Estonia - MeistriliigaTamme staadionData current as of 06 September 2026

Tammeka vs Paide: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Tammeka vs Paide: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Tammeka play Paide in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match date is 9 September 2026. Venue: Tamme staadion.

Current form

Tammeka: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Paide: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Tammeka scores 1.29 and concedes 1.46 goals per match. Paide scores 1.67 and concedes 1.29. League average: 3.12 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Tammeka 50%, Paide 71%. Over 2.5: Tammeka 54%, Paide 54%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 66%.

xG, shots and style

Paide has higher xG: 1.74 vs 1.59. Tammeka: 13.7 shots per match, Paide: 14.6.

Match halves

Tammeka: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.75. Paide: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.96.

Goals by minute

Tammeka: 76-90+ (9 goals). Paide: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Meistriliiga: 3.12 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 66%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 6 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-5. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 17%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.29Goals scored / match1.67
TammekaPaide
1.46Goals conceded / match1.29
TammekaPaide
51%Average possession56%
TammekaPaide
4.75Shots on target / match4.58
TammekaPaide

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.67Shots per match14.63
TammekaPaide
4.75Shots on target4.58
TammekaPaide
9.5%Shot conversion11.4%
TammekaPaide
51%Possession56%
TammekaPaide
1.59xG for1.74
TammekaPaide
1.58xG against1.53
TammekaPaide

Shooting quality

Tammeka: BalancedPaide: Dominant
TammekaPaide
Accuracy (shots on target)35%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Tammeka is 20% better for: last-5 form.

2.4 pts / match - Tammeka · 2 pts / match - Paide

Tammeka
WWWWL
Season result split
50% W8% R42% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-2-10
1.58 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-1-4
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
DWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.58Opponent xG: 1.43BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Paide
LWDWW
Season result split
50% W25% R25% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-6-6
1.75 pts / match · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-5-3
Last 5 away
2-2-1
WDLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 2.20Opponent xG: 1.39BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Paide is 29% better for: goals scored per match.

1.29 goals / match - Tammeka · 1.67 goals / match - Paide

Paide is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.46 goals / match - Tammeka · 1.29 goals / match - Paide

Tammeka scoring profile: very strong

Tammeka scores in 75% of matches (18 of 24 matches), while Paide keeps a clean sheet in 21% (5 of 24 matches).

Paide scoring profile: very strong

Paide scores in 92% of matches (22 of 24 matches), while Tammeka keeps a clean sheet in 33% (8 of 24 matches).

31Goals scored (season)40
TammekaPaide
35Goals conceded (season)31
TammekaPaide
2.75Average goals in match2.96
TammekaPaide
9Goals scored (last 5)10
TammekaPaide
4Goals conceded (last 5)8
TammekaPaide

How often they score at least...

75%1 goal92%
TammekaPaide
38%2 goals46%
TammekaPaide
17%3 goals21%
TammekaPaide
0%4 goals8%
TammekaPaide

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal79%
TammekaPaide
33%2 goals29%
TammekaPaide
25%3 goals13%
TammekaPaide
13%4 goals4%
TammekaPaide

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time29%
TammekaPaide
4%BTTS in both halves8%
TammekaPaide
25%Scored in both halves38%
TammekaPaide

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS54%
TammekaPaide
4%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
TammekaPaide
40%BTTS - last 580%
TammekaPaide

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time63%
TammekaPaide
46%Min. 2 goals before half-time38%
TammekaPaide
29%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
TammekaPaide

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time92%
TammekaPaide
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time42%
TammekaPaide
4%Min. 3 goals after half-time21%
TammekaPaide

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Paide is 42% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Tammeka · 1.42 pts / match - Paide

Tammeka - half-time state
17% leading50% draw33% trailing
Paide - half-time state
29% leading54% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)1.42
TammekaPaide
0.54Goals scored (1st half)0.71
TammekaPaide
1.04Goals conceded (1st half)0.63
TammekaPaide
1.58Average goals (1st half)1.33
TammekaPaide
42%Clean sheet before half-time63%
TammekaPaide
58%No goal before half-time46%
TammekaPaide

After half-time (2nd half)

1.75Points per match (2nd half)1.75
TammekaPaide
0.75Goals scored (2nd half)0.96
TammekaPaide
0.42Goals conceded (2nd half)0.67
TammekaPaide
1.17Average goals (2nd half)1.63
TammekaPaide
67%Clean sheet after half-time50%
TammekaPaide
42%No goal after half-time25%
TammekaPaide

Tammeka - second-half results

46% W38% R17% P
24
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
-12
Goal difference (1st half)
42
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding294%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.6

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Paide - second-half results

50% W25% R25% P
34
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
42
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.42
PPG before half-time
Lead holding172%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Tammeka - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.602.20
Goals scored / match0.81.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.2
Average goals in match1.41.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+1+4
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
Paide - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.603.00
Goals scored / match0.41.6
Goals conceded / match1.40.2
Average goals in match1.81.8
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal60%0%
Goal difference-5+7
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 100% won - 0% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Tammeka
ScoredConceded
0
5
0-15
6
10
16-30
7
10
31-45
5
0
46-60
4
6
61-75
9
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

Paide
ScoredConceded
5
5
0-15
6
7
16-30
6
3
31-45
7
1
46-60
6
6
61-75
10
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.85
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
92%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
61%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-12%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
69%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Tammeka

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.18
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+6.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.30
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
72%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
110%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.82
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

Paide

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.21
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
126%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
72%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.25
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).

Teams vs league

TammekaLigaPaide
Average goals in match 2.753.12 2.96
Both teams scored 50%60% 71%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 54%66% 54%
Clean sheets 33%22% 21%
Goal before half-time 67%75% 63%
Goal after half-time 75%89% 92%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.12
Average goals per match
60%
Both teams scored
66%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.79
Home goals / match
1.33
Away goals / match
+35%
Home attack advantage
+26%
Home defence advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
8%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
89%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (6): Tammeka 1 - 0 - 5 Paide. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 17% matches.

Paide
0 : 1
Tammeka
Tammeka
1 : 4
Paide
Paide Linnameeskond
5 : 0
JK Tammeka Tartu
JK Tammeka Tartu
0 : 1
Paide Linnameeskond
JK Tammeka Tartu
0 : 2
Paide Linnameeskond
Paide Linnameeskond
1 : 0
JK Tammeka Tartu

FAQ

When do Tammeka and Paide play?

Tammeka face Paide on 9 September 2026 in Meistriliiga at Tamme staadion. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Tammeka and Paide?

In the last 6 head-to-head matches Tammeka won 1, Paide won 5 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 17% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Tammeka vs Paide?

Tammeka score 1.29 goals per game on average and Paide 1.67. The Meistriliiga average is 3.12 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Tammeka's matches and 71% of Paide's.

What form are Tammeka and Paide in?

Over the last 5 games Tammeka have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Paide 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tammeka vs Paide?

The statistical background for Tammeka vs Paide — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.