the visitors. Kuressaare have failed to keep a clean sheet in every match this season, while both teams conceded over 0.5 goals in 100% and 83% of their matches, further reducing the likelihood of a very tight match. The Over 2.5 line also has an edge, supported by 100% of Levadia’s and 80% of Kuressaare’s last five matches featuring at least three goals, but Over 1.5 remains the clearly safer selection.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely HT/FT outcome is a draw at half-time followed by a Levadia win (X/1), as the hosts were level after 45 minutes in 42% of their matches, compared with 31% for Kuressaare. Levadia are clearly stronger in their current run, having won all five of their last matches, scoring an average of 3.6 goals and conceding just 0.8. Kuressaare are also in good form, but they have lost 69% of their matches this season and have kept no clean sheets, conceding an average of 1.77 goals per game. After the break, the hosts have scored an average of 2.4 goals in their last five appearances without conceding any, which supports the expectation that they will turn around a closely contested first half in their favour. Caution in the first half is also suggested by the seasonal averages of 0.58 goals scored by Levadia and 0.38 by Kuressaare before the break.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tallinna FC Levadia | Kuressaare | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tallinna FC Levadia is 50% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / match - Tallinna FC Levadia · 2 pts / match - Kuressaare
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tallinna FC Levadia is 130% better for: goals scored per match.
2.64 goals / match - Tallinna FC Levadia · 1.15 goals / match - Kuressaare
Tallinna FC Levadia is 102% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.8 goals / match - Tallinna FC Levadia · 1.62 goals / match - Kuressaare
Tallinna FC Levadia scores in 100% of matches (25 of 25 matches), while Kuressaare keeps a clean sheet in 8% (2 of 26 matches).
Kuressaare scores in 54% of matches (14 of 26 matches), while Tallinna FC Levadia keeps a clean sheet in 32% (8 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tallinna FC Levadia
Over / Under - Kuressaare
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tallinna FC Levadia is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.92 pts / match - Tallinna FC Levadia · 1.15 pts / match - Kuressaare
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tallinna FC Levadia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 52% of matches and wins 76%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Kuressaare - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +11 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tallinna FC Levadia
Kuressaare
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Tallinna FC Levadia | Liga | Kuressaare | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.44 | 3.11 | ▼ 2.77 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 59% | ▼ 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 72% | 65% | ▼ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 22% | ▼ 8% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 75% | ▼ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 96% | 88% | ▼ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (6): Tallinna FC Levadia 6 - 0 - 0 Kuressaare. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tallinna FC Levadia vs Kuressaare?
The Meistriliiga match finished Tallinna FC Levadia 4:0 Kuressaare. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tallinna FC Levadia and Kuressaare?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Tallinna FC Levadia won 6, Kuressaare won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tallinna FC Levadia vs Kuressaare?
Tallinna FC Levadia score 2.64 goals per game on average and Kuressaare 1.15. The Meistriliiga average is 3.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Tallinna FC Levadia's matches and 54% of Kuressaare's.
What form are Tallinna FC Levadia and Kuressaare in?
Over the last 5 games Tallinna FC Levadia have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Kuressaare 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tallinna FC Levadia vs Kuressaare?
The statistical background for Tallinna FC Levadia vs Kuressaare — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.