Tammeka vs Kuressaare: match statistics
Tammeka vs Kuressaare: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tammeka played Kuressaare in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match was played on 22 August 2026. Venue: Tamme staadion. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Tammeka: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Kuressaare: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tammeka scores 1.15 and concedes 1.55 goals per match. Kuressaare scores 1.09 and concedes 1.65. League average: 3.12 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tammeka 50%, Kuressaare 52%. Over 2.5: Tammeka 55%, Kuressaare 57%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
Tammeka has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.45. Tammeka: 14.3 shots per match, Kuressaare: 11.6.
Match halves
Tammeka: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.70. Kuressaare: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.61.
Goals by minute
Tammeka: 76-90+ (7 goals). Kuressaare: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Meistriliiga: 3.12 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 6 previous H2H matches were available: 4-0-2. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Tammeka have a clearly stronger home profile: they win 50% of their home matches, while Kuressaare win only 25% of their away games and lose as many as 67% of them. The hosts concede an average of 1.10 goals per home match, compared with 1.83 for the visitors away from home, with Kuressaare keeping no clean sheets on the road. Tammeka’s advantage is also evident in the quality of chances: their opponents create 1.66 xG against them at home, while Kuressaare’s defence allows 2.19 xG away from home. However, the visitors are in excellent current form, having won 4 of their last 5 matches and scored 19 goals in that run, so they cannot be discounted. Nevertheless, Tammeka’s greater home stability, 52% average possession and 30% clean-sheet rate point to a narrow home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The BTTS - Yes scenario is primarily supported by Kuressaare’s weak defence, having kept no clean sheets this season and conceding an average of 1.83 goals per match. Tammeka are also not defensively reliable, allowing opponents an average of 1.45 goals, while their average xG conceded stands at a high 1.92. Both sides have a similar attacking potential: Tammeka create an average of 1.40 xG, compared with 1.48 xG for Kuressaare, while averaging 4.18 and 3.75 shots on target per match, respectively. Kuressaare have recorded BTTS in 58% of their matches this season and 60% of their last five, while Tammeka stand at 45% and 40%, making their lower rate the main argument against the selection. Although Tammeka failed to score in 55% of their matches this season, the very high recent attacking output of both teams, at 4.6 and 3.8 goals per match, slightly tips the forecast towards BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Tammeka have averaged 4.6 goals across their last five matches, while Kuressaare have averaged 3.8, significantly boosting the game’s goal-scoring potential. This is supported by the xG figures from that period: 2.77 for the home side and 2.05 for the visitors. Over the course of the season, both teams have also frequently been involved in matches featuring at least two goals, in 64% and 75% of cases respectively, while Kuressaare have failed to keep a single clean sheet. The Over 1.5 goals line is the strongest supported by the data, as the hosts concede an average of 1.45 goals per match and the visitors 1.83, compared with the league average of as many as 3.11 goals per game.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Kuressaare are clearly stronger in terms of current form, having won 4 of their last 5 matches, while Tammeka have recorded 3 wins and conceded an average of 2.0 goals during this period. The visitors were leading at the break in 80% of their last five matches and did not lose any of them after the first half, whereas the hosts were ahead at half-time in only 20% of cases. Season-long first-half data also supports a scenario with the visitors in front, as Tammeka concede an average of 0.75 goals before the break compared with Kuressaare’s 0.36, while the hosts were trailing after 45 minutes in 27% of their matches. Kuressaare have a weaker overall season record, but they are currently scoring an average of 2.2 goals before half-time and conceding just 0.4, which further strengthens the case for the visitors to lead at the break and secure the win. Tammeka score only 1.09 goals per home match this season, while Kuressaare are generating an xG of 1.48 despite playing away, making 2/2 the most likely HT/FT outcome.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tammeka | Kuressaare | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tammeka is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Tammeka · 1.4 pts / match - Kuressaare
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tammeka is 6% better for: goals scored per match.
1.15 goals / match - Tammeka · 1.09 goals / match - Kuressaare
Tammeka is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.55 goals / match - Tammeka · 1.65 goals / match - Kuressaare
Tammeka scores in 70% of matches (14 of 20 matches), while Kuressaare keeps a clean sheet in 9% (2 of 23 matches).
Kuressaare scores in 52% of matches (12 of 23 matches), while Tammeka keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tammeka
Over / Under - Kuressaare
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kuressaare is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.85 pts / match - Tammeka · 1.13 pts / match - Kuressaare
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tammeka - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Kuressaare - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -6 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tammeka
Kuressaare
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Tammeka | Liga | Kuressaare | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.70 | 3.12 | ▼ 2.74 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 58% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 55% | 65% | ▼ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 23% | ▼ 9% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 75% | ▼ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 89% | ▼ 87% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (6): Tammeka 4 - 0 - 2 Kuressaare. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tammeka vs Kuressaare?
The Meistriliiga match finished Tammeka 1:0 Kuressaare. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tammeka and Kuressaare?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Tammeka won 4, Kuressaare won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tammeka vs Kuressaare?
Tammeka score 1.15 goals per game on average and Kuressaare 1.09. The Meistriliiga average is 3.12 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Tammeka's matches and 52% of Kuressaare's.
What form are Tammeka and Kuressaare in?
Over the last 5 games Tammeka have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Kuressaare 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tammeka vs Kuressaare?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Tammeka vs Kuressaare: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.