Tammeka vs Tallinna FC Levadia: match statistics
Tammeka vs Tallinna FC Levadia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tammeka played Tallinna FC Levadia in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match was played on 30 May 2026. Venue: Tamme staadion. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Tammeka: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Tallinna FC Levadia: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tammeka scores 1.25 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Tallinna FC Levadia scores 2.92 and concedes 0.77. League average: 3.22 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tammeka 50%, Tallinna FC Levadia 69%. Over 2.5: Tammeka 58%, Tallinna FC Levadia 77%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 67%.
xG, shots and style
Tallinna FC Levadia has higher xG: 2.31 vs 1.58. Tammeka: 13.7 shots per match, Tallinna FC Levadia: 19.6.
Match halves
Tammeka: half-time lead 8%, second-half goals 0.83. Tallinna FC Levadia: half-time lead 62%, second-half goals 1.38.
Goals by minute
Tammeka: 46-60 (4 goals). Tallinna FC Levadia: 61-75 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Meistriliiga: 3.22 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 67%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-4. Average goals 3.80, BTTS 60%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The favorite is Tallinna FC Levadia: they lead the table with a record of 10 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses and 38 goals scored this season, while Tammeka has 5 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses with 15 goals. The gap in form and efficiency is clear — Levadia scored 21 goals in the last 5 matches (4.2 per game) and averages 3.0 points per match, whereas Tammeka has 6 goals in the last 5 (1.2 per game) and 1.8 points. The visitors create significantly more chances: 22.5 average shots and 7.67 on target away with xG 2.61, versus 9.83 shots, 4 on target and xG 1.23 for the hosts, indicating Levadia’s advantage in chance quality. Defensively Levadia concedes 1.0 goal on average away with xG against 1.01, while Tammeka at home concedes 1.5 with xG against 1.75, so the visitors are more defensively stable. Considering Levadia’s 2.83 average goals away, the hosts’ 1.5 at home and an 83% away-win rate for the visitors, the prediction is an away victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I tip BTTS - Yes. Tallinna FC Levadia has a seasonal BTTS rate of 100% and 60% in the last 5 matches, scoring on average 2.83 goals across the season and 4.2 goals in the last 5, with xG_for 2.61, indicating a strong attack. Tammeka at home scores 3.0 goals seasonally (xG 2.05) and has a higher shot conversion 18% versus Levadia's 13%, but in the last 5 matches the hosts have averaged only 1.2 goals; simultaneously they have 57% clean sheets expected over the season. xG comparison shows Levadia's 2.61 xG_for exceeds Tammeka's xG_against 0.98, and Tammeka's 2.05 xG_for exceeds Levadia's xG_against 1.01, so both sides create an advantage in expected chances. Considering these figures and the league average of 3.2 goals and BTTS 53%, I assess the probability of BTTS at 75% (Yes) versus 25% (No).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams have recorded 100% of matches over 1.5 goals this season (home 100%, away 100%) and display high season goal averages: Tammeka 3.0 and Levadia 2.83. In the xG model Tammeka generates 2.05 xG on average, Levadia 2.61 xG, while their defenses concede 0.98 and 1.01 xG respectively, which translates to a forecast of 1.53 xG for the home side and 1.80 xG for the visitors (total 3.33 expected goals). Additionally, Levadia have scored 21 goals in the last 5 matches (avg. 4.2), Tammeka 6 goals (avg. 1.2), and shot/shot-on-target averages are: Tammeka 17.14/6.43, Levadia 22.5/7.67, all of which increase the likelihood of an Over 2.5 goals outcome; the percentage of matches over 2.5 is 71% for the home team and 83% for the visitors. Season-long over 3.5 stats are more balanced (43% home, 50% away), so the 3.5 line is less safe. On this basis I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest signal, with Over 2.5 as the second most probable scenario.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Analysis indicates a clear advantage for Tallinn FC Levadia at Half-Time/Full-Time: in the last 5 matches Levadia led at the break in 4 of 5 (80%), while Tammeka did not lead in any of their last 5 (0%). Levadia averages 2.6 goals by half-time across these 5 matches versus Tammeka’s 0.2, and creates more chances (xG_for_avg_away 2.61 vs xG_for_avg_home 2.05; average shots 22.5 vs 17.14; shots on target 7.67 vs 6.43), confirming an offensive edge. Although season-long HT statistics favor Tammeka (they led at half-time in 5 matches, 71% and had 86% clean halves at HT), Levadia’s current form is substantially stronger (last5_winPercentage_overall_away 100% vs home 60%), so the trend favors the visitors. On this basis the most likely scenario is Levadia leading at the break and winning by full-time (2/2), with the secondary option being a draw at half-time followed by a Levadia turnaround to win (X/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tammeka | Tallinna FC Levadia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tallinna FC Levadia is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Tammeka · 3 pts / match - Tallinna FC Levadia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tallinna FC Levadia is 134% better for: goals scored per match.
1.25 goals / match - Tammeka · 2.92 goals / match - Tallinna FC Levadia
Tallinna FC Levadia is 95% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Tammeka · 0.77 goals / match - Tallinna FC Levadia
Tammeka scores in 67% of matches (8 of 12 matches), while Tallinna FC Levadia keeps a clean sheet in 31% (4 of 13 matches).
Tallinna FC Levadia scores in 100% of matches (13 of 13 matches), while Tammeka keeps a clean sheet in 25% (3 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tammeka
Over / Under - Tallinna FC Levadia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tallinna FC Levadia is 187% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.75 pts / match - Tammeka · 2.15 pts / match - Tallinna FC Levadia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tammeka - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 8% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Tallinna FC Levadia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 62% of matches and wins 77%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 2.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 3.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +10 | +8 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tammeka
Tallinna FC Levadia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Tammeka | Liga | Tallinna FC Levadia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.75 | 3.22 | ▲ 3.69 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 52% | ▲ 69% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 58% | 67% | ▲ 77% |
| Clean sheets | • 25% | 25% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 75% | ▲ 85% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 93% | • 92% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Tammeka 0 - 1 - 4 Tallinna FC Levadia. Average goals 3.80, both teams scored in 60% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tammeka vs Tallinna FC Levadia?
The Meistriliiga match finished Tammeka 0:1 Tallinna FC Levadia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tammeka and Tallinna FC Levadia?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Tammeka won 0, Tallinna FC Levadia won 4 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.80 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tammeka vs Tallinna FC Levadia?
Tammeka score 1.25 goals per game on average and Tallinna FC Levadia 2.92. The Meistriliiga average is 3.22 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 67% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Tammeka's matches and 69% of Tallinna FC Levadia's.
What form are Tammeka and Tallinna FC Levadia in?
Over the last 5 games Tammeka have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Tallinna FC Levadia 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tammeka vs Tallinna FC Levadia?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.