Tammeka vs Tallinna FC Flora: match statistics

Tallinna FC Flora have significantly stronger away numbers: they win 70% of their matches, average 1.8 goals scored and generate 2.13 xG, compared with Tammeka’s 1.2 goals and 1.35 xG at home. The visitors also dominate in attack construction, averaging 17.6 shots and 5.6 on target per match, while Tammeka record 11.1 and 3.9 respectively. Flora’s away defence allows opponents 1.27 xG, lower than Tammeka’s home figure of 1.66. However, the current run is a risk for the favourites, as Flora have lost 4 of their last 5 matches and scored just 3 goals in that period, although the hosts have also conceded 10 goals during the same stretch. Flora’s long-term away quality and superiority in chance creation support a victory for the visitors, although Tammeka may capitalise on their opponents’ weaker current form.

The BTTS - No pick is primarily supported by Tallinna FC Flora’s poor recent scoring form: in their last five matches, the team averaged just 0.6 goals, while BTTS occurred in only 20% of games. Tammeka are in excellent attacking form, averaging 4.6 goals across their last five outings with an xG of 2.77, so at least one home goal is highly likely. At the same time, Tammeka kept a clean sheet in 45% of their matches this season, while Flora failed to score in 20% of their games, clearly strengthening the scenario of a one-sided result. The teams’ seasonal BTTS rates—45% for Tammeka and 40% for Flora—are also below the league average of 57%, despite both sides regularly featuring in matches with over 2.5 goals.

Both teams have very high season rates of matches with at least 2 goals: 82% for Tammeka and 90% for Flora. In league competition, matches involving these teams went over 2.5 goals in 73% and 80% of cases, respectively, compared with a league average of 65%. Tammeka average 2.09 xG, Flora 2.13 xG, and both teams record around 17 shots per match, indicating a high volume of scoring chances. The hosts are also in excellent attacking form, scoring 4.6 goals per game across their last five appearances, while Flora have conceded an average of 2.0 goals during this period. Over 1.5 is the strongest selection, as it requires only two goals, while the season data and current attacking potential strongly support this scenario.

Tammeka are clearly the stronger side based on their current form: they have won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 4.6 goals, while Flora have lost 4 of their last 5 games and managed only 0.6 goals per match. The hosts also hold an advantage before the break, averaging 1.09 goals compared with Flora’s 0.50, with the gap widening to 2.0 versus 0.2 across their last five appearances. Tammeka have led at half-time in 36% of their matches, whereas Flora have gone into the break trailing in as many as 60% of their last five games. After the interval, the hosts remain highly effective, averaging 2.6 goals in their last five matches and winning the second half in 80% of cases. Although Flora have recorded a 70% win rate over the season as a whole, their current poor form and Tammeka’s attacking momentum support the HT/FT prediction of 1/1, with the hosts expected to lead at the break and maintain their advantage until full-time.